1310 Ueberroth Ave · Salisbury, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.0/30.0
- ARV discount +8.2/15.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$283,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beutifully maintained Cape Cod Features fenced yard with storage shed and above ground heated swimming pool.
Key facts
- New furnace
- Above-ground pool
- New roof
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story building (listed as 1 story total); Block and concrete construction
- Construction: Block construction; Concrete construction
- Exterior features: Yard fenced; Above-ground pool; Flat lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two first-floor bedrooms; One second-floor bedroom; Basement room
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (first floor)
- Heating & cooling: Oil heating; Ceiling fan(s); Wall/window unit(s)
- Interior features: Dining area; Separate/formal dining room
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Oil water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $284k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-18 ($-214/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $281k (1.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $243k (14.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $243k (14.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.6% in Salisbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#919 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Salisbury Township SD (suburban): math 29% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #307 of 539 in PA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 161 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($275k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $170k; list at $284k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.27%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $288,714
- List price
- $283,999
- Delta
- -1.63%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1624 Paxford Rd | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,524 (+5%) | 2mo | $96,000 | $63 | 72 |
| 1145 E Susquehanna St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,384 (-4%) | 12mo | $260,000 | $188 | 71 |
| 1304 Maumee Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,424 (-2%) | 16mo | $270,000 | $190 | 69 |
| 1127 Lehigh Ave | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,608 (+11%) | 10mo | $275,000 | $171 | 65 |
| 806 E Paoli St | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,515 (+5%) | 2mo | $350,000 | $231 | 60 |
| 936 E Montgomery St | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 | 1,512 (+4%) | 14mo | $370,000 | $245 | 56 |
| 1710 Illingsworth St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,452 (+0%) | 8mo | $319,600 | $220 | 55 |
| 602 E Juniata St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,302 (-10%) | 3mo | $319,000 | $245 | 47 |
| 826 E Federal St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,260 (-13%) | 9mo | $259,900 | $206 | 44 |
| 935 E Montgomery St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,665 (+15%) | 11mo | $340,000 | $204 | 41 |
| 514 E Lexington St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,618 (+12%) | 6mo | $323,452 | $200 | 36 |
| 1602 Church Rd | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,584 (+9%) | 14mo | $330,000 | $208 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-36,814
- Equity at exit
- $42,345
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $12,606
- Equity at exit
- $24,555
Cash invested: $79,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18103
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 161
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,433 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,489
- Tax from tax record
- −$332 /mo · $3,987/yr
- Insurance
- −$118
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$511
- Net cashflow
- $-18
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $143 | -5% $63 | +0% $-18 | +5% $-98 | +10% $-179 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-210 | -5% $-114 | +0% $-18 | +5% $78 | +10% $174 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $125 | -0.5pp $54 | base $-18 | +0.5pp $-91 | +1.0pp $-166 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,000
- Closing costs
- $8,520
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605 E Susquehanna St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $2,500 | $2.29 | 15d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1861 E Emmaus Ave Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1704 | $2,500 | $1.47 | 15d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1509 S Albert St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,750 | $1.90 | 21d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 230 E Fairview St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $2,300 | $1.63 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $283,999 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $283,999 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $283,999 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $283,999 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $283,999 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $283,999 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $283,999 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $283,999 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $283,999 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $283,999 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $283,999 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $283,999 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $283,999 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $283,999 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $283,999 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-12$283,999 Active 742-char remark
-
2007-02-05soldstatus $170,000 108-char remark
Show marketing remark (108 chars)
Beutifully maintained Cape Cod Features fenced yard with storage shed and above ground heated swimming pool.
-
2007-02-05soldstatus $170,000
Show marketing remark (108 chars)
Beutifully maintained Cape Cod Features fenced yard with storage shed and above ground heated swimming pool.
-
2006-12-12$170,000 108-char remark
Show marketing remark (108 chars)
Beutifully maintained Cape Cod Features fenced yard with storage shed and above ground heated swimming pool.
-
2001-08-29historical
-
2001-06-21$105,850
-
1998-12-01soldstatus $34,398
-
1989-08-09soldstatus $38,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,987 · $332/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,237 · $353/mo
- Expected delta
- +$250/yr (+$21/mo · 6.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,196
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,908
- − Property taxes
- −$3,987
- − Insurance
- −$1,420
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,336
- − Management
- −$2,336
- − Depreciation
- −$8,262
- Taxable loss
- −$5,052
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,213
- After-tax cash flow
- $999/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Salisbury Township SD
- NCES district ID
- 4220730
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,808
- Composite
- 36.3/100
- National rank
- #4696
- State rank
- #307 of 539 in PA
Livability — Salisbury
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #919
- US rank
- #9930
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lehigh County · 333,019 people
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,746
- Household income
- $72,895
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1792.0
Population outlook (Lehigh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,957 people
- By 2030
- 408,319 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 440,007 · +12.0%
- By 2050
- 475,940 · +21.1%
- By 2075
- 590,448 · +50.3%
- By 2100
- 690,314 · +75.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 15% Black 9% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 15% Dominican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Polish 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lehigh
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.9pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 2.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.7 2020: D+7.6 2016: D+4.4 2012: D+7.5 2008: D+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -358.28%
- Current HPI
- 298.1512
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.05%
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+647.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $283,999 GLVRMLS
- 2007-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
- 2007-02-05 Sold (MLS) $170,000 GLVRMLS
- 2006-12-12 Listed $170,000 GLVRMLS
- 2001-08-29 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2001-06-21 Listed $105,850 GLVRMLS
- 1998-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $34,398 Public Records
- 1989-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2026): $3,987 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…