397 I B Maynard St · Spencer, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- Appreciation +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
$124,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Outbuilding
- 4 acres of land
- 3.82 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $124k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $167 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (6.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 2.5% in Spencer — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#99 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Van Buren County (rural): math 28% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #96 of 139 in TN (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 181 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Van Buren County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($861 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
- Van Buren County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 123 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 123 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.76%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $249,992
- List price
- $124,500
- Delta
- -50.20%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 589 Turkey Scratch Rd | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,392 (-3%) | 13mo | $120,000 | $86 | 68 |
| 111 Baker And Boyd | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,356 (-5%) | 1mo | $325,000 | $240 | 58 |
| 114 Smith Dr | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,350 (-6%) | 1mo | $162,500 | $120 | 56 |
| 205 Baker And Boyd Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,403 (-2%) | 13mo | $256,000 | $182 | 50 |
| 257 Baker & Boyd Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,405 (-2%) | 13mo | $252,000 | $179 | 48 |
| 52 Rosemary Way | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-2%) | 22mo | $259,900 | $186 | 41 |
| 13 Rosemary Way | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (-2%) | 23mo | $260,000 | $185 | 39 |
| 172 Baker And Boyd Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,372 (-4%) | 23mo | $365,000 | $266 | 38 |
| 29 Rosemary Way | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,277 (-11%) | 17mo | $229,950 | $180 | 29 |
| 384 Woodlee St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,250 (-13%) | 23mo | $163,000 | $130 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.77% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $24,127
- Equity at exit
- $54,407
- IRR
- 14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.09×
- Total profit
- $72,757
- Equity at exit
- $82,644
Cash invested: $34,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38585
- Home prices YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 181
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,161 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$653
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $539/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $167
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,125
- Closing costs
- $3,735
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $124,500 Active 123 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $124,500 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $124,500 Active 121 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $124,500 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,500 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $124,500 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $124,500 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,500 Active 113 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $124,500 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $124,500 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $124,500 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $124,500 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $124,500 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $124,500 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,500 Active 104 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $124,500 Active 103 DOM
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2026-04-20status Active 356-char remark
Show marketing remark (356 chars)
With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-04-19status Active 355-char remark
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-04-11historical Active Under Contract 356-char remark
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-04-11historical Active Under Contract 355-char remark
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-04-07status Active 355-char remark
Show marketing remark (356 chars)
With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-04-07status Active 356-char remark
Show marketing remark (356 chars)
With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-03-26historical Active Under Contract 356-char remark
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-03-26historical Active Under Contract 355-char remark
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-03-23price $124,500 355-char remark
Show marketing remark (356 chars)
With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-03-23price $124,500 356-char remark
Show marketing remark (356 chars)
With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-03-12status Active 356-char remark
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-03-12status Active 355-char remark
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-02-23historical Active Under Contract 356-char remark
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-02-23historical Active Under Contract 355-char remark
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-02-16$124,900 Active 355-char remark
Show marketing remark (356 chars)
With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-02-16$124,900 Active 356-char remark
Show marketing remark (356 chars)
With almost 4 acres of land, this property presents a remarkable investment opportunity in today's market. With a spacious layout and an outbuilding that holds possibility for various uses - this home is a canvas awaiting your personal touch. Properties of this size and potential are a rare find! AS IS, cash or conventional! Schedule your showing today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $539 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $884 · $74/mo
- Expected delta
- +$345/yr (+$29/mo · 64.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,930
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,974
- − Property taxes
- −$539
- − Insurance
- −$622
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,114
- − Management
- −$1,114
- − Depreciation
- −$3,622
- Taxable loss
- −$56
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$14
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,022/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Van Buren County
- NCES district ID
- 4704320
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,459
- Composite
- 20.29/100
- National rank
- #8617
- State rank
- #96 of 139 in TN
Livability — Spencer
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #99
- US rank
- #10391
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Spencer, TN
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,550
Population outlook (Van Buren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,883 people
- By 2030
- 5,925 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 5,877 · -0.1%
- By 2050
- 5,706 · -3.0%
- By 2075
- 5,162 · -12.3%
- By 2100
- 4,450 · -24.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 5%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 4% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · German/W. Germanic 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Van Buren
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+67.2) · D 16.1% · R 83.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -46.8pp toward R · 2008: -20.4pp · 2024: -67.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+67.2 2020: R+61.6 2016: R+53.0 2012: R+22.1 2008: R+20.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.77%
- Current HPI
- 382.7379
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-0.3% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Relisted — UCMLS
- 2026-04-19 Relisted — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-11 Contingent — UCMLS
- 2026-04-11 Contingent — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-07 Relisted — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-07 Relisted — UCMLS
- 2026-03-26 Contingent — UCMLS
- 2026-03-26 Contingent — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $124,500 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $124,500 UCMLS
- 2026-03-12 Relisted — UCMLS
- 2026-03-12 Relisted — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-23 Contingent — UCMLS
- 2026-02-23 Contingent — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-16 Listed $124,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-16 Listed $124,900 UCMLS
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $539 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…