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2742 Territorial Rd
D Composite 41.4
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$24,900

2742 Territorial Rd · Benton Heights, MI 49022
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,120 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 54 Days on market
Built 1940 0.75 ac lot $12/sqft · 90% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Property currently consists of two dwellings on one parcel. Seller is in the process of splitting the property into two parcels (survey underway). 2728 is the residence that is for sale (this property is located behind main house 2742) and will be assigned its own parcel number upon township approval. Buyer to verify split status and timeline.

Key facts

  • 0.75 acre lot
  • Built 1940
  • Listed 53 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $792 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
  • Recommended offer: $24k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#506 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Benton Harbor Area Schools (urban): math 4% / reading 7% proficiency, ranked #732 of 760 in MI (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 89% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 179 active listings in the ZIP; 397 units permitted in Berrien County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $172 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $747 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Berrien County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $16k; list at $25k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $24,153 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.00%
Cap rate
44.46%
Cash-on-cash
136.30%
DSCR
7.06
GRM
1.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$126,213
List price
$24,900
Delta
-80.27%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
16 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.66×
Total profit
$46,432
Equity at exit
$3,713
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
16.13×
Total profit
$105,501
Equity at exit
$2,153

Cash invested: $6,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49022

Active inventory
179
Price-to-rent
1.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,244 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax from tax record
$50 /mo · $599/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$261
Net cashflow
$792

Break-even live

Break-even rent $242
Max offer price $24,900
Occupancy floor 31%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,225
Closing costs
$747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    remarks 358-char remark
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $24,900 Active 54 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $24,900 Active 53 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $24,900 Active 52 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $24,900 Active 51 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $24,900 Active 50 DOM
  7. 2026-04-10
    listed $24,900 Active 345-char remark
    Show marketing remark (348 chars)

    Property currently consists of two dwellings on one parcel. Seller is in the process of splitting the property into two parcels (survey underway). 2728 is the residence that is for sale (this property is located behind main house 2742) and will be assigned its own parcel number upon township approval. Buyer to verify split status and timeline.

  8. 2026-04-10
    listed $24,900 Active 348-char remark
    Show marketing remark (348 chars)

    Property currently consists of two dwellings on one parcel. Seller is in the process of splitting the property into two parcels (survey underway). 2728 is the residence that is for sale (this property is located behind main house 2742) and will be assigned its own parcel number upon township approval. Buyer to verify split status and timeline.

  9. 2026-04-10
    listed $24,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (348 chars)

    Property currently consists of two dwellings on one parcel. Seller is in the process of splitting the property into two parcels (survey underway). 2728 is the residence that is for sale (this property is located behind main house 2742) and will be assigned its own parcel number upon township approval. Buyer to verify split status and timeline.

  10. 2014-09-15
    historical
  11. 2014-09-15
    historical
  12. 2014-09-15
    historical
  13. 2013-10-22
    soldstatus $15,500
  14. 2013-01-25
    listed $39,900
  15. 2004-04-07
    listed $89,900
  16. 2003-09-27
    listed $89,900
  17. 2003-09-27
    listed $89,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$599 · $50/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$599 · $50/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,928
− Mortgage interest
−$1,395
− Property taxes
−$599
− Insurance
−$124
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,194
− Management
−$1,194
− Depreciation
−$724
Taxable income
$9,697
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,327
After-tax cash flow
$7,176/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Benton Harbor Area Schools
NCES district ID
2604830
Math proficiency
4% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$27,038
Composite
7.53/100
National rank
#14787
State rank
#732 of 760 in MI

Livability — Benton Heights

Score
63/100
State rank
#506
US rank
#15039

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Benton Heights, MI
Population (ZIP)
29,796

Population outlook (Berrien County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
149,273 people
By 2030
145,211 · -2.7%
By 2040
135,435 · -9.3%
By 2050
125,543 · -15.9%
By 2075
103,986 · -30.3%
By 2100
82,256 · -44.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Black 50% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Berrien

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.9) · D 45.4% · R 53.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-13.3pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -7.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+7.9 2020: R+7.4 2016: R+12.7 2012: R+6.6 2008: D+5.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -309.81%
Current HPI
209.9723
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-72.3% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $24,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $24,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $24,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2014-09-15 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2014-09-15 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2014-09-15 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2013-10-22 Sold (MLS) $15,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2013-01-25 Listed $39,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2004-04-07 Listed $89,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2003-09-27 Listed $89,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2003-09-27 Listed $89,900 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

-6.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $599 · +23.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…