226-2261/2 E Poplar St · Hanover, PA 17331

$445,000

8 bd · 0.0 ba · 3,360 sqft · MultiFamily · 144 Days on market

Built 1920 5,027 sqft lot Est $366k · 22% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +22.0/30.0
• DSCR +7.0/10.0
• 1% rule +5.8/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +3.7/5.0
• Schools +3.7/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

4-Unit Investment Property – Prime Location Near Downtown Hanover, PA Discover an exceptional investment opportunity just steps from vibrant downtown Hanover! This well-maintained 4-unit multifamily property features four spacious 2-bedroom apartments, each offering comfortable living with central heating and cooling—a strong draw for quality long-term tenants. Situated on a generous lot, the property includes 8 dedicated parking spaces, providing convenience rarely found this close to town. Residents will appreciate the easy walking-distance access to downtown Hanover, including shops, restaurants, parks, and local amenities. Whether you’re expanding your portfolio or see

Key facts

• 5,027 sq ft lot
• Built 1920
• Listed 144 days

Tags

• CENTRAL HEATING AND COOLING
• 8 DEDICATED PARKING SPACES

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $445k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $706 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $176/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $445k).
• Recommended offer: $392k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.9% in Hanover — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#373 in PA, #3,295 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, commute F.
• Hanover Public SD (urban): math 34% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #294 of 539 in PA (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 386 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $4,786/mo this rent would consume 72% of the median local household income ($79k/yr) (locally 1076% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($392k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $391,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
4. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.08% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.20%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.80%
• DSCR: 1.30
• GRM: 7.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $366,240
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
226-2261/2 E Poplar St	0.00mi	8/—	3,360 (0%)	1mo	$365,000	$109	99

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -4.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.85×
• Total profit: $-18,919
• Equity at exit: $66,351

10-year hold

• IRR: 7.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.61×
• Total profit: $76,402
• Equity at exit: $38,475

Cash invested: $124,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Pennsylvania: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 17331

• Home prices YoY: -33.8%
• Rents YoY: 4.7%
• Active inventory: 386
• Price-to-rent: 31.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $4,786 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,334
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$556 /mo · $6,675/yr
• Insurance: −$185
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,005
• Net cashflow: $706

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,893

Max offer price $445,000

Occupancy floor 80%

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 4× units	2	1.5	$4,784
Total (4 units)			$4,786

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $111,250
• Closing costs: $13,350
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-04-14
   status Pending
2. 2025-11-21
   listed $445,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $57,432
• − Mortgage interest: −$24,927
• − Property taxes: −$6,675
• − Insurance: −$2,225
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$4,595
• − Management: −$4,595
• − Depreciation: −$12,945
• Taxable income: $1,471
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$353
• After-tax cash flow: $8,115/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Hanover Public SD
• NCES district ID: 4211450
• Math proficiency: 34% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 54% ▼ -8.00%
• Median HH income: $45,022
• Composite: 37.26/100
• National rank: #4457
• State rank: #294 of 539 in PA

Livability — Hanover

• Score: 76/100
• State rank: #373
• US rank: #3295

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Hanover, PA
• County: York County · 278,806 people
• City population: 56,443
• Metro: York-Hanover, PA
• Population (ZIP): 56,443
• Household income: $79,488
• Rent vs Own: 23.6% rent · 76.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 1076.0

Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 454,205 people
• By 2030: 457,407 · +0.7%
• By 2040: 457,529 · +0.7%
• By 2050: 448,261 · -1.3%
• By 2075: 427,388 · -5.9%
• By 2100: 384,218 · -15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (86%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · York

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.9% · R 62.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -25.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+25.3 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -128.48%
• Current HPI: 251.8974
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.67%
• Metro: York-Hanover, PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.68%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$309B
▸Insurance	2	$27B
▸Telecommunications / Media	1	$124B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$22B
▸Financial Services	1	$20B
▸Chemicals / Materials	1	$18B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-14 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
• 2025-11-21 Listed $445,000 BRIGHT MLS