1315 Parker St · Chester, PA
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful brick end of row townhome. Front, side and rear yard. Lg. lr, dr, modern kitchen, possible 4th bedroom or rec room on main level. Finished basement, powder room, Enclosed back porch outside of basement. Close to schools, shopping and public transportation. Well kept home with rear driveway and on street parking. Easy to show. Sidewalks, street lights, cable TW Wired.
Key facts
- 3,223 sq ft lot
- Built 1943
- Listed 14 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: House
- Exterior features: Lot is 3,223 sq ft
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-52 ($-621/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $96k (8.7% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (8.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 7.5% in Chester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#540 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Chester-Upland SD (suburban): math 4% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #533 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.9%/yr); 138 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 299 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,688/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 2668% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 34y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.68%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $291,264
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1201 Main St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,265 (-4%) | 1mo | $315,000 | $249 | 55 |
| 410 10th St | 0.53mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,381 (+5%) | 12mo | $293,300 | $212 | 49 |
| 301 W 22nd St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,224 (-7%) | 22mo | $127,500 | $104 | 48 |
| 1128 Concord Ave | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,150 (-12%) | 22mo | $130,000 | $113 | 44 |
| 203 W Chelton Rd | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,150 (-12%) | 7mo | $316,500 | $275 | 37 |
| 510 Patton Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 1,492 (+14%) | 8mo | $324,000 | $217 | 35 |
| 617 Patton Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,415 (+8%) | 23mo | $335,000 | $237 | 34 |
| 1001 Woodside Ave | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,136 (-13%) | 21mo | $200,000 | $176 | 32 |
| 225 W Chelton Rd | 0.70mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,150 (-12%) | 15mo | $255,000 | $222 | 27 |
| 230 W Roland Rd | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 1,150 (-12%) | 23mo | $315,000 | $274 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.88% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-13,029
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $16,607
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19013
- Rents YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 138
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,688 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$331 /mo · $3,969/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$355
- Net cashflow
- $-52
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $8 | -5% $-22 | +0% $-52 | +5% $-81 | +10% $-111 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-185 | -5% $-118 | +0% $-52 | +5% $15 | +10% $82 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1 | -0.5pp $-25 | base $-52 | +0.5pp $-79 | +1.0pp $-107 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 330 W 21st St Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,500 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 206 W Parkway Ave Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1666 | $1,450 | $0.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 125 W 21st St Chester, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $1,850 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 25 W Parkway Ave Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1324 | $1,600 | $1.21 | 5d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 418 Penn St Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,350 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 13 E 21st St Unit A Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 30 W Roland Rd Brookhaven, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1424 | $1,695 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 925 W 3rd St Chester, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,700 | $1.13 | 19d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 814 Upland St Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,525 | $1.13 | 8d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1016 Potter St Chester, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1536 | $1,750 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1012 Potter St Chester, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1536 | $1,650 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1224 Elson Rd Brookhaven, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,900 | $1.58 | 18d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1315 Harshaw Rd Brookhaven, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1260 | $2,395 | $1.90 | 1d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1127 Walnut St Chester, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1312 | $1,600 | $1.22 | 8d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 314 E 24th St Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 800 | $1,500 | $1.88 | 5d | 13 | 1.05mi |
| 608 E 9th St Unit 2 Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1776 | $1,400 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 610 E 9th St Apt 2 Claymont, DE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1760 | $1,300 | $0.74 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2701 Madison St Chester, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,533 | $1.78 | 2d | 10 | 1.09mi |
| 726 E 18th St Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1584 | $2,200 | $1.39 | 15d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2104 N Williams Cir Chester, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1540 | $1,895 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2015 Hyatt St Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,950 | $1.97 | 11d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 280 Bridgewater Rd Brookhaven, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $1,695 | $2.19 | 5d | 4 | 1.21mi |
| 280 Bridgewater Rd Brookhaven, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 775 | $1,800 | $2.32 | 24d | 2 | 1.21mi |
| 1211 Johnson St Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,500 | $1.70 | 3d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 51 Park Valley Ln Brookhaven, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 990 | $1,795 | $1.81 | 19d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1510 Washington Ave Chester, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1280 | $2,000 | $1.56 | 19d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 89 Park Valley Ln Brookhaven, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 984 | $1,705 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1118 Brown St Unit 318 Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,900 | $1.74 | 15d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2106 W 4th St Unit 2 Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1736 | $1,100 | $0.63 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1124 Thomas St Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1046 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $105,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $105,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $105,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 37-char remark
-
2026-06-04$105,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,969 · $331/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,969 · $331/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,261
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$3,969
- − Insurance
- −$6,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,621
- − Management
- −$1,621
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable loss
- −$1,936
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$465
- After-tax cash flow
- $-156/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chester-Upland SD
- NCES district ID
- 4205860
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,790
- Composite
- 8.05/100
- National rank
- #9918
- State rank
- #533 of 539 in PA
Livability — Chester
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #540
- US rank
- #5053
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chester, PA
- County
- Delaware County · 399,863 people
- City population
- 35,064
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,064
- Household income
- $41,261
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2668.0
Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 577,490 people
- By 2030
- 581,243 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 584,700 · +1.2%
- By 2050
- 586,581 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 598,706 · +3.7%
- By 2100
- 590,823 · +2.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 14% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Delaware
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.7) · D 61.4% · R 37.6% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.3pp toward D · 2008: 21.4pp · 2024: 23.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.7 2020: D+26.7 2016: D+22.0 2012: D+21.8 2008: D+21.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -149.69%
- Current HPI
- 219.5173
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.88%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+144.2% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $105,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2026-04-09 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-09 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $121,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $129,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-23 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-15 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $145,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-23 Price Changed $151,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $155,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-23 Listed $159,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
- 2006-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2006-03-31 Sold (MLS) $74,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-01-07 Listed $74,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1992-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
- 1992-10-30 Sold (MLS) $43,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1992-07-24 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 1992-07-16 Listed $43,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+24.2%/yrLatest (2026): $3,969 · +143.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…