8 Van Patton Pl · Portsmouth, VA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Attention Investors and rehab enthusiasts! This property offers a value-add opportunity with significant renovation potential. One owner property. Large corner lot. Property to be sold strictly As-Is with seller making no repairs. Due diligence encouraged.
Key facts
- One owner property
- Large corner lot
- 0.28 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA/association fees
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; Driveway parking; Street parking
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Gas water heater
- Home design: Detached Cape Cod-style home; 2 stories; Crawl foundation
- Construction: Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Aluminum siding
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Main-level bedroom with full bath
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring; Bedroom with full bathroom on the first floor; Six total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $429 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $199k).
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.6% in Portsmouth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#172 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
- Portsmouth City Public School District (urban): math 34% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #107 of 131 in VA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Simonsdale Elementary (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #827 of 1,108 statewide, top 77%, 612 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 60% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.9%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 300 units permitted in Portsmouth city in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.24%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $282,480
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 801 Elmhurst Ln | 0.17mi | 4/2.0 | 1,350 (+2%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $196 | 84 |
| 817 Jewell Ave | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,168 (-12%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $214 | 68 |
| 34 Pollux Cir W | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,250 (-5%) | 0mo | $260,000 | $208 | 58 |
| 5 Kearney Way | 0.46mi | 4/1.0 | 1,512 (+14%) | 3mo | $235,000 | $155 | 52 |
| 604 City Park Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,153 (-13%) | 3mo | $310,000 | $269 | 52 |
| 39 Pollux Cir W | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,446 (+10%) | 0mo | $180,000 | $124 | 51 |
| 7 N Colin Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,170 (-11%) | 0mo | $306,000 | $262 | 51 |
| 4801 Vick St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-9%) | 2mo | $292,000 | $243 | 50 |
| 224 Cypress Rd | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,500 (+14%) | 2mo | $385,000 | $257 | 46 |
| 1212 Jewell Ave | 0.73mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (+6%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $214 | 45 |
| 10 Rivercrest Ct | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,198 (-9%) | 0mo | $290,000 | $242 | 44 |
| 4 Broda Ct | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,491 (+13%) | 3mo | $297,500 | $200 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $6,957
- Equity at exit
- $29,672
- IRR
- 16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.71×
- Total profit
- $95,262
- Equity at exit
- $17,206
Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23701
- Rents YoY
- 11.9%
- Active inventory
- 167
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,243 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,044
- Tax from tax record
- −$216 /mo · $2,594/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$471
- Net cashflow
- $429
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $542 | -5% $486 | +0% $429 | +5% $373 | +10% $317 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $252 | -5% $341 | +0% $429 | +5% $518 | +10% $606 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $529 | -0.5pp $480 | base $429 | +0.5pp $378 | +1.0pp $325 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,750
- Closing costs
- $5,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 816 Martin Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,195 | $2.00 | 4d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 119 Jacquelyn Dr Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,500 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 119 Jacquelyn Dr Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,250 | $1.25 | 4d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1203 Baskerville Ln Portsmouth, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $900 | $0.58 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1203 Baskerville Ln Portsmouth, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $2,300 | $1.48 | 13d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 207 Robin Rd Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $1,950 | $1.56 | 8d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 318 Edgewood Rd Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1421 | $2,300 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1507 Hodges Ferry Rd Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1827 | $1,650 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 840 Lancer Dr Unit 694 Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1202 | $1,480 | $1.23 | 18d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2801 Leeds Ct Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1210 | $1,995 | $1.65 | 2d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 5020 Fable Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $2,000 | $1.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-07status $199,000 Under Contract 2 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-01remarks 256-char remark
-
2026-06-01$199,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,594 · $216/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,594 · $216/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,915
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,147
- − Property taxes
- −$2,594
- − Insurance
- −$995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,153
- − Management
- −$2,153
- − Depreciation
- −$5,789
- Taxable income
- $2,083
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$500
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,651/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Portsmouth City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103000
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -40.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,152
- Composite
- 39.01/100
- National rank
- #4071
- State rank
- #107 of 131 in VA
Livability — Portsmouth
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #172
- US rank
- #5381
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Portsmouth, VA
- County
- Portsmouth City · 96,366 people
- City population
- 96,366
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,298
- Household income
- $62,349
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 580.0
Population outlook (Portsmouth County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 96,730 people
- By 2030
- 96,760 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 96,573 · -0.2%
- By 2050
- 95,606 · -1.2%
- By 2075
- 93,579 · -3.3%
- By 2100
- 83,756 · -13.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 52% White 39% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Portsmouth
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.6) · D 68.6% · R 30.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 39.3pp · 2024: 38.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.6 2020: D+40.8 2016: D+36.5 2012: D+39.6 2008: D+39.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -218.96%
- Current HPI
- 310.8218
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.92%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $199,000 REINMLS
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,594 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…