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17932 Pine Ridge Rd
B- Composite 69.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$98,000

17932 Pine Ridge Rd · Springdale, AR 72764
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1999 0.44 ac lot $85/sqft · 73% below area ↓ 15% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Positioned on a secluded . 44-acre lot, this property offers a rare opportunity for an investment project or a private cabin retreat in a prime location, now featuring a freshly graveled driveway for easy access. You are situated just minutes from Bryce's White River Marine and Don Roufa Beaver Lake access ramp, providing immediate entry to the area's best fishing and boating. The structure requires renovation but features a solid footprint for those looking to build equity in a high-demand outdoor corridor. Property sold as is.

Key facts

  • Investment project
  • Secluded lot
  • Solid footprint

Tags

SECLUDED LOTFRESHLY GRAVELED DRIVEWAYPRIVATE CABIN RETREATINVESTMENT PROJECTSOLID FOOTPRINT

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Association fees billed monthly

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel driveway parking
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Propane; Public water available; Septic system available (septic tank)
  • Home design: Single-story home; Residential property; Metal siding; Metal roof; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Metal siding construction; Metal roof; Built 25+ years ago; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Gravel driveway; Rural, secluded, wooded lot; Outside city limits; Not in a subdivision; Private and public road frontage; gravel road surface

Interior

  • Kitchen: Countertop appliances; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms (each approx. 10 x 11.5); Additional main-level room approx. 12.5 x 11 (use flexible)
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace in the living room; Vinyl flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Propane water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $98k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $919 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $98k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.5% vs local median 3.3% in Springdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#48 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, commute D+, employment D+.
  • Springdale School District (urban): math 38% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #100 of 238 in AR (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 369 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,494 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (1,497 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $678 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Washington County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $96,530 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.99%
Cap rate
17.54%
Cash-on-cash
40.18%
DSCR
2.79
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$367,197
List price
$98,000
Delta
-73.31%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.87% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.4%
Equity multiple
2.54×
Total profit
$42,378
Equity at exit
$14,612
10-year hold
IRR
43.0%
Equity multiple
5.05×
Total profit
$111,186
Equity at exit
$8,473

Cash invested: $27,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72764

Rents YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
369
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,946 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$514
Tax from tax record
$64 /mo · $763/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$409
Net cashflow
$919

Break-even live

Break-even rent $783
Max offer price $98,000
Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,500
Closing costs
$2,940
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18440 Ponderosa Dr Unit 1221883P Springdale, AR 2.0 2.0 990 $8,808 $8.90 43d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $98,000 Active 18 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    status $98,000 Active 17 DOM
  3. 2026-05-11
    listed $120,000 Active 534-char remark
  4. 2024-10-16
    price $95,000
  5. 2024-10-02
    price $85,000
  6. 2024-07-12
    price $115,000
  7. 2024-06-18
    price $98,000
  8. 2024-05-13
    price $115,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$763 · $64/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$763 · $64/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,349
− Mortgage interest
−$5,490
− Property taxes
−$763
− Insurance
−$490
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,868
− Management
−$1,868
− Depreciation
−$2,851
Taxable income
$10,020
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,405
After-tax cash flow
$8,621/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springdale School District
NCES district ID
0512660
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$45,469
Composite
31.18/100
National rank
#6046
State rank
#100 of 238 in AR

Livability — Springdale

Score
70/100
State rank
#48
US rank
#7326

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Washington County · 252,056 people
City population
104,811
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
Population (ZIP)
58,719
Household income
$65,898
Rent vs Own
51.5% rent · 48.5% own
Severe rent burden
1352.0

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
271,748 people
By 2030
296,414 · +9.1%
By 2040
346,874 · +27.6%
By 2050
398,552 · +46.7%
By 2075
523,309 · +92.6%
By 2100
615,280 · +126.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 44% White 33% Two or more races 28% Pacific Islander 11% Black 3% Asian 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 32% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
28% · Canada
Languages at home
58% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Asian/Pacific 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.7) · D 45.1% · R 51.7% · Other 3.2%
2008→2024 swing
+6.4pp toward D · 2008: -13.1pp · 2024: -6.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.7 2020: R+3.9 2016: R+10.4 2012: R+16.3 2008: R+13.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -269.05%
Current HPI
297.924
Rent YoY
▲ 2.87%
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Relisted NWARMLS
  • 2026-05-28 Pending NWARMLS
  • 2026-05-26 Price Changed $98,000 NWARMLS
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $105,000 NWARMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $120,000 NWARMLS
  • 2024-10-16 Price Changed $95,000 NWARMLS
  • 2024-10-02 Price Changed $85,000 NWARMLS
  • 2024-07-12 Price Changed $115,000 NWARMLS
  • 2024-06-18 Price Changed $98,000 NWARMLS
  • 2024-05-13 Price Changed $115,000 NWARMLS

Property tax history

+17.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $763 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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