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3276 NW 44th Ct
C+ Composite 61.65
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$219,000

3276 NW 44th Ct · Ocala, FL 34482
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,224 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1988 0.25 ac lot $179/sqft · 13% below area Est $253k · 13% under $36/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. just minutes away from the World Equestrian Center! This home features 3 bedrooms, 2 baths in a split floor plan, large living room, open kitchen, breakfast nook, dining room, enclosed lanai, and fully fenced yard. Roof is 13 years old but in good shape Quail Meadow is a 55+ community, with quarterly HOA fees including a clubhouse with community pool and activities. quiet neighborhood this property has many different places for shopping and also dinning and gyms. Come and take a look and make this your place. SELLER WILL PROVIDE $5000 FOR BUYER CLOSING COST OR BUYDOWN RATE.

Key facts

  • Clubhouse
  • Community pool
  • Split floor plan

Tags

SPLIT FLOOR PLANENCLOSED LANAIFULLY FENCED BACKYARDCOMMUNITY POOLCLUBHOUSE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $219k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $312 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $219k).
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.2% in Ocala — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#476 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.1%/yr); 663 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $61k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $166k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $219,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
8.00%
Cash-on-cash
6.11%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$252,558
List price
$219,000
Delta
-8.93%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3303 NW 44th Ter 0.04mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,224 (0%) 13mo $243,500 $199 82

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.2%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-2,972
Equity at exit
$32,654
10-year hold
IRR
13.3%
Equity multiple
2.31×
Total profit
$80,468
Equity at exit
$18,935

Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34482

Rents YoY
11.1%
Active inventory
663
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,377 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,148
Tax from tax record
$290 /mo · $3,478/yr
Insurance
$91
HOA
$36
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$499
Net cashflow
$312

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,982
Max offer price $219,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,750
Closing costs
$6,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3335 NW 52nd Avenue Rd Ocala, FL 2.0 2.5 1318 $2,500 $1.90 21d 1 0.67mi
5191 NW 34th St Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1318 $2,400 $1.82 21d 1 0.69mi
5353 N US Highway 27 Ocala, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1169 $2,045 $1.75 21d 1 0.72mi
5333 NW 33rd Pl Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1368 $2,300 $1.68 13d 1 0.78mi
5361 NW 33rd Pl Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1318 $2,500 $1.90 21d 1 0.80mi
5471 NW 34th St Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1318 $2,900 $2.20 21d 1 0.89mi
2048 NW 50th Ave Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1062 $2,250 $2.12 21d 1 1.05mi
2038 NW 50th Ave Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1062 $2,250 $2.12 21d 1 1.06mi
2028 NW 50th Ave Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1066 $1,595 $1.50 21d 1 1.07mi
1918 NW 50th Cir Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1061 $2,200 $2.07 21d 1 1.12mi
5399 NW 18th St Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1085 $2,100 $1.94 21d 1 1.40mi
5399 NW 18th St Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1085 $2,100 $1.94 13d 1 1.40mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$36 · $432/yr
Likely covers
poolgym

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $219,000 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    remarks 693-char remark
  3. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on marketlisting id $219,000 Active 1 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $230,000 Active 171 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $230,000 Active 170 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $230,000 Active 166 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $230,000 Active 165 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $230,000 Active 163 DOM
  9. 2026-05-30
    days on market $230,000 Active 162 DOM
  10. 2026-02-03
    price $230,000 631-char remark
    Show marketing remark (631 chars)

    One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. just minutes away from the World Equestrian Center! This home features 3 bedrooms, 2 baths in a split floor plan, large living room, open kitchen, breakfast nook, dining room, enclosed lanai, and fully fenced yard. Roof is 13 years old but in good shape Quail Meadow is a 55+ community, with quarterly HOA fees including a clubhouse with community pool and activities. quiet neighborhood this property has many different places for shopping and also dinning and gyms. Come and take a look and make this your place. SELLER WILL PROVIDE $5000 FOR BUYER CLOSING COST OR BUYDOWN RATE.

  11. 2026-02-02
    price $244,900 631-char remark
    Show marketing remark (631 chars)

    One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. just minutes away from the World Equestrian Center! This home features 3 bedrooms, 2 baths in a split floor plan, large living room, open kitchen, breakfast nook, dining room, enclosed lanai, and fully fenced yard. Roof is 13 years old but in good shape Quail Meadow is a 55+ community, with quarterly HOA fees including a clubhouse with community pool and activities. quiet neighborhood this property has many different places for shopping and also dinning and gyms. Come and take a look and make this your place. SELLER WILL PROVIDE $5000 FOR BUYER CLOSING COST OR BUYDOWN RATE.

  12. 2025-12-19
    listed $249,000 Active 631-char remark
    Show marketing remark (631 chars)

    One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. just minutes away from the World Equestrian Center! This home features 3 bedrooms, 2 baths in a split floor plan, large living room, open kitchen, breakfast nook, dining room, enclosed lanai, and fully fenced yard. Roof is 13 years old but in good shape Quail Meadow is a 55+ community, with quarterly HOA fees including a clubhouse with community pool and activities. quiet neighborhood this property has many different places for shopping and also dinning and gyms. Come and take a look and make this your place. SELLER WILL PROVIDE $5000 FOR BUYER CLOSING COST OR BUYDOWN RATE.

  13. 2024-04-19
    historical
  14. 2024-02-23
    price $219,900
  15. 2023-11-09
    price $229,900
  16. 2023-10-28
    price $245,900
  17. 2023-09-22
    listed $249,900 Active
  18. 2021-12-07
    soldstatus $166,000
  19. 2021-12-03
    soldstatus $166,000 Closed
  20. 2021-11-05
    status Pending
  21. 2021-11-01
    status Active
  22. 2021-10-18
    status Pending
  23. 2021-10-17
    listed $165,000 Active
  24. 1998-10-21
    soldstatus $70,000
  25. 1990-01-01
    soldstatus $65,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,478 · $290/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,478 · $290/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,524
− Mortgage interest
−$12,267
− Property taxes
−$3,478
− Insurance
−$1,095
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,282
− Management
−$2,282
− HOA
−$432
− Depreciation
−$6,371
Taxable income
$316
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$76
After-tax cash flow
$3,671/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion
NCES district ID
1201260
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,015
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4890
State rank
#61 of 73 in FL

Livability — Ocala

Score
69/100
State rank
#476
US rank
#8461

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Marion County · 315,796 people
City population
263,375
Metro
Ocala, FL
Population (ZIP)
22,807
Household income
$65,901
Rent vs Own
16.7% rent · 83.3% own
Severe rent burden
282.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
365,905 people
By 2030
376,768 · +3.0%
By 2040
396,555 · +8.4%
By 2050
412,723 · +12.8%
By 2075
446,090 · +21.9%
By 2100
436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (63%)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 14% Two or more races 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -133.62%
Current HPI
194.3857
Rent YoY
▲ 11.12%
Metro
Ocala, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+253.8% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-03 Price Changed $230,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-02 Price Changed $244,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-19 Listed $249,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-04-19 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-02-23 Price Changed $219,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-09 Price Changed $229,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-28 Price Changed $245,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-09-22 Listed $249,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $166,000 Public Records
  • 2021-12-03 Sold (MLS) $166,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-11-05 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-11-01 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-10-18 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-10-17 Listed $165,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1998-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 1990-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+14.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,478 · +10.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…