307 4th St N · Richardton, ND
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,289 – $2,393
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.1/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$49,950
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 0.32 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1910
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size about 0.321 acres (approx. 50 x 140); Above-grade finished area approximately 1,421 (units provided in listing); Total building area approximately 2,257 (units provided in listing)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached or detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Propane fuel
- Home design: Residential property; One and one-half stories; Main level finished area approximately 836 (units provided in listing)
- Construction: Block foundation
- Exterior features: Wood exterior
Interior
- Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $717 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#100 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Richardton-Taylor 34 (rural): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #111 of 169 in ND (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Taylor-Richardton Elementary School (math 54% / reading 54%, grade C, #39 of 236 statewide, top 21%, 137 students, 28% FRL); Richardton-Taylor Elementary School (math 24% / reading 54%, grade F, #19 of 35 statewide, top 53%, 45 students, 29% FRL); Richardton-Taylor High School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #49 of 144 statewide, top 34%, 132 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools at 29% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
- Stark County population projected at +120% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 61.48%
- DSCR
- 3.74
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.16% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 67.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.92×
- Total profit
- $54,823
- Equity at exit
- $25,805
- IRR
- 66.1%
- Equity multiple
- 10.12×
- Total profit
- $127,543
- Equity at exit
- $42,593
Cash invested: $13,986 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58652
- Home prices YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 8
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,344 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $749/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $717
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $751 | -5% $734 | +0% $717 | +5% $699 | +10% $682 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $610 | -5% $664 | +0% $717 | +5% $770 | +10% $823 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $742 | -0.5pp $729 | base $717 | +0.5pp $704 | +1.0pp $690 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,488
- Closing costs
- $1,498
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $49,950 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $49,950 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,950 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,950 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,950 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,950 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,950 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $49,950 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,950 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,950 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,950 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $49,950 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $49,950 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,950 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,950 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,950 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-01$49,950 Active
-
2006-02-24soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,129
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,798
- − Property taxes
- −$749
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,290
- − Management
- −$1,290
- − Depreciation
- −$1,453
- Taxable income
- $8,298
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,992
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,608/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Richardton-Taylor 34
- NCES district ID
- 3800048
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,877
- Composite
- 35.31/100
- National rank
- #9820
- State rank
- #111 of 169 in ND
Livability — Richardton
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #100
- US rank
- #8799
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Richardton, ND
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,224
Population outlook (Stark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 50,426 people
- By 2030
- 60,812 · +20.6%
- By 2040
- 84,155 · +66.9%
- By 2050
- 110,718 · +119.6%
- By 2075
- 186,710 · +270.3%
- By 2100
- 264,902 · +425.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 10% Scotch-Irish 6% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Stark
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.6) · D 16.5% · R 82.1% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.5pp toward R · 2008: -29.1pp · 2024: -65.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.6 2020: R+63.9 2016: R+65.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+29.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.16%
- Current HPI
- 229.5364
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Listed $49,950 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-02-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+16.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,086 · +39.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…