62-F Buckingham Dr Unit F · Leisure Village, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.4/15.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This beautifully updated Marlboro 2 BR END UNIT in the Leisure Village Adult Community is a must see! Inviting front porch looks over winding walking trails with Street Lamps and mature trees. The home offers a beautiful kitchen with Travertine flooring, Granite Countertops, Stainless Steel Appliances and upgraded cabinets. The Living Room/Dining Room is spacious with lots of natural light, and room to entertain. The bathroom is completely remodeled with a beautifully tiled Walk In Shower and newer Vanity. 2 nice sized BR, s, Washer and Dryer, pull down attic and plenty of closet space with an assigned outdoor storage unit and dedicated parking spot under CARPORT make this a great choice. This active community offers IG Pools, a Lake, Golf Course, Exercise Room, Shuffleboard, Bocci and Pickleball, all at an affordable price point.
Key facts
- Travertine flooring
- Inviting front porch
- Beautiful kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $84 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
- Recommended offer: $160k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#416 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime B+, cost of living B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Lakewood Township School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #417 of 472 in NJ (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Oak Street Elem School (math 17% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,030 of 1,303 statewide, top 80%, 534 students, 97% FRL); Lakewood Middle School (math 16% / reading 30%, grade F, #376 of 431 statewide, top 88%, 995 students, 94% FRL); Lakewood High School (math 14% / reading 37%, grade F, #321 of 399 statewide, top 81%, 1,423 students, 86% FRL).
- Market conditions: 426 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $38k; list at $170k implies a 347% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.13%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $185,999
- List price
- $169,900
- Delta
- -8.66%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52-A Cambridge Ct | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 987 (+6%) | 8mo | $160,000 | $162 | 78 |
| 70-C Dorchester Dr Unit C | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 986 (+6%) | 7mo | $227,000 | $230 | 76 |
| 46A Cambridge Ct | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 841 (-9%) | 16mo | $115,000 | $137 | 64 |
| 111-B E Edinburgh Ln | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 | 1,053 (+14%) | 8mo | $185,000 | $176 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-21,886
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- -3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-11,032
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08701
- Active inventory
- 426
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,090 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$212 /mo · $2,548/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$393
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$439
- Net cashflow
- $84
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $202 | -5% $143 | +0% $84 | +5% $26 | +10% $-33 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-81 | -5% $2 | +0% $84 | +5% $167 | +10% $249 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $170 | -0.5pp $128 | base $84 | +0.5pp $40 | +1.0pp $-4 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47L Cambridge Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 841 | $1,795 | $2.13 | 26d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 341B Canterbury Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $2,275 | $2.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 106A Edinburgh Ln Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $2,200 | $2.56 | 19d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 335A Canterbury Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $1,950 | $1.99 | 20d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 219 Buckingham Ct Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,900 | $2.87 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 278C Kingston Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,250 | $2.25 | 3d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1042C Aberdeen Dr Unit C Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $2,000 | $2.04 | 5d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 824A Balmoral Ct Unit A Toms River, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $2,200 | $2.24 | 20d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 829A Balmoral Ct Unit 1001 Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,600 | $2.41 | 26d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 523 Sophee Ln #1000 Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 889 | $1,800 | $2.02 | 1d | 1 | 1.23mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $393 · $4,716/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $169,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $169,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-05-01price $184,900 842-char remark
Show marketing remark (842 chars)
This beautifully updated Marlboro 2 BR END UNIT in the Leisure Village Adult Community is a must see! Inviting front porch looks over winding walking trails with Street Lamps and mature trees. The home offers a beautiful kitchen with Travertine flooring, Granite Countertops, Stainless Steel Appliances and upgraded cabinets. The Living Room/Dining Room is spacious with lots of natural light, and room to entertain. The bathroom is completely remodeled with a beautifully tiled Walk In Shower and newer Vanity. 2 nice sized BR, s, Washer and Dryer, pull down attic and plenty of closet space with an assigned outdoor storage unit and dedicated parking spot under CARPORT make this a great choice. This active community offers IG Pools, a Lake, Golf Course, Exercise Room, Shuffleboard, Bocci and Pickleball, all at an affordable price point.
-
2026-03-28$190,000 Active 842-char remark
Show marketing remark (842 chars)
This beautifully updated Marlboro 2 BR END UNIT in the Leisure Village Adult Community is a must see! Inviting front porch looks over winding walking trails with Street Lamps and mature trees. The home offers a beautiful kitchen with Travertine flooring, Granite Countertops, Stainless Steel Appliances and upgraded cabinets. The Living Room/Dining Room is spacious with lots of natural light, and room to entertain. The bathroom is completely remodeled with a beautifully tiled Walk In Shower and newer Vanity. 2 nice sized BR, s, Washer and Dryer, pull down attic and plenty of closet space with an assigned outdoor storage unit and dedicated parking spot under CARPORT make this a great choice. This active community offers IG Pools, a Lake, Golf Course, Exercise Room, Shuffleboard, Bocci and Pickleball, all at an affordable price point.
-
2013-04-19soldstatus $38,000 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Lovely Marboro end unit with picturesque parklike setting. Freshly painted; ready to move-in. Desirable 2 bedroom home within The Land of Seven Lakes...come and enjoy the finer things in life with over 45 clubs, 2 clubhouses, golf, 2 pools and many other amenities.
-
2013-01-25$45,000 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Lovely Marboro end unit with picturesque parklike setting. Freshly painted; ready to move-in. Desirable 2 bedroom home within The Land of Seven Lakes...come and enjoy the finer things in life with over 45 clubs, 2 clubhouses, golf, 2 pools and many other amenities.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,086
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$2,548
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,007
- − Management
- −$2,007
- − HOA
- −$4,716
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable loss
- −$1,502
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$360
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,372/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lakewood Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3408220
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,301
- Composite
- 19.21/100
- National rank
- #8813
- State rank
- #417 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Leisure Village
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #416
- US rank
- #14624
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Leisure Village, NJ
- County
- Ocean County · 439,426 people
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 139,149
- Household income
- $64,959
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5757.0
Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 586,991 people
- By 2030
- 581,403 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 564,913 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 538,149 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 468,845 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 350,297 · -40.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Italian 5% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ocean
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -682.83%
- Current HPI
- 465.344
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
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Price history
+310.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $184,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-28 Listed $190,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-04-19 Sold (MLS) $38,000 MOMLS
- 2013-01-25 Listed $45,000 MOMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…