229 Wilson St · Paw Paw, WV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Calling all investors! Come restore this rancher near the heart of Paw Paw. This home offers everything you need on one-level. The attic space currently used as storage could also be converted into an additional room, with a full basement as well. Ready to be restored, this home has great potential for a flip or rental. SOLD AS-IS.
Key facts
- Attic space
- Full basement
- Great potential
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric-powered cooling and hot water
- Home design: Detached structure; Single-story entry (main level access)
- Construction: Concrete construction materials; Concrete perimeter foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures; Built year per assessor
- Exterior features: Property located outside city limits; No tidal water on lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on main level; 1 full bathroom total
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning (electric); Electric hot water
- Interior features: Two or more access exits; Level entry at main; Lever handle door hardware; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $471 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $54k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#220 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Morgan County Schools (rural): math 22% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #43 of 55 in WV (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 102 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $918 appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
- Morgan County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.66%
- DSCR
- 2.63
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $169,344
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38 Amelia St | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 | 868 (-3%) | 24mo | $130,000 | $150 | 66 |
| 108 Potomac St | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 967 (+8%) | 13mo | $185,000 | $191 | 62 |
| 51 Mccoole Ave | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 780 (-13%) | 9mo | $147,500 | $189 | 61 |
| 545 Winchester St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (-14%) | 20mo | $115,000 | $150 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.67% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 40.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.13×
- Total profit
- $32,811
- Equity at exit
- $20,714
- IRR
- 41.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.18×
- Total profit
- $79,768
- Equity at exit
- $29,093
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 25434
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 26
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,031 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$33 /mo · $395/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$217
- Net cashflow
- $471
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-17status $55,000 Pending 19 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 333-char remark
-
2026-06-14days on market $55,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $55,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09price $55,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-30remarks 321-char remark
-
2026-05-30$69,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $395 · $33/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $395 · $33/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,376
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$395
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$990
- − Management
- −$990
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $5,045
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,211
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,435/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Morgan County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400990
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,255
- Composite
- 22.75/100
- National rank
- #8033
- State rank
- #43 of 55 in WV
Livability — Paw Paw
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #220
- US rank
- #19271
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Paw Paw, WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,087
Population outlook (Morgan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,350 people
- By 2030
- 17,005 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 15,939 · -8.1%
- By 2050
- 14,775 · -14.8%
- By 2075
- 12,773 · -26.4%
- By 2100
- 10,795 · -37.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Italian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Morgan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.6) · D 21.4% · R 77.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.2pp toward R · 2008: -23.5pp · 2024: -55.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.6 2020: R+52.2 2016: R+54.4 2012: R+30.5 2008: R+23.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.67%
- Current HPI
- 185.4722
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $69,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+16.2%/yrLatest (2025): $395 · +371.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…