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3023 Ridgeway Ave
D- Composite 36.05
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.0/30.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

3023 Ridgeway Ave · St. John, MO 63114
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 792 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1956 7,579 sqft lot Est $117k · 24% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 3023 Ridgeway—a charming, thoughtfully refreshed 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow offering comfort, functionality, and exceptional value in the heart of St. John. From the moment you arrive, you’ll notice the home’s inviting presence, enhanced by a freshly power-washed exterior that reflects a sense of care and pride in ownership. Inside, natural light fills the space, highlighting beautiful hardwood flooring and creating a warm, welcoming atmosphere throughout. Designed with efficiency in mind, the layout flows seamlessly between the living area and kitchen—maximizing everyday comfort while making the most of every square foot. Each bedroom is well-proportioned

Key facts

  • 7,579 sq ft lot
  • Built 1956
  • Listed 3 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered; Home warranty available; Seller may consider concessions

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected (other electric service); Natural gas connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Private ownership
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Architectural shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Back yard fencing; Back yard lot feature; Asphalt road access; Sidewalks and street lights in the community

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Blinds on windows; Basement with walk-out access
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $98 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (9.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (9.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Ritenour (suburban): math 13% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #304 of 324 in MO (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Marvin Elem. (math 11% / reading 16%, grade F, #1,003 of 1,115 statewide, top 90%, 517 students, 99% FRL); Ritenour Middle (math 15% / reading 28%, grade F, #339 of 391 statewide, top 87%, 467 students, 99% FRL); Ritenour Sr. High (math 9% / reading 36%, grade F, #455 of 521 statewide, top 88%, 1,873 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 66% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 120 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $55k; list at $145k implies a 164% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $131,461 (9.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
7.10%
Cash-on-cash
2.89%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$117,216
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8417 Betty Lee Ave 0.11mi 2/1.0 (-1) 792 (0%) 3mo $154,000 $194 88
3415 Ginger Dr 0.10mi 2/1.0 (-1) 792 (0%) 5mo $117,000 $148 86
8710 Ezra Dr 0.32mi 2/1.5 (-1) 791 (-0%) 2mo $119,900 $152 76
8591 Ardelia Ave 0.26mi 2/1.0 (-1) 792 (0%) 10mo $165,000 $208 74
8614 Hume Ave 0.33mi 2/1.0 (-1) 720 (-9%) 9mo $57,500 $80 57
3630 Brown Rd Rear 0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 816 (+3%) 2mo $44,900 $55 57
8626 Engler Ave 0.46mi 2/2.0 (-1) 828 (+4%) 8mo $145,000 $175 55
2835 Walton Rd 0.31mi 2/1.0 (-1) 891 (+12%) 6mo $168,000 $189 55
2840 Ridgeway Ave 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 882 (+11%) 9mo $109,900 $125 52
8540 Leith Ave 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 816 (+3%) 8mo $119,900 $147 51
8815 Kendale Dr 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 850 (+7%) 4mo $85,000 $100 48
8907 Argyle Ave 0.75mi 2/1.0 (-1) 899 (+14%) 6mo $129,900 $144 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.04% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.8%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-18,549
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
-5.2%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-13,275
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63114

Rents YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
120
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,315 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$120 /mo · $1,440/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$276
Net cashflow
$98

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,191
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $180 -5% $139 +0% $98 +5% $57 +10% $16
Rent -10% $-6 -5% $46 +0% $98 +5% $150 +10% $202
Rate -1.0pp $171 -0.5pp $135 base $98 +0.5pp $60 +1.0pp $22

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8819 McNulty Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 752 $1,225 $1.63 45d 1 0.69mi
9316 Koenig Cir Berkeley, MO 2.0 1.0 720 $1,150 $1.60 0d 4 0.84mi
2452 Ashland Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1028 $1,350 $1.31 45d 1 0.87mi
9310 Shirley Gardens Dr Apt C St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 45d 1 1.16mi
9310 Shirley Gardens Dr Apt B St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $1,100 $1.38 45d 1 1.16mi
9183 Harold Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,200 $1.32 45d 1 1.16mi
9429 Baltimore Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 0d 1 1.23mi
9429 Baltimore Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 25d 1 1.23mi
3208 Dix Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 656 $1,215 $1.85 0d 1 1.29mi
3209 Dix Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1122 $1,550 $1.38 25d 1 1.31mi
2732 Annapolis Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 768 $1,250 $1.63 45d 1 1.40mi
9535 Baltimore Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $1,145 $1.43 25d 1 1.42mi
3648 Edmundson Rd Unit 1 St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $995 $1.11 45d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    status $145,000 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-05-29
    listed $145,000 Active
  4. 2026-05-27
    historical $145,000
  5. 2017-05-08
    soldstatus $55,000
  6. 2013-02-07
    soldstatus $565,000
  7. 2010-06-22
    soldstatus $195,000
  8. 2010-06-22
    soldstatus $290,000
  9. 2008-01-09
    soldstatus $57,000
  10. 1990-10-01
    soldstatus $41,750
  11. 1990-08-01
    soldstatus
  12. 1990-08-01
    soldstatus $29,300
  13. 1989-01-01
    soldstatus $21,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,440 · $120/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,440 · $120/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,775
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$1,440
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,262
− Management
−$1,262
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable loss
−$1,255
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$301
After-tax cash flow
$1,473/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ritenour
NCES district ID
2926640
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,410
Composite
17.04/100
National rank
#9125
State rank
#304 of 324 in MO

Livability — St. John

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. John, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
33,969
Household income
$55,870
Rent vs Own
41.8% rent · 58.2% own
Severe rent burden
1595.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -276.62%
Current HPI
223.9305
Rent YoY
▲ 2.04%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+574.4% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $145,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-27 Coming Soon $145,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2013-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $565,000 Public Records
  • 2010-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $290,000 Public Records
  • 2010-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $195,000 Public Records
  • 2008-01-09 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
  • 1990-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $41,750 Public Records
  • 1990-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $29,300 Public Records
  • 1990-08-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1989-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $21,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,440 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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