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914 NW 52 Ave 🏗️ New Construction
D Composite 44.94
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +0.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$219,900

914 NW 52 Ave · Ocala, FL 34482
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,181 sqft · SingleFamily · 37 Days on market
Built 2026 Poor condition 7,841 sqft lot ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Under Construction. Home is under construction. Completion date May 2026. * * PICTURES ARE OF A MODEL HOME SOME DETAILS MAY VARY * * Discover your ideal home with this charming new construction property, perfectly situated near the World Equestrian Center (WEC) in beautiful Ocala, FL. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home features a 1-car garage and offers a fantastic opportunity for first-time home buyers and investors alike, with no HOA fees. Bright and airy open-concept living space, perfect for entertaining! Contemporary kitchen equipped with stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, and ample storage! Comfortable master suite featuring a private bathroom and spacious walk-in c

Key facts

  • New construction
  • No hoa fees
  • Private bathroom

Tags

NEW CONSTRUCTIONNO HOA FEESOPEN-CONCEPT LIVING SPACESTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESGRANITE COUNTERTOPSPRIVATE BATHROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential; Property subtype: Single Family Residence; Zoning: R2; Lot size about 0.18 acres (approx. 728 m²); Living area about 1181 (public records); total building area about 1522; Unfurnished

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Cable available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Facing east; Under construction (projected completion June 2026)
  • Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Built by MOGUL CONSTRUCTION LLC (model: JENKINS); Slab foundation; New construction
  • Exterior features: Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floor plan; ENERGY STAR qualified windows
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $219,900 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $206,090.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $93 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $220k (0.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $192k (12.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $192k (12.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.1% in Ocala — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#476 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Liberty Middle School (math 40% / reading 41%, grade F, #360 of 571 statewide, top 64%, 1,365 students, 54% FRL); West Port High School (math 34% / reading 52%, grade F, #255 of 667 statewide, top 39%, 2,906 students, 52% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.1%/yr); 670 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $192,016 (12.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.83%
Cash-on-cash
1.93%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$206,090
List price
$219,900
Delta
6.70%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5785 NW 14th St 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,232 (+4%) 6mo $215,000 $175 72
1035 NW 52nd Ct 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,181 (0%) 17mo $215,000 $182 70
1089 NW 52nd Ct 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,181 (0%) 17mo $220,000 $186 70
5935 NW 14th St 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,173 (-1%) 15mo $225,000 $192 66
5339 NW 6th Pl 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,173 (-1%) 24mo $230,000 $196 64
5711 NW 4th St 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,028 (-13%) 3mo $190,000 $185 59
1384 NW 48th Ter 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,263 (+7%) 2mo $262,790 $208 53
5532 NW 1st St 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,248 (+6%) 19mo $195,000 $156 46
5747 NW 4th St 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,028 (-13%) 24mo $225,000 $219 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.8%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-17,316
Equity at exit
$30,729
10-year hold
IRR
7.3%
Equity multiple
1.67×
Total profit
$38,826
Equity at exit
$17,819

Cash invested: $57,705 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34482

Rents YoY
11.1%
Active inventory
670
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,920 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,081
Tax est. 1.5%
$258 /mo · $3,091/yr
Insurance
$86
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$403
Net cashflow
$93

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,803
Max offer price $206,090
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $235 -5% $164 +0% $93 +5% $21 +10% $-50
Rent -10% $-59 -5% $17 +0% $93 +5% $169 +10% $244
Rate -1.0pp $196 -0.5pp $145 base $93 +0.5pp $39 +1.0pp $-15

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$51,523
Closing costs
$6,183
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
933 NW 57th Ct Unit 935 Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1162 $1,649 $1.42 23d 1 0.15mi
985 NW 57th Ct Unit 987 Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1162 $1,697 $1.46 23d 1 0.16mi
985 NW 57th Ct Unit 985 Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1162 $1,649 $1.42 23d 1 0.16mi
1017 NW 57th Ct Unit 1019 Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1162 $1,649 $1.42 23d 1 0.16mi
5811 NW 10th St Unit 5811 Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1162 $1,649 $1.42 23d 1 0.23mi
1527 NW 57th Ct Unit 1 Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1460 $1,550 $1.06 23d 1 0.41mi
311 NW 60th Ave Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1462 $1,900 $1.30 23d 1 0.58mi
5399 NW 18th St Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1085 $2,100 $1.94 15d 1 0.65mi
5399 NW 18th St Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1085 $2,100 $1.94 23d 1 0.65mi
1918 NW 50th Cir Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1061 $2,200 $2.07 23d 1 0.89mi
2028 NW 50th Ave Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1066 $1,595 $1.50 23d 1 0.94mi
2038 NW 50th Ave Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1062 $2,250 $2.12 23d 1 0.95mi
2048 NW 50th Ave Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1062 $2,250 $2.12 23d 1 0.95mi
NW 40th Avenue Rd Ocala, FL 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,050 $1.00 15d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $219,900 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $219,900 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $219,900 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $219,900 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $219,900 Active 31 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $219,900 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $219,900 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $219,900 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $219,900 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $219,900 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $219,900 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $225,000 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $225,000 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $225,000 Active 17 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $225,000 Active 16 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $225,000 Active 15 DOM
  17. 2026-05-15
    listed $225,000 Active 1403-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,042
− Mortgage interest
−$11,544
− Property taxes
−$3,091
− Insurance
−$1,030
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,843
− Management
−$1,843
− Depreciation
−$5,995
Taxable loss
−$2,306
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$553
After-tax cash flow
$1,666/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Poor 10/100 Gut rehab

This property is under construction and will not be move-in ready until May 2026. No repairs or maintenance are needed as it is in the construction phase.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion
NCES district ID
1201260
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,015
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4890
State rank
#61 of 73 in FL

Livability — Ocala

Score
69/100
State rank
#476
US rank
#8461

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Marion County · 315,796 people
City population
263,375
Metro
Ocala, FL
Population (ZIP)
22,807
Household income
$65,901
Rent vs Own
16.7% rent · 83.3% own
Severe rent burden
282.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
365,905 people
By 2030
376,768 · +3.0%
By 2040
396,555 · +8.4%
By 2050
412,723 · +12.8%
By 2075
446,090 · +21.9%
By 2100
436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (63%)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 14% Two or more races 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -133.62%
Current HPI
194.3857
Rent YoY
▲ 11.12%
Metro
Ocala, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Price Changed $219,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $225,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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