15464 Oakfield St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.0/15.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Classic Detroit brick bungalow offering exceptional potential for an owner-occupant or investor. Enjoy a spacious living room with coved ceilings and a wood-burning fireplace, a formal dining area, and a functional kitchen with ample cabinet space. A 3-season room off the kitchen provides additional flexible living space. The home features two main-floor bedrooms and two upper bedrooms, allowing for versatile use. A Covered front porch and a full basement with walkout access offers even more room for storage, future finishing, or the possibility of an additional bedroom. Home includes a generator hookup for added peace of mind. Large fenced yard with rear accessibility ramp. Newer high-efficiency Trane furnace. Conveniently located near parks, schools, and major roadways. Sold as-is - bring your ideas and make it your own!
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Formal dining area
- Ample cabinet space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $513 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 385 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,529/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 2371% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $7k; list at $100k implies a 1268% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.99%
- DSCR
- 1.98
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $92,598
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15455 Lindsay St St | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,500 (-1%) | 4mo | $198,000 | $132 | 85 |
| 15762 Ferguson St | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 | 1,510 (-0%) | 4mo | $82,000 | $54 | 81 |
| 15357 Rutherford St | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,592 (+5%) | 2mo | $45,000 | $28 | 62 |
| 16533 Harlow St | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,385 (-9%) | 2mo | $83,989 | $61 | 57 |
| 15482 Rutherford St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,653 (+9%) | 0mo | $65,000 | $39 | 54 |
| 14837 Ashton Rd | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,386 (-9%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $144 | 52 |
| 16601 Ferguson St | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,625 (+7%) | 1mo | $189,900 | $117 | 52 |
| 15530 Winthrop St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,573 (+4%) | 3mo | $60,000 | $38 | 50 |
| 15727 Mansfield St | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,300 (-14%) | 3mo | $55,000 | $42 | 48 |
| 15092 Faust Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,310 (-14%) | 1mo | $127,500 | $97 | 46 |
| 14529 Asbury Park | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 | 1,688 (+11%) | 4mo | $127,500 | $76 | 43 |
| 14736 Mansfield St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,318 (-13%) | 0mo | $62,000 | $47 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $20,571
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 27.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.78×
- Total profit
- $77,744
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48227
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 385
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,529 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$130 /mo · $1,559/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$321
- Net cashflow
- $513
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $569 | -5% $541 | +0% $513 | +5% $484 | +10% $456 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $392 | -5% $452 | +0% $513 | +5% $573 | +10% $633 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $563 | -0.5pp $538 | base $513 | +0.5pp $487 | +1.0pp $460 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15065 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 15332 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 17d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 14800 Woodmont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1612 | $1,525 | $0.95 | 15d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 16210 Ferguson St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 4d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 15866 Mansfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1324 | $1,425 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 15752 Rutherford St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $1,386 | $1.18 | 5d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 16535 Asbury Park Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $1,450 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 16014 Hackett St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1142 | $1,500 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 16876 Harlow Ave Unit (NO) Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,350 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 14504 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1362 | $1,473 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 16757 Greenview Ave Unit 1A Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,500 | $0.94 | 5d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 14893 Prest St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 15d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 16823 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 18d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 16837 Winthrop St Detroit, MI | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 20d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 17165 Prevost St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $2,400 | $2.26 | 2d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 15829 Minock St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 14814 Sussex St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 15810 Robson St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1142 | $1,500 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 16151 Robson St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,525 | $1.17 | 15d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 15341 Lauder St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,475 | $1.37 | 17d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 15815 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,300 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 17238 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 15712 Vaughan St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1280 | $1,400 | $1.09 | 15d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 17654 Greenview Ave Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1377 | $1,350 | $0.98 | 17d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 13581 Penrod St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,200 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 14375 Terry St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,425 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 17654 Sunderland Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 14828 Heyden St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1562 | $1,350 | $0.86 | 18d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 15762 Mark Twain St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 17d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 14104 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1327 | $1,350 | $1.02 | 5d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 12840 Grandmont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 14600 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2025-12-22status Pending 834-char remark
Show marketing remark (834 chars)
Classic Detroit brick bungalow offering exceptional potential for an owner-occupant or investor. Enjoy a spacious living room with coved ceilings and a wood-burning fireplace, a formal dining area, and a functional kitchen with ample cabinet space. A 3-season room off the kitchen provides additional flexible living space. The home features two main-floor bedrooms and two upper bedrooms, allowing for versatile use. A Covered front porch and a full basement with walkout access offers even more room for storage, future finishing, or the possibility of an additional bedroom. Home includes a generator hookup for added peace of mind. Large fenced yard with rear accessibility ramp. Newer high-efficiency Trane furnace. Conveniently located near parks, schools, and major roadways. Sold as-is - bring your ideas and make it your own!
-
2025-12-22status Pending
Show marketing remark (834 chars)
Classic Detroit brick bungalow offering exceptional potential for an owner-occupant or investor. Enjoy a spacious living room with coved ceilings and a wood-burning fireplace, a formal dining area, and a functional kitchen with ample cabinet space. A 3-season room off the kitchen provides additional flexible living space. The home features two main-floor bedrooms and two upper bedrooms, allowing for versatile use. A Covered front porch and a full basement with walkout access offers even more room for storage, future finishing, or the possibility of an additional bedroom. Home includes a generator hookup for added peace of mind. Large fenced yard with rear accessibility ramp. Newer high-efficiency Trane furnace. Conveniently located near parks, schools, and major roadways. Sold as-is - bring your ideas and make it your own!
-
2025-12-02$99,900 Active 834-char remark
Show marketing remark (834 chars)
Classic Detroit brick bungalow offering exceptional potential for an owner-occupant or investor. Enjoy a spacious living room with coved ceilings and a wood-burning fireplace, a formal dining area, and a functional kitchen with ample cabinet space. A 3-season room off the kitchen provides additional flexible living space. The home features two main-floor bedrooms and two upper bedrooms, allowing for versatile use. A Covered front porch and a full basement with walkout access offers even more room for storage, future finishing, or the possibility of an additional bedroom. Home includes a generator hookup for added peace of mind. Large fenced yard with rear accessibility ramp. Newer high-efficiency Trane furnace. Conveniently located near parks, schools, and major roadways. Sold as-is - bring your ideas and make it your own!
-
2025-12-02$99,900 Active
Show marketing remark (834 chars)
Classic Detroit brick bungalow offering exceptional potential for an owner-occupant or investor. Enjoy a spacious living room with coved ceilings and a wood-burning fireplace, a formal dining area, and a functional kitchen with ample cabinet space. A 3-season room off the kitchen provides additional flexible living space. The home features two main-floor bedrooms and two upper bedrooms, allowing for versatile use. A Covered front porch and a full basement with walkout access offers even more room for storage, future finishing, or the possibility of an additional bedroom. Home includes a generator hookup for added peace of mind. Large fenced yard with rear accessibility ramp. Newer high-efficiency Trane furnace. Conveniently located near parks, schools, and major roadways. Sold as-is - bring your ideas and make it your own!
-
2012-07-30soldstatus $7,300 92-char remark
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Bungalow style features 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, basement and much more! Call LA for details.
-
2012-07-30soldstatus $7,300
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Bungalow style features 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, basement and much more! Call LA for details.
-
2012-05-01historical 92-char remark
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Bungalow style features 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, basement and much more! Call LA for details.
-
2012-02-10$7,300 92-char remark
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Bungalow style features 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, basement and much more! Call LA for details.
-
2012-02-10$7,300
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Bungalow style features 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, basement and much more! Call LA for details.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,559 · $130/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,559 · $130/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,349
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,559
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,468
- − Management
- −$1,468
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $4,853
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,165
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,986/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,302
- Household income
- $36,527
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2371.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 95% Two or more races 3% White 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.00%
- Current HPI
- 186.4158
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.59%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+1268.5% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-22 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-22 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-12-02 Listed $99,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-02 Listed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-07-30 Sold (MLS) $7,300 REALCOMP
- 2012-07-30 Sold (MLS) $7,300 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-05-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-02-10 Listed $7,300 REALCOMP
- 2012-02-10 Listed $7,300 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,559 · -9.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…