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15464 Oakfield St
B- Composite 65.3
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.0/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

15464 Oakfield St · Detroit, MI 48227
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,518 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1920 0.28 ac lot Est $93k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Classic Detroit brick bungalow offering exceptional potential for an owner-occupant or investor. Enjoy a spacious living room with coved ceilings and a wood-burning fireplace, a formal dining area, and a functional kitchen with ample cabinet space. A 3-season room off the kitchen provides additional flexible living space. The home features two main-floor bedrooms and two upper bedrooms, allowing for versatile use. A Covered front porch and a full basement with walkout access offers even more room for storage, future finishing, or the possibility of an additional bedroom. Home includes a generator hookup for added peace of mind. Large fenced yard with rear accessibility ramp. Newer high-efficiency Trane furnace. Conveniently located near parks, schools, and major roadways. Sold as-is - bring your ideas and make it your own!

Key facts

  • Functional kitchen
  • Formal dining area
  • Ample cabinet space

Tags

SPACIOUS LIVING ROOMFORMAL DINING AREAFUNCTIONAL KITCHENAMPLE CABINET SPACE3-SEASON ROOMENCLOSED FRONT PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $513 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 385 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,529/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 2371% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $7k; list at $100k implies a 1268% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $98,401 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.53%
Cap rate
12.45%
Cash-on-cash
21.99%
DSCR
1.98
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$92,598
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15455 Lindsay St St 0.05mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,500 (-1%) 4mo $198,000 $132 85
15762 Ferguson St 0.28mi 4/2.0 1,510 (-0%) 4mo $82,000 $54 81
15357 Rutherford St 0.50mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,592 (+5%) 2mo $45,000 $28 62
16533 Harlow St 0.47mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,385 (-9%) 2mo $83,989 $61 57
15482 Rutherford St 0.52mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,653 (+9%) 0mo $65,000 $39 54
14837 Ashton Rd 0.57mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,386 (-9%) 2mo $200,000 $144 52
16601 Ferguson St 0.57mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,625 (+7%) 1mo $189,900 $117 52
15530 Winthrop St 0.73mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,573 (+4%) 3mo $60,000 $38 50
15727 Mansfield St 0.44mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,300 (-14%) 3mo $55,000 $42 48
15092 Faust Ave 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,310 (-14%) 1mo $127,500 $97 46
14529 Asbury Park 0.71mi 4/2.0 1,688 (+11%) 4mo $127,500 $76 43
14736 Mansfield St 0.66mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,318 (-13%) 0mo $62,000 $47 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
1.74×
Total profit
$20,571
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
27.9%
Equity multiple
3.78×
Total profit
$77,744
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48227

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
385
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,529 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$130 /mo · $1,559/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$321
Net cashflow
$513

Break-even live

Break-even rent $880
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $569 -5% $541 +0% $513 +5% $484 +10% $456
Rent -10% $392 -5% $452 +0% $513 +5% $573 +10% $633
Rate -1.0pp $563 -0.5pp $538 base $513 +0.5pp $487 +1.0pp $460

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 32 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15065 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 44d 1 0.23mi
15332 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 17d 1 0.43mi
14800 Woodmont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1612 $1,525 $0.95 15d 1 0.47mi
16210 Ferguson St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 1493 $1,750 $1.17 4d 1 0.48mi
15866 Mansfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1324 $1,425 $1.08 25d 1 0.52mi
15752 Rutherford St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1174 $1,386 $1.18 5d 1 0.53mi
16535 Asbury Park Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1152 $1,450 $1.26 25d 1 0.54mi
16014 Hackett St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 1142 $1,500 $1.31 44d 1 0.63mi
16876 Harlow Ave Unit (NO) Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,350 $1.08 44d 1 0.76mi
14504 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1362 $1,473 $1.08 44d 1 0.79mi
16757 Greenview Ave Unit 1A Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1600 $1,500 $0.94 5d 1 0.82mi
14893 Prest St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 15d 1 0.93mi
16823 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,600 $1.07 18d 1 0.96mi
16837 Winthrop St Detroit, MI 5.0 2.0 1500 $2,000 $1.33 20d 1 1.00mi
17165 Prevost St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1060 $2,400 $2.26 2d 1 1.03mi
15829 Minock St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,550 $1.29 25d 1 1.05mi
14814 Sussex St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 44d 1 1.10mi
15810 Robson St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1142 $1,500 $1.31 25d 1 1.12mi
16151 Robson St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,525 $1.17 15d 1 1.13mi
15341 Lauder St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1080 $1,475 $1.37 17d 1 1.15mi
15815 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,300 $0.96 44d 1 1.24mi
17238 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,550 $1.29 44d 1 1.24mi
15712 Vaughan St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1280 $1,400 $1.09 15d 1 1.25mi
17654 Greenview Ave Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1377 $1,350 $0.98 17d 1 1.32mi
13581 Penrod St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1152 $1,200 $1.04 44d 1 1.33mi
14375 Terry St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,425 $1.10 44d 1 1.35mi
17654 Sunderland Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 44d 1 1.39mi
14828 Heyden St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1562 $1,350 $0.86 18d 1 1.39mi
15762 Mark Twain St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1430 $1,250 $0.87 17d 1 1.42mi
14104 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1327 $1,350 $1.02 5d 1 1.44mi
12840 Grandmont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 44d 1 1.47mi
14600 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,450 $1.12 44d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2025-12-22
    status Pending 834-char remark
    Show marketing remark (834 chars)

    Classic Detroit brick bungalow offering exceptional potential for an owner-occupant or investor. Enjoy a spacious living room with coved ceilings and a wood-burning fireplace, a formal dining area, and a functional kitchen with ample cabinet space. A 3-season room off the kitchen provides additional flexible living space. The home features two main-floor bedrooms and two upper bedrooms, allowing for versatile use. A Covered front porch and a full basement with walkout access offers even more room for storage, future finishing, or the possibility of an additional bedroom. Home includes a generator hookup for added peace of mind. Large fenced yard with rear accessibility ramp. Newer high-efficiency Trane furnace. Conveniently located near parks, schools, and major roadways. Sold as-is - bring your ideas and make it your own!

  2. 2025-12-22
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (834 chars)

    Classic Detroit brick bungalow offering exceptional potential for an owner-occupant or investor. Enjoy a spacious living room with coved ceilings and a wood-burning fireplace, a formal dining area, and a functional kitchen with ample cabinet space. A 3-season room off the kitchen provides additional flexible living space. The home features two main-floor bedrooms and two upper bedrooms, allowing for versatile use. A Covered front porch and a full basement with walkout access offers even more room for storage, future finishing, or the possibility of an additional bedroom. Home includes a generator hookup for added peace of mind. Large fenced yard with rear accessibility ramp. Newer high-efficiency Trane furnace. Conveniently located near parks, schools, and major roadways. Sold as-is - bring your ideas and make it your own!

  3. 2025-12-02
    listed $99,900 Active 834-char remark
    Show marketing remark (834 chars)

    Classic Detroit brick bungalow offering exceptional potential for an owner-occupant or investor. Enjoy a spacious living room with coved ceilings and a wood-burning fireplace, a formal dining area, and a functional kitchen with ample cabinet space. A 3-season room off the kitchen provides additional flexible living space. The home features two main-floor bedrooms and two upper bedrooms, allowing for versatile use. A Covered front porch and a full basement with walkout access offers even more room for storage, future finishing, or the possibility of an additional bedroom. Home includes a generator hookup for added peace of mind. Large fenced yard with rear accessibility ramp. Newer high-efficiency Trane furnace. Conveniently located near parks, schools, and major roadways. Sold as-is - bring your ideas and make it your own!

  4. 2025-12-02
    listed $99,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (834 chars)

    Classic Detroit brick bungalow offering exceptional potential for an owner-occupant or investor. Enjoy a spacious living room with coved ceilings and a wood-burning fireplace, a formal dining area, and a functional kitchen with ample cabinet space. A 3-season room off the kitchen provides additional flexible living space. The home features two main-floor bedrooms and two upper bedrooms, allowing for versatile use. A Covered front porch and a full basement with walkout access offers even more room for storage, future finishing, or the possibility of an additional bedroom. Home includes a generator hookup for added peace of mind. Large fenced yard with rear accessibility ramp. Newer high-efficiency Trane furnace. Conveniently located near parks, schools, and major roadways. Sold as-is - bring your ideas and make it your own!

  5. 2012-07-30
    soldstatus $7,300 92-char remark
    Show marketing remark (92 chars)

    Bungalow style features 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, basement and much more! Call LA for details.

  6. 2012-07-30
    soldstatus $7,300
    Show marketing remark (92 chars)

    Bungalow style features 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, basement and much more! Call LA for details.

  7. 2012-05-01
    historical 92-char remark
    Show marketing remark (92 chars)

    Bungalow style features 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, basement and much more! Call LA for details.

  8. 2012-02-10
    listed $7,300 92-char remark
    Show marketing remark (92 chars)

    Bungalow style features 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, basement and much more! Call LA for details.

  9. 2012-02-10
    listed $7,300
    Show marketing remark (92 chars)

    Bungalow style features 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, basement and much more! Call LA for details.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,559 · $130/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,559 · $130/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,349
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,559
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,468
− Management
−$1,468
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$4,853
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,165
After-tax cash flow
$4,986/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
40,302
Household income
$36,527
Rent vs Own
40.9% rent · 59.1% own
Severe rent burden
2371.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (95%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 95% Two or more races 3% White 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -125.00%
Current HPI
186.4158
Rent YoY
▲ 5.59%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1268.5% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-22 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-22 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-02 Listed $99,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-02 Listed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-07-30 Sold (MLS) $7,300 REALCOMP
  • 2012-07-30 Sold (MLS) $7,300 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-05-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-02-10 Listed $7,300 REALCOMP
  • 2012-02-10 Listed $7,300 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,559 · -9.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…