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1003 Bismuth Dr
C- Composite 51.28
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.5/10.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.1/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$145,000

1003 Bismuth Dr · Hanna, WY 82327
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,304 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 46 Days on market
Built 1979 0.27 ac lot $63/sqft · 8% above area Est $135k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

HUD HOME SOLD "AS-IS", all offers submitted over www. hudhomestore. com, very nice family hone for the hunting family, has a walk-in cooler opening into the garage, additional room in the basement for additional bedrooms PRICE REDUCED

Key facts

  • Garden area
  • Two storage sheds
  • 0.27 acre lot

Tags

FULLY FENCED BACK YARDGARDEN AREATWO STORAGE SHEDSOUTDOOR RECREATION HAVEN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Chain link fencing; Shed on the property; Has view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range / Oven; Refrigerator; Freezer
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating
  • Interior features: Full basement; Deck; Chain link fencing; Has view; Shed on the property
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $97 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (4.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $139k (4.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#61 in WY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Carbon County School District #2 (rural): math 48% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #21 of 41 in WY (top 51%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 40 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
  • Carbon County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $139,151 (4.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
7.10%
Cash-on-cash
2.87%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$134,744
List price
$145,000
Delta
7.61%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1018 Tungston Ct 0.16mi 3/1.8 2,464 (+7%) 2mo $135,000 $55 74
1024 Trona Ct 0.05mi 3/1.8 2,496 (+8%) 14mo $135,000 $54 67
1028 Jade Dr 0.13mi 3/1.8 2,503 (+9%) 12mo $130,000 $52 65
1002 Mica Ct 0.27mi 3/2.0 2,464 (+7%) 17mo $149,900 $61 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.5%
Equity multiple
1.99×
Total profit
$40,027
Equity at exit
$82,588
10-year hold
IRR
15.9%
Equity multiple
3.85×
Total profit
$115,534
Equity at exit
$142,882

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Wyoming
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable; small market.

ZIP-level market 82327

Home prices YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
15
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,392 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax est. 1.5%
$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$292
Net cashflow
$97

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,268
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $145,000 Active 46 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 45 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 44 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 43 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $145,000 Active 40 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 39 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $145,000 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 36 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 35 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 34 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $145,000 Active 31 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 29 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 28 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 27 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $145,000 Active 26 DOM
  17. 2026-05-04
    listed $145,000 Active 498-char remark
  18. 2016-07-28
    soldstatus 245-char remark
    Show marketing remark (245 chars)

    HUD HOME SOLD "AS-IS", all offers submitted over www. hudhomestore. com, very nice family hone for the hunting family, has a walk-in cooler opening into the garage, additional room in the basement for additional bedrooms PRICE REDUCED

  19. 2016-04-30
    listed $52,800 245-char remark
    Show marketing remark (245 chars)

    HUD HOME SOLD "AS-IS", all offers submitted over www. hudhomestore. com, very nice family hone for the hunting family, has a walk-in cooler opening into the garage, additional room in the basement for additional bedrooms PRICE REDUCED

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥85°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,698
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$2,175
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,336
− Management
−$1,336
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable loss
−$1,214
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$291
After-tax cash flow
$1,458/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Carbon County School District #2
NCES district ID
5601700
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$50,806
Composite
44.9/100
National rank
#2714
State rank
#21 of 41 in WY

Livability — Hanna

Score
67/100
State rank
#61
US rank
#10532

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hanna, WY
Population (ZIP)
839

Population outlook (Carbon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,217 people
By 2030
14,977 · -1.6%
By 2040
14,430 · -5.2%
By 2050
14,381 · -5.5%
By 2075
14,566 · -4.3%
By 2100
13,729 · -9.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 5% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Carbon

2024 margin
Solid R (+58.1) · D 20.1% · R 78.3% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-29.0pp toward R · 2008: -29.1pp · 2024: -58.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+58.1 2020: R+53.8 2016: R+50.5 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+29.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.05%
Current HPI
173.1638
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+174.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $145,000 WMLS
  • 2016-07-28 Sold (MLS) WMLS
  • 2016-04-30 Listed $52,800 WMLS

Property tax history

-2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $263 · -59.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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