51 Cormier Dr · Rochester, NH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $435 – $905
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $507 – $941
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +8.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to easy, low-maintenance living in the Briar Ridge community. This well-maintained two-bedroom, one-bath home offers a comfortable layout with inviting living spaces and everyday convenience. The eat-in kitchen provides plenty of room for casual dining and flows seamlessly into the living room, creating an open, welcoming feel. Two comfortable bedrooms, a full bathroom, and laundry hookups add to the home's practical design. Step outside to the enclosed front deck, an ideal space to enjoy your morning coffee, relax with a good book, or gather with family and friends. A storage shed provides additional space for tools, seasonal items, and outdoor equipment. Conveniently located withi
Key facts
- Storage shed
- Eat-in kitchen
- Enclosed front deck
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Monthly fee of 720; Fee covers plowing, recreation, sewer, trash, water, and park rent; Community amenities include playground, recreation facility, snow removal, and trash removal
Exterior
- Parking: Paved driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Community sewer; Circuit breaker electrical service; High-speed internet available; Cable available
- Home design: Single wide manufactured home; Entry level information not specified; Existing construction
- Construction: Built in 1981; Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Manufactured home structure
- Exterior features: Level lot; Paved driveway; Located in a mobile home park (Briar Ridge Mobile Home Park) with park approval
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Kerosene heat; Hot air heating
- Interior features: 4 total rooms; Carpet and vinyl flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-93 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $84k (16.4% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (16.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.3% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#8 in NH, #698 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities C-.
- Rochester School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #83 of 98 in NH (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 109 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 951 units permitted in Strafford County in 2024 (551 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Strafford County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $22k; list at $100k implies a 355% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 44% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.99%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $64,792
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 S Cranberry Ln | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (+8%) | 23mo | $70,000 | $89 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-19,625
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-14,234
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Hampshire
- 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 03867
- Home prices YoY
- -22.0%
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 109
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,651 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$111 /mo · $1,334/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$720
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$347
- Net cashflow
- $-93
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-37 | -5% $-65 | +0% $-93 | +5% $-121 | +10% $-150 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-224 | -5% $-158 | +0% $-93 | +5% $-28 | +10% $37 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-43 | -0.5pp $-68 | base $-93 | +0.5pp $-119 | +1.0pp $-145 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Partridge Green Way Rochester, NH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 648 | $1,500 | $2.31 | 16d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 29 Partridge Green Way Rochester, NH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 648 | $1,575 | $2.43 | 11d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 287 Rochester Hill Rd Rochester, NH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,475 | $2.27 | 0d | 1 | 1.42mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $720 · $8,640/yr
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-21status $100,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$100,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,334 · $111/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,757 · $146/mo
- Expected delta
- +$423/yr (+$35/mo · 31.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,809
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,334
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,585
- − Management
- −$1,585
- − HOA
- −$8,640
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable loss
- −$2,345
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$563
- After-tax cash flow
- $-555/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester School District
- NCES district ID
- 3305940
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,080
- Composite
- 27.11/100
- National rank
- #7039
- State rank
- #83 of 98 in NH
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #8
- US rank
- #698
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, NH
- County
- Strafford County · 75,181 people
- City population
- 22,732
- Metro
- Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,732
- Household income
- $78,674
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 663.0
Population outlook (Strafford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 132,503 people
- By 2030
- 135,377 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 139,609 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 141,803 · +7.0%
- By 2075
- 149,280 · +12.7%
- By 2100
- 148,667 · +12.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 12% Romanian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Strafford
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.1) · D 55.5% · R 43.5% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.3pp toward R · 2008: 20.4pp · 2024: 12.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.1 2020: D+15.2 2016: D+8.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+20.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -107.34%
- Current HPI
- 379.5755
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.22%
- Metro
- Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+354.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Coming Soon $100,000 PrimeMLS
- 2000-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,334 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…