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2204 Avenue E
D+ Composite 49.39
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,500

2204 Avenue E · Brownwood, TX 76801
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 904 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 269 Days on market
7,492 sqft lot Est $109k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Very Nice Smaller home. Great for starter or investment. Some new electrical work. Some new plumbing. Overall this home for its age is in excellent condition. Need to look as it has great quality.

Key facts

  • Recently remodeled
  • New water heater
  • Splitter a-c unit

Tags

RECENTLY REMODELEDNEW ROOFNEW DOUBLE PANE WINDOWSNEW WATER HEATERSPLITTER A-C UNITORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listing is Active Under Contract; Possession at closing/funding
  • Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage information
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 covered space, 1 carport space)
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; No municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Property is attached; Residential property
  • Construction: Year built not specified
  • Exterior features: Lot under 0.5 acre (approximately 0.172 acres); Subdivision: Grandview Add; Located in Brown County

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with built-in cabinets; Appliances: Other
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: One-level layout; 3 total rooms; Living area includes 1 living area and 1 dining area; Other interior features

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $117 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.7% in Brownwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#781 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
  • Brownwood ISD (town): math 45% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #344 of 826 in TX (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Coggin El (math 45% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,545 of 4,322 statewide, top 38%, 708 students, 79% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 54% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 377 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 142 units permitted in Brown County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $757 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 269 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,360 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 269 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
7.57%
Cash-on-cash
4.57%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$109,384
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1809 Avenue C 0.30mi 2/1.0 911 (+1%) 12mo $109,900 $121 74
1810 9th St 0.34mi 2/1.0 857 (-5%) 2mo $69,000 $81 73
2400 Avenue I 0.26mi 2/1.0 896 (-1%) 21mo $130,000 $145 69
1700 4th St 0.48mi 2/1.0 877 (-3%) 6mo $115,000 $131 67
405 4th St 0.61mi 2/1.0 972 (+8%) 3mo $43,200 $44 56
1507 Avenue J 0.54mi 2/1.0 804 (-11%) 6mo $39,000 $49 52
2204 13th St 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 916 (+1%) 11mo $124,900 $136 51
1620 Avenue D 0.40mi 2/1.0 1,036 (+15%) 10mo $105,000 $101 49
1617 2nd St 0.61mi 3/1.0 (+1) 902 (-0%) 23mo $114,700 $127 47
2803 Avenue C 0.43mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,026 (+14%) 15mo $49,900 $49 40
2104 6th St 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,027 (+14%) 22mo $148,000 $144 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.2%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-10,296
Equity at exit
$16,327
10-year hold
IRR
0.3%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$655
Equity at exit
$9,468

Cash invested: $30,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76801

Active inventory
377
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,095 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$574
Tax from tax record
$128 /mo · $1,541/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$230
Net cashflow
$117

Break-even live

Break-even rent $947
Max offer price $109,500
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,375
Closing costs
$3,285
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2001 Brady Ave Unit 1705 Austin-A Brownwood, TX 2.0 1.0 1070 $1,095 $1.02 44d 1 0.34mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-04-29
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-22
    historical Active Option Contract
  3. 2026-02-26
    price $109,500
  4. 2025-11-19
    price $124,900
  5. 2025-11-03
    price $124,700
  6. 2025-08-03
    listed $129,000 Active
  7. 2002-11-04
    soldstatus 196-char remark
    Show marketing remark (196 chars)

    Very Nice Smaller home. Great for starter or investment. Some new electrical work. Some new plumbing. Overall this home for its age is in excellent condition. Need to look as it has great quality.

  8. 2002-11-04
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (196 chars)

    Very Nice Smaller home. Great for starter or investment. Some new electrical work. Some new plumbing. Overall this home for its age is in excellent condition. Need to look as it has great quality.

  9. 2002-10-09
    historical 196-char remark
    Show marketing remark (196 chars)

    Very Nice Smaller home. Great for starter or investment. Some new electrical work. Some new plumbing. Overall this home for its age is in excellent condition. Need to look as it has great quality.

  10. 2002-09-10
    listed $25,500 196-char remark
    Show marketing remark (196 chars)

    Very Nice Smaller home. Great for starter or investment. Some new electrical work. Some new plumbing. Overall this home for its age is in excellent condition. Need to look as it has great quality.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,541 · $128/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,004 · $167/mo
Expected delta
+$463/yr (+$39/mo · 30.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,140
− Mortgage interest
−$6,134
− Property taxes
−$1,541
− Insurance
−$548
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,051
− Management
−$1,051
− Depreciation
−$3,185
Taxable loss
−$370
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$89
After-tax cash flow
$1,490/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brownwood ISD
NCES district ID
4811700
Math proficiency
45% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$37,395
Composite
35.8/100
National rank
#4833
State rank
#344 of 826 in TX

Livability — Brownwood

Score
64/100
State rank
#781
US rank
#14230

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Brownwood, TX
Population (ZIP)
25,152

Population outlook (Brown County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,381 people
By 2030
38,288 · -0.2%
By 2040
38,120 · -0.7%
By 2050
38,227 · -0.4%
By 2075
39,362 · +2.6%
By 2100
39,171 · +2.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 15% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 23%
Common ancestry
Italian 12% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 17%

Political lean MEDSL · Brown

2024 margin
Solid R (+73.9) · D 12.7% · R 86.6%
2008→2024 swing
-12.5pp toward R · 2008: -61.5pp · 2024: -73.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+73.9 2020: R+72.6 2016: R+74.5 2012: R+71.7 2008: R+61.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -121.52%
Current HPI
164.0992
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+329.4% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-04-22 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-02-26 Price Changed $109,500 NTREIS
  • 2025-11-19 Price Changed $124,900 NTREIS
  • 2025-11-03 Price Changed $124,700 NTREIS
  • 2025-08-03 Listed $129,000 NTREIS
  • 2002-11-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-11-04 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2002-10-09 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2002-09-10 Listed $25,500 NTREIS

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,541 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…