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51 Cormier Dr
D Composite 40.9
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

51 Cormier Dr · Rochester, NH 03867
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 728 sqft · Manufactured public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1981 $720/mo HOA · 44% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to easy, low-maintenance living in the Briar Ridge community. This well-maintained two-bedroom, one-bath home offers a comfortable layout with inviting living spaces and everyday convenience. The eat-in kitchen provides plenty of room for casual dining and flows seamlessly into the living room, creating an open, welcoming feel. Two comfortable bedrooms, a full bathroom, and laundry hookups add to the home's practical design. Step outside to the enclosed front deck, an ideal space to enjoy your morning coffee, relax with a good book, or gather with family and friends. A storage shed provides additional space for tools, seasonal items, and outdoor equipment. Conveniently located withi

Key facts

  • Storage shed
  • Eat-in kitchen
  • Enclosed front deck

Tags

BRIAR RIDGE COMMUNITYENCLOSED FRONT DECKEAT-IN KITCHENSTORAGE SHEDLAUNDRY HOOKUPSPEACEFUL NEIGHBORHOOD SETTING

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Monthly fee of 720; Fee covers plowing, recreation, sewer, trash, water, and park rent; Community amenities include playground, recreation facility, snow removal, and trash removal

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Community sewer; Circuit breaker electrical service; High-speed internet available; Cable available
  • Home design: Single wide manufactured home; Entry level information not specified; Existing construction
  • Construction: Built in 1981; Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Manufactured home structure
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Paved driveway; Located in a mobile home park (Briar Ridge Mobile Home Park) with park approval

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Kerosene heat; Hot air heating
  • Interior features: 4 total rooms; Carpet and vinyl flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-93 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $84k (16.4% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (16.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.3% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#8 in NH, #698 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities C-.
  • Rochester School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #83 of 98 in NH (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 109 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 951 units permitted in Strafford County in 2024 (551 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Strafford County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $100k implies a 355% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 44% of rent.
Recommended offer $83,550 (16.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.65%
Cap rate
5.18%
Cash-on-cash
-3.99%
DSCR
0.82
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$64,792
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14 S Cranberry Ln 0.42mi 2/1.0 784 (+8%) 23mo $70,000 $89 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.22% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.5%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-19,625
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
-7.1%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-14,234
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Hampshire
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Has just-cause statute; 30-day notice; landlord-leaning vs. neighbors.

ZIP-level market 03867

Home prices YoY
-22.0%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
109
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,651 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$111 /mo · $1,334/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$720
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$347
Net cashflow
$-93

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,769
Max offer price $83,550
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-37 -5% $-65 +0% $-93 +5% $-121 +10% $-150
Rent -10% $-224 -5% $-158 +0% $-93 +5% $-28 +10% $37
Rate -1.0pp $-43 -0.5pp $-68 base $-93 +0.5pp $-119 +1.0pp $-145

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
29 Partridge Green Way Rochester, NH 1.0 1.0 648 $1,500 $2.31 16d 1 1.28mi
29 Partridge Green Way Rochester, NH 1.0 1.0 648 $1,575 $2.43 11d 1 1.28mi
287 Rochester Hill Rd Rochester, NH 1.0 1.0 650 $1,475 $2.27 0d 1 1.42mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$720 · $8,640/yr

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    status $100,000 Active 1 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $100,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,334 · $111/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,757 · $146/mo
Expected delta
+$423/yr (+$35/mo · 31.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,809
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,334
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,585
− Management
−$1,585
− HOA
−$8,640
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable loss
−$2,345
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$563
After-tax cash flow
$-555/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rochester School District
NCES district ID
3305940
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$51,080
Composite
27.11/100
National rank
#7039
State rank
#83 of 98 in NH

Livability — Rochester

Score
84/100
State rank
#8
US rank
#698

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rochester, NH
County
Strafford County · 75,181 people
City population
22,732
Metro
Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
Population (ZIP)
22,732
Household income
$78,674
Rent vs Own
37.4% rent · 62.6% own
Severe rent burden
663.0

Population outlook (Strafford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
132,503 people
By 2030
135,377 · +2.2%
By 2040
139,609 · +5.4%
By 2050
141,803 · +7.0%
By 2075
149,280 · +12.7%
By 2100
148,667 · +12.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 12% Romanian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Strafford

2024 margin
D (+12.1) · D 55.5% · R 43.5% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-8.3pp toward R · 2008: 20.4pp · 2024: 12.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.1 2020: D+15.2 2016: D+8.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+20.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -107.34%
Current HPI
379.5755
Rent YoY
▲ 4.22%
Metro
Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+354.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Coming Soon $100,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2000-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,334 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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