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225 Juniper St
D+ Composite 45.22
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.9/15.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

225 Juniper St · Auburn Hills, MI 48326
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,452 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1955 0.37 ac lot Est $277k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to your own private oasis right in the heart of Auburn Hills! This beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers the perfect blend of comfort, style, and functional living space. Step inside to a bright and airy main level, but the real magic happens when you head downstairs. The fully finished basement features a cozy, statement fireplace - the absolute perfect spot for movie nights, a home office, or a warm retreat during chilly Michigan winters. Love the outdoors? Step out into your massive, sprawling backyard! Whether you are hosting summer BBQs, letting the kids and pets run free, or planning your dream garden, this incredible outdoor space offers endless possibilities. Located just minutes from fantastic local parks, premier shopping, dining, and major freeway access, this home delivers convenience without sacrificing peace and privacy. Don't miss out - schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • 0.37 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1955

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry; Brick exterior
  • Construction: Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.37 acre (50 x 161.38)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace in the basement; Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $14 ($163/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (13.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $215k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.3% in Auburn Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#151 in MI, #3,766 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, amenities F.
  • Avondale School District (suburban): math 34% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #162 of 540 in MI (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 107 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $55k; list at $250k implies a 355% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $215,462 (13.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.36%
Cash-on-cash
0.23%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$277,332
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3207 Waukegan St 0.33mi 2/1.0 1,505 (+4%) 0mo $248,073 $165 77
575 S Briarvale Dr 0.33mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,484 (+2%) 1mo $286,000 $193 76
306 Oakmont 0.16mi 2/2.0 1,556 (+7%) 15mo $235,000 $151 66
3207 Caroline St 0.41mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,542 (+6%) 2mo $236,000 $153 64
3221 Bessie St 0.47mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,534 (+6%) 6mo $305,000 $199 58
915 S Squirrel Rd 0.67mi 2/2.0 1,489 (+2%) 15mo $265,000 $178 50
351 N Squirrel Road Lot 178 Rd 0.71mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (+3%) 5mo $56,500 $38 50
3166 Caroline St 0.46mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,336 (-8%) 15mo $245,000 $183 46
410 S Squirrel Rd 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,236 (-15%) 14mo $260,000 $210 42
3085 Saint Clair Drive Dr 0.62mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,312 (-10%) 10mo $305,000 $232 40
3188 Bessie St 0.54mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,254 (-14%) 11mo $240,000 $191 36
3071 Churchill Rd 0.64mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,614 (+11%) 10mo $312,000 $193 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.3%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-45,952
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
-19.6%
Equity multiple
0.10×
Total profit
$-63,269
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48326

Rents YoY
-2.3%
Active inventory
107
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,155 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$273 /mo · $3,281/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$452
Net cashflow
$14

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,137
Max offer price $250,000
Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
27 S Squirrel Rd Unit 305 Auburn Hills, MI 2.0 2.0 885 $2,245 $2.54 2d 1 0.27mi
192 Raleigh Ave Auburn Hills, MI 2.0 2.0 1700 $2,400 $1.41 44d 1 0.53mi
201 N Squirrel Rd Auburn Hills, MI 2.0–3.0 2.5–3.0 1475 $1,935 $1.31 2d 14 0.54mi
124 Optimist Auburn Hills, MI 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1914 $2,125 $1.11 2d 9 0.56mi
3161 Bloomfield Ln Auburn Hills, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 937 $1,499 $1.60 2d 23 0.76mi
3200 South Blvd Bloomfield Hills, MI 2.0–3.0 2.0 1782 $3,600 $2.02 2d 1 0.86mi
920 Heritage Dr Bloomfield Township, MI 2.0 2.0 1804 $3,600 $2.00 2d 1 0.89mi
806 Bloomfield Village Blvd Unit K Auburn Hills, MI 2.0 1.0 881 $1,500 $1.70 44d 1 0.90mi
2862 Tall Oaks Ct Auburn Hills, MI 2.0 2.0 987 $1,520 $1.54 2d 6 0.94mi
676 Sheffield Rd Auburn Hills, MI 3.0 1.5 1421 $2,495 $1.76 2d 1 1.13mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    days on market $250,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $250,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $250,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $250,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-05-23
    listed $250,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (919 chars)

    Welcome to your own private oasis right in the heart of Auburn Hills! This beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers the perfect blend of comfort, style, and functional living space. Step inside to a bright and airy main level, but the real magic happens when you head downstairs. The fully finished basement features a cozy, statement fireplace - the absolute perfect spot for movie nights, a home office, or a warm retreat during chilly Michigan winters. Love the outdoors? Step out into your massive, sprawling backyard! Whether you are hosting summer BBQs, letting the kids and pets run free, or planning your dream garden, this incredible outdoor space offers endless possibilities. Located just minutes from fantastic local parks, premier shopping, dining, and major freeway access, this home delivers convenience without sacrificing peace and privacy. Don't miss out - schedule your showing today!

  7. 2026-05-23
    listed $250,000 Active 919-char remark
    Show marketing remark (919 chars)

    Welcome to your own private oasis right in the heart of Auburn Hills! This beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers the perfect blend of comfort, style, and functional living space. Step inside to a bright and airy main level, but the real magic happens when you head downstairs. The fully finished basement features a cozy, statement fireplace - the absolute perfect spot for movie nights, a home office, or a warm retreat during chilly Michigan winters. Love the outdoors? Step out into your massive, sprawling backyard! Whether you are hosting summer BBQs, letting the kids and pets run free, or planning your dream garden, this incredible outdoor space offers endless possibilities. Located just minutes from fantastic local parks, premier shopping, dining, and major freeway access, this home delivers convenience without sacrificing peace and privacy. Don't miss out - schedule your showing today!

  8. 2026-05-19
    historical $250,000 919-char remark
    Show marketing remark (919 chars)

    Welcome to your own private oasis right in the heart of Auburn Hills! This beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers the perfect blend of comfort, style, and functional living space. Step inside to a bright and airy main level, but the real magic happens when you head downstairs. The fully finished basement features a cozy, statement fireplace - the absolute perfect spot for movie nights, a home office, or a warm retreat during chilly Michigan winters. Love the outdoors? Step out into your massive, sprawling backyard! Whether you are hosting summer BBQs, letting the kids and pets run free, or planning your dream garden, this incredible outdoor space offers endless possibilities. Located just minutes from fantastic local parks, premier shopping, dining, and major freeway access, this home delivers convenience without sacrificing peace and privacy. Don't miss out - schedule your showing today!

  9. 2000-06-16
    soldstatus $55,000
  10. 1989-09-21
    soldstatus $55,000
  11. 1960-04-14
    soldstatus $14,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,281 · $273/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,565 · $297/mo
Expected delta
+$285/yr (+$24/mo · 8.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,855
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$3,281
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,068
− Management
−$2,068
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$4,089
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$981
After-tax cash flow
$1,144/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Avondale School District
NCES district ID
2603690
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$71,549
Composite
37.33/100
National rank
#4442
State rank
#162 of 540 in MI

Livability — Auburn Hills

Score
76/100
State rank
#151
US rank
#3766

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Auburn Hills, MI
County
Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
City population
24,514
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
24,514
Household income
$85,190
Rent vs Own
48.3% rent · 51.7% own
Severe rent burden
986.0

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,335,747 people
By 2030
1,375,100 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,435,385 · +7.5%
By 2050
1,469,250 · +10.0%
By 2075
1,531,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Asian 15% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 6% Other Asian/Pacific 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

2024 margin
D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -298.32%
Current HPI
178.7685
Rent YoY
▼ -2.27%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1624.1% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Listed $250,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-23 Listed $250,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Coming Soon $250,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2000-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 1989-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 1960-04-14 Sold (Public Records) $14,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,281 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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