25671 Redblush Cir · Bonita Springs, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This brand new 1,320 square feet manufactured home located in Bonita Terra features 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Built in 2023 by Palm Harbor, this home boasts a spacious living room, dining room, family room, and a walk-in closet. The exterior of the home includes a deck, perfect for enjoying the beautiful weather in Bonita Springs. Inside, the home is equipped with stainless steel appliances, a dishwasher, washer/dryer hook up, and central A/C for added comfort. Leased land. Bonita Terra is a vibrant community located in the heart of Bonita Springs, FL. Residents of this community enjoy access to a clubhouse, swimming pool, fitness center, and various recreational activities. With beautifu
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Manufactured home
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listing status: Active
- Financial info: List price $199,900
Exterior
- Home design: Spec new construction; Plan named 25671 Redblush Circle; Located at 25671 Redblush Cir, Bonita Springs, FL 34135
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Living area of 1320
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $422 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $176k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 1.7% in Bonita Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#428 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: schools C-, cost of living C-, health & safety D.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 835 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 372 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 372 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.04%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-12,186
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-1,735
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34135
- Rents YoY
- -0.6%
- Active inventory
- 835
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,283 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$250 /mo · $2,998/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$479
- Net cashflow
- $422
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26658 Little John Ct #94 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 983 | $1,680 | $1.71 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 26680 Little John Ct #82 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 983 | $1,650 | $1.68 | 23d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 26687 Little John Ct #80 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 983 | $1,700 | $1.73 | 3d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 26705 Little John Ct #54 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 983 | $4,000 | $4.07 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 26729 Little John Ct #23 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 983 | $3,000 | $3.05 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 12341 Notting Hill Ln #25 Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1523 | $2,150 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 26728 Little John Ct #7 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1208 | $1,895 | $1.57 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 26741 Little John Ct #16 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1208 | $1,895 | $1.57 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 26197 Palace Ln #102 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1279 | $4,200 | $3.28 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 26747 Little John Ct #10 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1208 | $1,895 | $1.57 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 26560 Southern Pines Dr Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,850 | $1.54 | 3d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 26141 Palace Ln #201 Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1661 | $2,500 | $1.51 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 11305 Monte Carlo Blvd #202 Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1532 | $5,500 | $3.59 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 11305 Monte Carlo Blvd #202 Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1532 | $2,980 | $1.95 | 11d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 12303 Londonderry Ln Unit 12303 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1518 | $2,165 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 12349 Londonderry Ln Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1142 | $2,295 | $2.01 | 23d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 12243 Londonderry Ln Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1518 | $2,165 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 11495 Forest Mere Dr Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1422 | $2,400 | $1.69 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 11931 Palm Bay Ct Unit 102 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $1,800 | $1.91 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 11931 Palm Bay Ct Unit 202 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $1,700 | $1.81 | 3d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 11931 Palm Bay Ct Unit 202 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $1,885 | $2.01 | 10d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active 372 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,900 Active 371 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $199,900 Active 370 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,900 Active 368 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,900 Active 364 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,900 Active 362 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,900 Active 356 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,900 Active 355 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,390
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$2,998
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,191
- − Management
- −$2,191
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable income
- $1,997
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$479
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,582/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bonita Springs
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #428
- US rank
- #7576
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bonita Springs, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- City population
- 64,727
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,252
- Household income
- $91,380
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 976.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 13% Native American 3% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 21% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -188.86%
- Current HPI
- 243.4153
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.61%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…