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44 Darling Ave
D Composite 42.0
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.1/30.0
  • Schools +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$939,000

44 Darling Ave · New Rochelle, NY 10804
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,237 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1954 0.43 ac lot $420/sqft · 22% below area Est $1225k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Hang your coats and backpacks in the welcoming entrance foyer of this beautiful move-in ready expanded ranch. Rare in this quiet coveted Davis Elementary School neighborhood, this is a true four bedroom 2.5 bath home with bright spacious rooms offering a great one-level lifestyle. The open floor plan is fabulous for casual living and entertaining featuring: bay-windowed living room, dining room, expansive Great Room with wood burning fireplace and Palladium windows offering views of the verdant, almost half acre level property. The open-style gourmet kitchen w/ granite countertops and cherry wood cabinets has a walk-in pantry for all your storage needs, a pendant-lit breakfast bar and casua

Key facts

  • 0.43 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1954

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 1-car garage; Driveway; No carport
  • Security: Security system
  • Utilities: Electricity connected (Con-Edison); Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer; Trash collection
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Finished full basement
  • Construction: Frame construction; Pull-down attic stairs; Finished basement with storage space
  • Exterior features: Deck; Irrigation system; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator; Granite counters; Breakfast bar
  • Bedrooms: Master downstairs
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; First-floor full bath
  • Heating & cooling: Hot air heating; Central air conditioning; Fireplace
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Breakfast bar; Cathedral ceilings; Entrance foyer; Formal dining room; Granite counters; Primary bathroom; Master bedroom on the main level; Bay windows; Blinds; Window screens; Deck
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $939k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-967 ($-12k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $768k (18.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $715k (23.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $715k (23.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#487 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A, amenities B+; Watch: housing D+, commute F, cost of living F.
  • New Rochelle City School District (suburban): math 63% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #171 of 590 in NY (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: George M Davis Elementary School (math 72% / reading 72%, grade A-, #378 of 2,108 statewide, top 20%, 667 students, 36% FRL); Albert Leonard Middle School (math 41% / reading 73%, grade B, #192 of 729 statewide, top 28%, 1,086 students, 42% FRL); New Rochelle High School (math 87% / reading 72%, grade A-, #518 of 1,100 statewide, top 51%, 3,076 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools at 45% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $28k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $213k; list at $939k implies a 341% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $715,379 (23.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.13%
Cash-on-cash
-4.16%
DSCR
0.81
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$1,224,673
List price
$939,000
Delta
-23.33%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
151 Hilburn Rd 0.40mi 3/2.0 2,215 (-1%) 2mo $1,500,000 $677 78
18 Lambert Ln 0.21mi 3/3.5 2,079 (-7%) 4mo $1,310,000 $630 69
32 Lambert Ln 0.20mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,464 (+10%) 1mo $890,000 $361 64
168 Waverly Rd 0.52mi 3/3.0 2,114 (-6%) 1mo $1,370,000 $648 61
130 Locust Ave 0.57mi 3/2.5 2,400 (+7%) 1mo $1,619,000 $675 59
155 Hilburn Rd 0.38mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,429 (+9%) 3mo $1,670,000 $688 57
3 Greentree Dr 0.72mi 3/2.5 2,130 (-5%) 2mo $1,260,000 $592 55
1079 Weaver St 0.70mi 3/2.5 2,400 (+7%) 1mo $1,110,000 $463 52
44 Amherst Dr 0.70mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,181 (-2%) 3mo $1,187,000 $544 52
33 Johnson Rd 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,980 (-12%) 4mo $1,200,000 $606 52
105 Sprague Rd 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,959 (-12%) 4mo $1,215,000 $620 50
43 Amherst Dr 0.69mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,364 (+6%) 4mo $1,325,000 $560 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.7%
Equity multiple
0.19×
Total profit
$-213,538
Equity at exit
$140,008
10-year hold
IRR
-18.6%
Equity multiple
-0.01×
Total profit
$-264,462
Equity at exit
$81,188

Cash invested: $262,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 10804

Active inventory
116
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$7,154 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,924
Tax from tax record
$1,247 /mo · $14,966/yr
Insurance
$391
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,502
Net cashflow
$-967

Break-even live

Break-even rent $8,377
Max offer price $768,236
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$234,750
Closing costs
$28,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
106 White Rd Scarsdale, NY 3.0 2.0 1700 $5,999 $3.53 22d 1 0.48mi
106 White Rd Scarsdale, NY 3.0 2.0 1700 $5,800 $3.41 1d 1 0.48mi
155 White Rd Scarsdale, NY 3.0 1.5 1632 $7,000 $4.29 43d 1 0.55mi
4 Greentree Dr Scarsdale, NY 4.0 2.5 2086 $6,850 $3.28 1d 1 0.69mi
154 Bell Rd Scarsdale, NY 3.0 2.5 1611 $7,900 $4.90 1d 1 0.84mi
372 Heathcote Rd Scarsdale, NY 4.0 3.0 2826 $12,000 $4.25 1d 1 0.86mi
96 Alkamont Ave Scarsdale, NY 2.0 1.0 2000 $3,500 $1.75 43d 1 1.22mi
36 Grand Blvd Unit 2 Scarsdale, NY 3.0 2.0 1500 $6,100 $4.07 43d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    status Pending 1223-char remark
  2. 2026-05-01
    listed $939,000 Active 1223-char remark
  3. 2026-04-29
    historical $939,000 1223-char remark
  4. 1996-11-08
    soldstatus $213,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$14,966 · $1,247/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$15,417 · $1,285/mo
Expected delta
+$452/yr (+$38/mo · 3.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 96% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$85,845
− Mortgage interest
−$52,599
− Property taxes
−$14,966
− Insurance
−$5,362
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,868
− Management
−$6,868
− Depreciation
−$27,316
Taxable loss
−$28,132
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$6,752
After-tax cash flow
$-4,848/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
New Rochelle City School District
NCES district ID
3620490
Math proficiency
63% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▲ 9.00%
Median HH income
$69,165
Composite
56.63/100
National rank
#1139
State rank
#171 of 590 in NY

Livability — New Rochelle

Score
69/100
State rank
#487
US rank
#8572

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute F Cost of living F Crime A Employment A+ Housing D+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New Rochelle, NY
City population
63,657
Population (ZIP)
15,228

Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,028,035 people
By 2030
1,051,636 · +2.3%
By 2040
1,098,520 · +6.9%
By 2050
1,136,044 · +10.5%
By 2075
1,196,925 · +16.4%
By 2100
1,175,147 · +14.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 4% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, Dominican Republic, Jamaica
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Westchester

2024 margin
Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
2008→2024 swing
-1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -819.58%
Current HPI
280.9571
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+340.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $939,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-29 Coming Soon $939,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1996-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $213,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $14,966 · -17.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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