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397 I B Maynard St
C Composite 55.8
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0

$124,500

397 I B Maynard St · Spencer, TN 38585
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,431 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 123 Days on market
Built 1948 3.82 ac lot $87/sqft · 50% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Outbuilding
  • 4 acres of land
  • 3.82 acre lot

Tags

4 ACRES OF LANDOUTBUILDING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $124k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $167 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (6.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 2.5% in Spencer — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#99 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Van Buren County (rural): math 28% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #96 of 139 in TN (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 181 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Van Buren County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($861 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
  • Van Buren County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 123 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $109,560 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 123 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
7.91%
Cash-on-cash
5.76%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$249,992
List price
$124,500
Delta
-50.20%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
589 Turkey Scratch Rd 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,392 (-3%) 13mo $120,000 $86 68
111 Baker And Boyd 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,356 (-5%) 1mo $325,000 $240 58
114 Smith Dr 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,350 (-6%) 1mo $162,500 $120 56
205 Baker And Boyd Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,403 (-2%) 13mo $256,000 $182 50
257 Baker & Boyd Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,405 (-2%) 13mo $252,000 $179 48
52 Rosemary Way 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-2%) 22mo $259,900 $186 41
13 Rosemary Way 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,402 (-2%) 23mo $260,000 $185 39
172 Baker And Boyd Dr 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,372 (-4%) 23mo $365,000 $266 38
29 Rosemary Way 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,277 (-11%) 17mo $229,950 $180 29
384 Woodlee St 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,250 (-13%) 23mo $163,000 $130 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.77% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.3%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$24,127
Equity at exit
$54,407
10-year hold
IRR
14.4%
Equity multiple
3.09×
Total profit
$72,757
Equity at exit
$82,644

Cash invested: $34,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 38585

Home prices YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
181
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,161 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$653
Tax from tax record
$45 /mo · $539/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$167

Break-even live

Break-even rent $949
Max offer price $124,500
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,125
Closing costs
$3,735
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $124,500 Active 123 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,500 Active 122 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,500 Active 121 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,500 Active 120 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,500 Active 119 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $124,500 Active 117 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $124,500 Active 116 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $124,500 Active 113 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,500 Active 112 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $124,500 Active 111 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $124,500 Active 108 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $124,500 Active 107 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $124,500 Active 106 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $124,500 Active 105 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,500 Active 104 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $124,500 Active 103 DOM
  17. 2026-04-20
    status Active 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!

  18. 2026-04-19
    status Active 355-char remark
    Show marketing remark (355 chars)

    With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!

  19. 2026-04-11
    historical Active Under Contract 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (355 chars)

    With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!

  20. 2026-04-11
    historical Active Under Contract 355-char remark
    Show marketing remark (355 chars)

    With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!

  21. 2026-04-07
    status Active 355-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!

  22. 2026-04-07
    status Active 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!

  23. 2026-03-26
    historical Active Under Contract 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (355 chars)

    With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!

  24. 2026-03-26
    historical Active Under Contract 355-char remark
    Show marketing remark (355 chars)

    With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!

  25. 2026-03-23
    price $124,500 355-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!

  26. 2026-03-23
    price $124,500 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!

  27. 2026-03-12
    status Active 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (355 chars)

    With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!

  28. 2026-03-12
    status Active 355-char remark
    Show marketing remark (355 chars)

    With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!

  29. 2026-02-23
    historical Active Under Contract 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (355 chars)

    With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!

  30. 2026-02-23
    historical Active Under Contract 355-char remark
    Show marketing remark (355 chars)

    With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!

  31. 2026-02-16
    listed $124,900 Active 355-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!

  32. 2026-02-16
    listed $124,900 Active 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$539 · $45/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$884 · $74/mo
Expected delta
+$345/yr (+$29/mo · 64.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,930
− Mortgage interest
−$6,974
− Property taxes
−$539
− Insurance
−$622
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,114
− Management
−$1,114
− Depreciation
−$3,622
Taxable loss
−$56
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$14
After-tax cash flow
$2,022/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Van Buren County
NCES district ID
4704320
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$35,459
Composite
20.29/100
National rank
#8617
State rank
#96 of 139 in TN

Livability — Spencer

Score
67/100
State rank
#99
US rank
#10391

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Spencer, TN
Population (ZIP)
4,550

Population outlook (Van Buren County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,883 people
By 2030
5,925 · +0.7%
By 2040
5,877 · -0.1%
By 2050
5,706 · -3.0%
By 2075
5,162 · -12.3%
By 2100
4,450 · -24.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 5%
Common ancestry
Serbian 4% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
93% English-only · German/W. Germanic 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Van Buren

2024 margin
Solid R (+67.2) · D 16.1% · R 83.2%
2008→2024 swing
-46.8pp toward R · 2008: -20.4pp · 2024: -67.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+67.2 2020: R+61.6 2016: R+53.0 2012: R+22.1 2008: R+20.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.77%
Current HPI
382.7379
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.3% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Relisted UCMLS
  • 2026-04-19 Relisted REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-11 Contingent UCMLS
  • 2026-04-11 Contingent REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-07 Relisted REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-07 Relisted UCMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Contingent UCMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Contingent REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $124,500 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $124,500 UCMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Relisted UCMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Relisted REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-23 Contingent UCMLS
  • 2026-02-23 Contingent REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-16 Listed $124,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-16 Listed $124,900 UCMLS

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $539 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…