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307 4th St N
B+ Composite 76.56
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$49,950

307 4th St N · Richardton, ND 58652
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,421 sqft · Other public records · 51 Days on market
Built 1910 0.32 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 0.32 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1910

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size about 0.321 acres (approx. 50 x 140); Above-grade finished area approximately 1,421 (units provided in listing); Total building area approximately 2,257 (units provided in listing)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached or detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Propane fuel
  • Home design: Residential property; One and one-half stories; Main level finished area approximately 836 (units provided in listing)
  • Construction: Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Wood exterior

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $717 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#100 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Richardton-Taylor 34 (rural): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #111 of 169 in ND (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Taylor-Richardton Elementary School (math 54% / reading 54%, grade C, #39 of 236 statewide, top 21%, 137 students, 28% FRL); Richardton-Taylor Elementary School (math 24% / reading 54%, grade F, #19 of 35 statewide, top 53%, 45 students, 29% FRL); Richardton-Taylor High School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #49 of 144 statewide, top 34%, 132 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools at 29% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
  • Stark County population projected at +120% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $48,451 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.69%
Cap rate
23.51%
Cash-on-cash
61.48%
DSCR
3.74
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.16% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
67.5%
Equity multiple
4.92×
Total profit
$54,823
Equity at exit
$25,805
10-year hold
IRR
66.1%
Equity multiple
10.12×
Total profit
$127,543
Equity at exit
$42,593

Cash invested: $13,986 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Dakota
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 58652

Home prices YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
8
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,344 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $749/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$282
Net cashflow
$717

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437
Max offer price $49,950
Occupancy floor 42%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $751 -5% $734 +0% $717 +5% $699 +10% $682
Rent -10% $610 -5% $664 +0% $717 +5% $770 +10% $823
Rate -1.0pp $742 -0.5pp $729 base $717 +0.5pp $704 +1.0pp $690

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,488
Closing costs
$1,498
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $49,950 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $49,950 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,950 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,950 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,950 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,950 Active 45 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,950 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $49,950 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,950 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,950 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,950 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $49,950 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $49,950 Active 33 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,950 Active 32 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,950 Active 31 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,950 Active 30 DOM
  17. 2026-05-01
    listed $49,950 Active
  18. 2006-02-24
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,129
− Mortgage interest
−$2,798
− Property taxes
−$749
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,290
− Management
−$1,290
− Depreciation
−$1,453
Taxable income
$8,298
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,992
After-tax cash flow
$6,608/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richardton-Taylor 34
NCES district ID
3800048
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$53,877
Composite
35.31/100
National rank
#9820
State rank
#111 of 169 in ND

Livability — Richardton

Score
69/100
State rank
#100
US rank
#8799

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Richardton, ND
Population (ZIP)
1,224

Population outlook (Stark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
50,426 people
By 2030
60,812 · +20.6%
By 2040
84,155 · +66.9%
By 2050
110,718 · +119.6%
By 2075
186,710 · +270.3%
By 2100
264,902 · +425.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 10% Scotch-Irish 6% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Stark

2024 margin
Solid R (+65.6) · D 16.5% · R 82.1% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-36.5pp toward R · 2008: -29.1pp · 2024: -65.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+65.6 2020: R+63.9 2016: R+65.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+29.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.16%
Current HPI
229.5364
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.09%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $49,950 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-02-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+16.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,086 · +39.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…