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309 Iowa St
D+ Composite 48.01
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.9/10.0
  • Schools +6.4/10.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.1/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$109,000

309 Iowa St · Archer, IA 51231
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 946 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 42 Days on market
Built 1904 0.28 ac lot Est $99k · 10% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Looking to stop renting and start owning? Looking for an investment property? This ranch style home offers 2 bedrooms, a 3/4 bathroom, eat-in kitchen, laundry room and a nice sized living room on the main floor with additional space for storage in the basement. Outside you will find a 2 stall detached garage which is insulated and contains a finished bonus room. There is also a 12'x20' garden shed for all your storage needs. The large yard and raised garden beds finish off the outdoor space. Affordable, comfortable, and ready for its next chapter!

Key facts

  • Finished bonus room
  • Laundry room
  • Ranch style home

Tags

RANCH STYLE HOMEEAT-IN KITCHENLAUNDRY ROOMDETACHED GARAGEFINISHED BONUS ROOMGARDEN SHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $109k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $17 ($206/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $88k (19.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#792 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D, amenities F.
  • Sheldon Community School District (town): math 74% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #63 of 289 in IA (top 22%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Zoned schools: Sheldon Middle School (math 70% / reading 78%, grade A, #83 of 246 statewide, top 34%, 320 students, 47% FRL); Sheldon High School (math 73% / reading 81%, grade A-, #60 of 336 statewide, top 21%, 342 students, 39% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in O'Brien County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($754 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (7.7% local appreciation)).
  • O'Brien County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (7.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $72k; list at $109k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $87,980 (19.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.48%
Cash-on-cash
0.68%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$99,330
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
309 Iowa St 0.00mi 2/1.0 946 (0%) 0mo $99,000 $105 98
404 Fletcher Ave 0.16mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,085 (+15%) 8mo $112,500 $104 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.73% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.9%
Equity multiple
2.45×
Total profit
$44,117
Equity at exit
$80,846
10-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
5.16×
Total profit
$127,082
Equity at exit
$158,640

Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 51231

Home prices YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
4
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$880 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$572
Tax from tax record
$61 /mo · $730/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$185
Net cashflow
$17

Break-even live

Break-even rent $858
Max offer price $109,000
Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,250
Closing costs
$3,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-07
    status Active
  3. 2026-03-24
    status Pending
  4. 2026-03-02
    listed $109,000 Active
  5. 2020-12-21
    soldstatus $72,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$730 · $61/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,221 · $102/mo
Expected delta
+$491/yr (+$41/mo · 67.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,558
− Mortgage interest
−$6,106
− Property taxes
−$730
− Insurance
−$545
− Repairs & maintenance
−$845
− Management
−$845
− Depreciation
−$3,171
Taxable loss
−$1,683
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$404
After-tax cash flow
$610/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sheldon Community School District
NCES district ID
1925980
Math proficiency
74% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
78% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$50,644
Composite
64.39/100
National rank
#545
State rank
#63 of 289 in IA

Livability — Archer

Score
61/100
State rank
#792
US rank
#17924

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D+ Housing B Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Archer, IA
Population (ZIP)
543

Population outlook (O'Brien County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,353 people
By 2030
13,040 · -2.3%
By 2040
12,422 · -7.0%
By 2050
11,887 · -11.0%
By 2075
11,132 · -16.6%
By 2100
10,176 · -23.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (100%)
Race & ethnicity
White 100%
Common ancestry
Iranian 8% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · O'Brien

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.9) · D 19.0% · R 80.0% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-26.1pp toward R · 2008: -34.9pp · 2024: -60.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.9 2020: R+56.8 2016: R+60.2 2012: R+45.2 2008: R+34.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.73%
Current HPI
165.2763
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+50.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Pending NWIA
  • 2026-04-07 Relisted NWIA
  • 2026-03-24 Pending NWIA
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $109,000 NWIA
  • 2020-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $72,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+17.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $730 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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