3589 N Chamberlain Blvd · North Port, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.5/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Auction Property. One or more photos have been staged. Welcome to this well-situated 3-bedroom, 2-bath single-family home nestled on a quarter-acre lot in the heart of North Port. Built in 1997 with solid concrete block construction, this residence offers 1,260 square feet of heated living space with a functional layout featuring a spacious primary suite, two additional bedrooms with built-in closets, and a generously sized kitchen. The attached 2-car garage and southeast-facing front exposure add everyday convenience and natural morning light. Located along the N Chamberlain corridor with easy access to US-41, shopping, dining, and the area's renowned outdoor recreation, this home is a
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1997
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $592 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $160k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 3.6% in North Port — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#252 in FL, #3,975 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 837 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.1% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $65k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.38%
- DSCR
- 1.68
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $6,837
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $38,172
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34286
- Home prices YoY
- -9.5%
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 837
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,266 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$264 /mo · $3,164/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$476
- Net cashflow
- $592
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1015 Ohana Way North Port, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 923 | $1,799 | $1.95 | 13d | 33 | 0.70mi |
| 1247 Citizens Pkwy North Port, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $1,701 | $1.56 | 13d | 6 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-03price $165,000
-
2026-04-03status Active
-
2026-03-21status Pending
-
2026-03-04price $218,500
-
2026-02-13$230,000 Active
-
2007-05-10soldstatus $190,000
-
1997-03-05soldstatus $3,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,164 · $264/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,164 · $264/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,187
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$3,164
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,175
- − Management
- −$2,175
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $4,805
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,153
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,952/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sarasota
- NCES district ID
- 1201680
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,167
- Composite
- 53.68/100
- National rank
- #1428
- State rank
- #7 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Port
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #252
- US rank
- #3975
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Port, FL
- County
- Sarasota County · 448,376 people
- City population
- 75,324
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,534
- Household income
- $80,553
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 545.0
Population outlook (Sarasota County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 452,380 people
- By 2030
- 474,175 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 511,577 · +13.1%
- By 2050
- 541,467 · +19.7%
- By 2075
- 604,947 · +33.7%
- By 2100
- 621,965 · +37.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sarasota
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.2) · D 40.5% · R 58.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.2 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: R+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.36%
- Current HPI
- 297.3707
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.12%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+4242.1% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $165,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-21 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $218,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-13 Listed $230,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
- 1997-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $3,800 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,164 · -4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…