3274 Windjammer Dr · Spring Hill, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.59%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.8/30.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.4/15.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$181,875
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Large kitchen island
- Open floor plan
- Glass french doors
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Active listing (last modified 2026-05-21)
- Financial info: List price $181,875
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Natural gas; Electric cooling (central air); Ceiling fans
- Home design: Spec-built plan named "The Imperial"; Living area of 1334
- Exterior features: Shake roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Includes dishwasher, disposal, microwave, refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas and heat pump heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $182k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $351 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $182k).
- Recommended offer: $160k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.4% in Spring Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#738 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, amenities F.
- Hernando (suburban): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #38 of 73 in FL (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 347 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,505 units permitted in Hernando County in 2024 (318 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hernando County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 360 days — a 12% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 360 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.26%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $181,424
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3382 Fiskway St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-6%) | 10mo | $169,900 | $136 | 46 |
| 3307 Keye Dr | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (-14%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $210 | 41 |
| 7094 Sealawn Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,512 (+13%) | 16mo | $182,000 | $120 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-7,109
- Equity at exit
- $27,118
- IRR
- 6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $22,690
- Equity at exit
- $15,725
Cash invested: $50,925 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34607
- Home prices YoY
- -9.1%
- Active inventory
- 347
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,035 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$954
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$227 /mo · $2,728/yr
- Insurance
- −$76
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$427
- Net cashflow
- $351
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $476 | -5% $413 | +0% $351 | +5% $288 | +10% $225 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $190 | -5% $270 | +0% $351 | +5% $431 | +10% $511 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $442 | -0.5pp $397 | base $351 | +0.5pp $303 | +1.0pp $256 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,469
- Closing costs
- $5,456
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7272 Apache Trl Spring Hill, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $2,650 | $1.88 | 25d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 7369 Sealawn Dr Spring Hill, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $2,500 | $2.17 | 4d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 7410 Cherokee Trl Spring Hill, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,725 | $1.44 | 13d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 7423 Apache Trl Spring Hill, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1711 | $2,200 | $1.29 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 7423 Mohawk Trl Spring Hill, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,795 | $1.61 | 18d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 7483 Apache Trl Spring Hill, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1587 | $1,795 | $1.13 | 5d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 4398 Plumosa St Spring Hill, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1646 | $1,985 | $1.21 | 25d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4300 Bridgewater Club Loop Spring Hill, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1078 | $1,268 | $1.18 | 0d | 13 | 1.41mi |
| 4108 Monona Ave Spring Hill, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $1,900 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $181,875 Active 360 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $181,875 Active 359 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $181,875 Active 358 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $181,875 Active 357 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $181,875 Active 355 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $181,875 Active 354 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $181,875 Active 351 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $181,875 Active 350 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $181,875 Active 349 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $181,875 Active 346 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $181,875 Active 345 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $181,875 Active 344 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $181,875 Active 343 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $181,875 Active 342 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 59% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,418
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,188
- − Property taxes
- −$2,728
- − Insurance
- −$909
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,953
- − Management
- −$1,953
- − Depreciation
- −$5,291
- Taxable income
- $1,395
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$335
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,873/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hernando
- NCES district ID
- 1200810
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,985
- Composite
- 42.03/100
- National rank
- #3329
- State rank
- #38 of 73 in FL
Livability — Spring Hill
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #738
- US rank
- #15937
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 83,915
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,046
Population outlook (Hernando County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 189,218 people
- By 2030
- 194,367 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 203,398 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 209,589 · +10.8%
- By 2075
- 218,452 · +15.4%
- By 2100
- 205,923 · +8.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 6% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Arabic 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hernando
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.0) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.5pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -37.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.0 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+29.0 2012: R+8.5 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.89%
- Current HPI
- 567.35
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…