3276 NW 44th Ct · Ocala, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.1/30.0
- ARV discount +13.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. just minutes away from the World Equestrian Center! This home features 3 bedrooms, 2 baths in a split floor plan, large living room, open kitchen, breakfast nook, dining room, enclosed lanai, and fully fenced yard. Roof is 13 years old but in good shape Quail Meadow is a 55+ community, with quarterly HOA fees including a clubhouse with community pool and activities. quiet neighborhood this property has many different places for shopping and also dinning and gyms. Come and take a look and make this your place. SELLER WILL PROVIDE $5000 FOR BUYER CLOSING COST OR BUYDOWN RATE.
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Community pool
- Split floor plan
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $219k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $312 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $219k).
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.2% in Ocala — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#476 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.1%/yr); 663 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $61k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $166k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.11%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $252,558
- List price
- $219,000
- Delta
- -8.93%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3303 NW 44th Ter | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,224 (0%) | 13mo | $243,500 | $199 | 82 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-2,972
- Equity at exit
- $32,654
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.31×
- Total profit
- $80,468
- Equity at exit
- $18,935
Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34482
- Rents YoY
- 11.1%
- Active inventory
- 663
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,377 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,148
- Tax from tax record
- −$290 /mo · $3,478/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$36
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$499
- Net cashflow
- $312
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,750
- Closing costs
- $6,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3335 NW 52nd Avenue Rd Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1318 | $2,500 | $1.90 | 21d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 5191 NW 34th St Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1318 | $2,400 | $1.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 5353 N US Highway 27 Ocala, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1169 | $2,045 | $1.75 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 5333 NW 33rd Pl Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $2,300 | $1.68 | 13d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 5361 NW 33rd Pl Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1318 | $2,500 | $1.90 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5471 NW 34th St Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1318 | $2,900 | $2.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2048 NW 50th Ave Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $2,250 | $2.12 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2038 NW 50th Ave Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $2,250 | $2.12 | 21d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2028 NW 50th Ave Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1066 | $1,595 | $1.50 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1918 NW 50th Cir Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1061 | $2,200 | $2.07 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 5399 NW 18th St Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $2,100 | $1.94 | 21d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 5399 NW 18th St Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $2,100 | $1.94 | 13d | 1 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $36 · $432/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgym
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $219,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $219,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $230,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $230,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $230,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $230,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $230,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $230,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-02-03price $230,000 631-char remark
Show marketing remark (631 chars)
One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. just minutes away from the World Equestrian Center! This home features 3 bedrooms, 2 baths in a split floor plan, large living room, open kitchen, breakfast nook, dining room, enclosed lanai, and fully fenced yard. Roof is 13 years old but in good shape Quail Meadow is a 55+ community, with quarterly HOA fees including a clubhouse with community pool and activities. quiet neighborhood this property has many different places for shopping and also dinning and gyms. Come and take a look and make this your place. SELLER WILL PROVIDE $5000 FOR BUYER CLOSING COST OR BUYDOWN RATE.
-
2026-02-02price $244,900 631-char remark
Show marketing remark (631 chars)
One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. just minutes away from the World Equestrian Center! This home features 3 bedrooms, 2 baths in a split floor plan, large living room, open kitchen, breakfast nook, dining room, enclosed lanai, and fully fenced yard. Roof is 13 years old but in good shape Quail Meadow is a 55+ community, with quarterly HOA fees including a clubhouse with community pool and activities. quiet neighborhood this property has many different places for shopping and also dinning and gyms. Come and take a look and make this your place. SELLER WILL PROVIDE $5000 FOR BUYER CLOSING COST OR BUYDOWN RATE.
-
2025-12-19$249,000 Active 631-char remark
Show marketing remark (631 chars)
One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. just minutes away from the World Equestrian Center! This home features 3 bedrooms, 2 baths in a split floor plan, large living room, open kitchen, breakfast nook, dining room, enclosed lanai, and fully fenced yard. Roof is 13 years old but in good shape Quail Meadow is a 55+ community, with quarterly HOA fees including a clubhouse with community pool and activities. quiet neighborhood this property has many different places for shopping and also dinning and gyms. Come and take a look and make this your place. SELLER WILL PROVIDE $5000 FOR BUYER CLOSING COST OR BUYDOWN RATE.
-
2024-04-19historical
-
2024-02-23price $219,900
-
2023-11-09price $229,900
-
2023-10-28price $245,900
-
2023-09-22$249,900 Active
-
2021-12-07soldstatus $166,000
-
2021-12-03soldstatus $166,000 Closed
-
2021-11-05status Pending
-
2021-11-01status Active
-
2021-10-18status Pending
-
2021-10-17$165,000 Active
-
1998-10-21soldstatus $70,000
-
1990-01-01soldstatus $65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,478 · $290/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,478 · $290/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,524
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,267
- − Property taxes
- −$3,478
- − Insurance
- −$1,095
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,282
- − Management
- −$2,282
- − HOA
- −$432
- − Depreciation
- −$6,371
- Taxable income
- $316
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$76
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,671/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ocala
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #476
- US rank
- #8461
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Marion County · 315,796 people
- City population
- 263,375
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,807
- Household income
- $65,901
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 282.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 14% Two or more races 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -133.62%
- Current HPI
- 194.3857
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.12%
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+253.8% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $230,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-02 Price Changed $244,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-19 Listed $249,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-19 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-23 Price Changed $219,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-09 Price Changed $229,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-28 Price Changed $245,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-22 Listed $249,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $166,000 Public Records
- 2021-12-03 Sold (MLS) $166,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-05 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-01 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-18 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-17 Listed $165,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 1990-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+14.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,478 · +10.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…