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1413 Truman St #1415 Duplex
D Composite 40.16
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.3/15.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$240,000

1413 Truman St #1415 · Cleveland, TX 77327
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 888 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 227 Days on market
Built 1978 7,501 sqft lot $270/sqft · 112% above area Est $229k · at est. ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Investment opportunity in the growing community of Cleveland, TX 77327—a portfolio of five fully-occupied duplexes offering cash flow and long-term appreciation potential. Each duplex features two spacious 2-bedroom, 1-bath units, with approximately 900 square feet per side and a total of +/-1,800 square feet per building. That’s 10 income-producing units across the portfolio, all currently leased and generating steady rental income. These properties sit on individual lots and are ideal for investors looking to expand their portfolio, execute a 1031 exchange, or secure passive income in a strong rental market. Located in a high-demand area with ongoing development, this offering represents a turnkey solution for both new and seasoned investors seeking stability, scale, and growth in Texas real estate

Key facts

  • 7,501 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1978

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $67 ($800/yr) — positive. Per door: $33/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (6.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $211k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.7% in Cleveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,013 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Cleveland ISD (town): math 24% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #723 of 826 in TX (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 1574 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,321 units permitted in Liberty County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Liberty County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 227 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $211,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 227 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
6.63%
Cash-on-cash
1.19%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$229,000
List price
$240,000
Delta
4.80%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.2%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-32,296
Equity at exit
$35,785
10-year hold
IRR
-2.7%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-12,834
Equity at exit
$20,751

Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77327

Home prices YoY
-5.2%
Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
1574
Price-to-rent
17.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,246 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,259
Tax from tax record
$349 /mo · $4,189/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$472
Net cashflow
$67

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,162
Max offer price $240,000
Occupancy floor 92%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,246

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,000
Closing costs
$7,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
700 Lyle West Ave Cleveland, TX 3.0 2.0 1080 $1,195 $1.11 1d 1 0.03mi
511 S Roosevelt Ave Cleveland, TX 3.0 1.0 960 $1,600 $1.67 43d 1 0.69mi
201 Pine Bend Ct Cleveland, TX 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,200 $1.15 43d 1 0.72mi
1301 Nevell St Cleveland, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 827 $1,255 $1.52 1d 4 1.09mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $240,000 Active 227 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $240,000 Active 226 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $240,000 Active 225 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $240,000 Active 224 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $240,000 Active 222 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $240,000 Active 218 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $240,000 Active 217 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $240,000 Active 216 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $240,000 Active 213 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $240,000 Active 212 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $240,000 Active 211 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $240,000 Active 210 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $240,000 Active 209 DOM
  14. 2025-11-13
    price $240,000 823-char remark
    Show marketing remark (823 chars)

    Investment opportunity in the growing community of Cleveland, TX 77327—a portfolio of five fully-occupied duplexes offering cash flow and long-term appreciation potential. Each duplex features two spacious 2-bedroom, 1-bath units, with approximately 900 square feet per side and a total of +/-1,800 square feet per building. That’s 10 income-producing units across the portfolio, all currently leased and generating steady rental income. These properties sit on individual lots and are ideal for investors looking to expand their portfolio, execute a 1031 exchange, or secure passive income in a strong rental market. Located in a high-demand area with ongoing development, this offering represents a turnkey solution for both new and seasoned investors seeking stability, scale, and growth in Texas real estate

  15. 2025-11-03
    listed $250,000 Active 823-char remark
    Show marketing remark (823 chars)

    Investment opportunity in the growing community of Cleveland, TX 77327—a portfolio of five fully-occupied duplexes offering cash flow and long-term appreciation potential. Each duplex features two spacious 2-bedroom, 1-bath units, with approximately 900 square feet per side and a total of +/-1,800 square feet per building. That’s 10 income-producing units across the portfolio, all currently leased and generating steady rental income. These properties sit on individual lots and are ideal for investors looking to expand their portfolio, execute a 1031 exchange, or secure passive income in a strong rental market. Located in a high-demand area with ongoing development, this offering represents a turnkey solution for both new and seasoned investors seeking stability, scale, and growth in Texas real estate

  16. 2025-10-31
    historical
  17. 2025-04-30
    listed $250,000 Active
  18. 2005-08-02
    soldstatus
  19. 2004-06-22
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,189 · $349/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,392 · $366/mo
Expected delta
+$203/yr (+$17/mo · 4.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,952
− Mortgage interest
−$13,444
− Property taxes
−$4,189
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,156
− Management
−$2,156
− Depreciation
−$6,982
Taxable loss
−$3,174
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$762
After-tax cash flow
$1,562/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cleveland ISD
NCES district ID
4814370
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$39,173
Composite
20.61/100
National rank
#8549
State rank
#723 of 826 in TX

Livability — Cleveland

Score
61/100
State rank
#1013
US rank
#17943

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cleveland, TX
County
Liberty County · 82,189 people
City population
17,208
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
42,685
Household income
$62,219
Rent vs Own
14.4% rent · 85.6% own
Severe rent burden
437.0

Population outlook (Liberty County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
87,956 people
By 2030
92,161 · +4.8%
By 2040
100,784 · +14.6%
By 2050
109,471 · +24.5%
By 2075
133,470 · +51.7%
By 2100
147,372 · +67.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 54% White 36% Two or more races 18% Black 8% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 42%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 0%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada
Languages at home
51% English-only · Spanish 48%

Political lean MEDSL · Liberty

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.6) · D 19.0% · R 80.6%
2008→2024 swing
-17.9pp toward R · 2008: -43.7pp · 2024: -61.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.6 2020: R+59.7 2016: R+58.0 2012: R+53.3 2008: R+43.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -12.39%
Current HPI
224.9222
Rent YoY
▲ 4.00%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-13 Price Changed $240,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-11-03 Listed $250,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-10-31 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-04-30 Listed $250,000 HARMLS
  • 2005-08-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-06-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+7.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,189 · -7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…