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305 S 1st St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 76.36
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

305 S 1st St · Marshall, MN 56258
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 852 sqft · SingleFamily · 2 Days on market
Built 1920 6,577 sqft lot Est $115k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Why pay rent when you can own this cozy 2 bedroom home for less than a monthly rent payment. Maintenance free siding, nice backyard with mature trees and flower bed. Single detached garage with opener. Conveniently located to park, school and downtown.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Updates to lighting
  • Laundry room

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANLAUNDRY ROOMNEW SHINGLESNEW WALL FURNACEUPDATES TO FLOORINGUPDATES TO LIGHTING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: No fractional ownership

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached or attached 1-car garage (14 x 22)
  • Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Electric with circuit breakers; Natural gas
  • Home design: Residential single-story home; Entry level: main; Above-grade finished area 852
  • Construction: Asphalt roof (aged 8 years or less); Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Lot approximately 0.151 acres (50 x 132)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Range; Refrigerator; Kitchen and dining combined; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Washer/dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $85,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$115,020) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $304 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 4.2% in Marshall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#47 in MN, #1,265 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, commute F.
  • Marshall Public School District (town): math 46% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #163 of 301 in MN (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 212 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 91 units permitted in Lyon County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lyon County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $42k; list at $85k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $85,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
10.59%
Cash-on-cash
15.34%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$115,020
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
604 W Main St 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 798 (-6%) 0mo $108,000 $135 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.1%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$5,646
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
15.5%
Equity multiple
2.26×
Total profit
$30,024
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56258

Home prices YoY
-33.1%
Active inventory
212
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,168 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$137 /mo · $1,644/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$245
Net cashflow
$304

Break-even live

Break-even rent $782
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
103 W Lyon St Unit 100 Marshall, MN 2.0 1.0 950 $1,350 $1.42 44d 1 0.33mi
231 Legion Field Rd Unit 104 Marshall, MN 2.0 1.0 980 $1,495 $1.53 44d 1 0.68mi
1302 Birch St Marshall, MN 2.0 1.0 810 $990 $1.22 44d 7 1.25mi
1010 Clarice Ave Unit 102 Marshall, MN 2.0 1.0 957 $1,395 $1.46 44d 1 1.30mi
1010 Clarice Ave Unit 201 Marshall, MN 2.0 1.0 970 $1,325 $1.37 44d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $85,000 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 485-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $85,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,644 · $137/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,644 · $137/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,013
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,644
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,121
− Management
−$1,121
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$2,468
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$592
After-tax cash flow
$3,060/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marshall Public School District
NCES district ID
2718940
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$47,798
Composite
40.09/100
National rank
#3807
State rank
#163 of 301 in MN

Livability — Marshall

Score
82/100
State rank
#47
US rank
#1265

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Marshall, MN
County
Lyon County · 15,888 people
City population
15,888
Metro
Marshall, MN
Population (ZIP)
15,888
Household income
$72,731
Rent vs Own
34.2% rent · 65.8% own
Severe rent burden
483.0

Population outlook (Lyon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,369 people
By 2030
24,890 · -1.9%
By 2040
23,599 · -7.0%
By 2050
22,383 · -11.8%
By 2075
20,076 · -20.9%
By 2100
18,901 · -25.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 6% Black 4% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 14% English 6% Lithuanian 6%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lyon

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.8) · D 33.1% · R 64.9% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-30.2pp toward R · 2008: -1.6pp · 2024: -31.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.8 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+28.3 2012: R+9.2 2008: R+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -87.90%
Current HPI
177.471
Rent YoY
Metro
Marshall, MN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+102.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $85,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-02-02 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-07-20 Sold (MLS) $42,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-07-20 Sold (MLS) $42,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-06-03 Listed $42,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-06-03 Listed $42,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+10.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,644 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…