487 Road 1009 · Tupelo, MS 38804

$74,500

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · Manufactured · 32 Days on market

Built 1999 Poor condition 2.00 ac lot

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Schools +3.0/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +1.0/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

* * INVESTORS * * 2 singlewide mobile homes with paying tenants on +/-2.9 acres near Tupelo, MS. A third mobile home on site is vacant and has not been lived in in years and has no assigned value. Income producing property with room for potential improvement or expansion. Being sold AS-IS. All information deemed reliable but not guaranteed by Broker or Seller. Brokers & agents please see Private Remarks for rental info.

Key facts

• 2 acre lot
• Built 1999
• Listed 32 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $74k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $762 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $74k).
• Recommended offer: $72k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#26 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities D+, employment D+.
• Lee County School District (rural): math 37% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #51 of 130 in MS (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 172 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $515 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lee County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($72k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $72,265 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.17% ✓
• Cap rate: 18.57%
• Cash-on-cash: 43.86%
• DSCR: 2.95
• GRM: 3.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 40.8%
• Equity multiple: 2.75×
• Total profit: $36,511
• Equity at exit: $11,108

10-year hold

• IRR: 47.1%
• Equity multiple: 5.53×
• Total profit: $94,420
• Equity at exit: $6,441

Cash invested: $20,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Mississippi: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 38804

• Active inventory: 172
• Price-to-rent: 3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,617 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$391
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$93 /mo · $1,118/yr
• Insurance: −$31
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$340
• Net cashflow: $762

Break-even live

Break-even rent $652

Max offer price $74,500

Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $18,625
• Closing costs: $2,235
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-06-01
   remarks 431-char remark
2. 2026-06-01
   statusdays on market $74,500 Pending 32 DOM
3. 2026-04-06
   listed $74,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,402
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,173
• − Property taxes: −$1,118
• − Insurance: −$372
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,552
• − Management: −$1,552
• − Depreciation: −$2,167
• Taxable income: $8,467
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,032
• After-tax cash flow: $7,117/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This mobile home requires extensive repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and increase its value.

Repairs flagged

• Major siding — Severe weathering and rust
• Major roof — Signs of wear and possible damage
• Major landscaping — Overgrown vegetation and debris

Value-add opportunities

• Both repair and paint exterior — Improves curb appeal and value
• Both repair roof — Fixes structural issues and enhances safety
• Both landscaping and debris removal — Enhances curb appeal and safety

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair item	Severity	Est. cost
siding · Severe weathering and rust	Major	$15,000–50,000
roof · Signs of wear and possible damage	Major	$15,000–50,000
landscaping · Overgrown vegetation and debris	Major	$15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items		$45,000–150,000

Value-add ROI direction

• Both repair and paint exterior — Improves curb appeal and value ↑
• Both repair roof — Fixes structural issues and enhances safety ↑
• Both landscaping and debris removal — Enhances curb appeal and safety ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lee County School District
• NCES district ID: 2802550
• Math proficiency: 37% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 35% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $41,435
• Composite: 30.38/100
• National rank: #6253
• State rank: #51 of 130 in MS

Livability — Tupelo

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #26
• US rank: #6369

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Lee County · 52,445 people
• City population: 46,551
• Metro: Tupelo, MS
• Population (ZIP): 16,693
• Household income: $64,420
• Rent vs Own: 36.3% rent · 63.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 642.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 90,253 people
• By 2030: 92,125 · +2.1%
• By 2040: 94,914 · +5.2%
• By 2050: 95,841 · +6.2%
• By 2075: 94,189 · +4.4%
• By 2100: 83,736 · -7.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (63%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 63% Black 30% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 1%
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+38.8) · D 30.0% · R 68.9% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -8.3pp toward R · 2008: -30.5pp · 2024: -38.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+38.8 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+37.7 2012: R+29.0 2008: R+30.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -111.19%
• Current HPI: 172.0153
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Tupelo, MS
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-04-06 Listed $74,500 NEMSBD