200 Periwinkle Way #232 · Sanibel, FL
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 113°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +6.9/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$695,000
200 Periwinkle Way #232 · Sanibel, FL 33957
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,578 sqft · Condo
public records
· 1293 Days on market
Built 1976
$440/sqft
· 40% below area
Est $1.158M · 40% under
$1700/mo HOA · 14% of rent
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Rare Opportunity! Meticulously maintained Lighthouse Point Condo, second floor with water views from Family Room and Master decks. Remodeled in 2015 with gourmet kitchen open to Dining Room and Family Room. Wood floors throughout living area, custom doors, primary bathroom boasts double sinks and a large shower. Primary bedroom has lots of closet space and great views. There is a guest bedroom with remodeled bathroom and a third bedroom that is currently used as a den/office (with pocket doors) that open to a screened lanai. All glass is impact except on the lanai. This Condo home is offered furnished with minor exclusions.
Key facts
- $1,700 HOA
- Parking
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
Sold within
Property
Rental comp
Retail
Costco
Walmart
Transit
Schools
Stadiums
Fortune 500
· Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $695k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($37k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $695k).
- Recommended offer: $612k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 2.6% in Sanibel — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#541 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: housing D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: The Sanibel School (math 92% / reading 92%, grade A+, #5 of 2,144 statewide, top 0%, 289 students, 12% FRL); South Fort Myers High School (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #489 of 667 statewide, top 74%, 1,917 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 31% FRL vs 57% district-wide (26 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 582 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $195k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 1293 days — a 12% lower offer ($612k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $400k (37%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $278k; list at $695k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer
$611,600
(12.0% below list)
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 1293 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.77% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.50%
- DSCR
- 1.96
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,158,491
- List price
- $695,000
- Delta
- -40.01%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1101 Seagrape Ln Unit 5A | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,633 (+4%) | 20mo | $1,150,000 | $704 | 55 |
| 1010 Kings Crown Dr | 1.05mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,597 (+1%) | 9mo | $1,025,000 | $642 | 47 |
| 651 E Gulf Dr #111 | 1.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,542 (-2%) | 26mo | $1,460,000 | $947 | 36 |
| 1154 Harbor Cottage Ct | 1.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,493 (-5%) | 19mo | $1,150,000 | $770 | 35 |
| 976 Sand Castle Rd | 1.29mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,698 (+8%) | 35mo | $859,000 | $506 | 23 |
| 950 Sand Castle Rd | 1.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,773 (+12%) | 32mo | $870,000 | $491 | 19 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
5-year hold
- IRR
- 10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $83,654
- Equity at exit
- $103,627
10-year hold
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $329,286
- Equity at exit
- $60,091
Cash invested: $194,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 2 active
- Median asking
- $624,850 ($395/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 182 d
- This list price
- 100% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +85.8% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33957
- Home prices YoY
- -15.7%
- Active inventory
- 582
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
↻
- Estimated rent
- $12,323 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,645
- Tax from tax record
- −$614 /mo · $7,368/yr
- Insurance
- −$290
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$1,700
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,588
- Net cashflow
- $3,061
Break-even live
Break-even rent
$8,449
Max offer price
$695,000
Occupancy floor
70%
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $3,454 | -5% $3,257 | +0% $3,061 | +5% $2,864 | +10% $2,667 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $2,087 | -5% $2,574 | +0% $3,061 | +5% $3,547 | +10% $4,034 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $3,411 | -0.5pp $3,237 | base $3,061 | +0.5pp $2,881 | +1.0pp $2,697 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $173,750
- Closing costs
- $20,850
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 424 Lagoon Dr Sanibel, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1704 | $18,200 | $10.68 | 119d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 434 Lagoon Dr Sanibel, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $6,000 | $4.41 | 10d | 1 | 0.50mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info
- Pets allowed conditionally (call); typically limit 1 pet up to 35 lbs
- HOA & community
- Monthly association feeAssociation includes cable TVCommunity amenities: beach access/rights, clubhouse, community pool, tennis courts, managementCondo-hotel community with elevator and near hotel/motel69 units in community
Exterior
- Parking
- Assigned parkingGuest parkingOne assigned space
- Security
- Smoke detectors
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerCable availableHigh-speed internet available
- Home design
- Condo unit in a 3-story buildingEntry level: 2East-facingHas view
- Construction
- Block, concrete and stucco constructionBuilt-up and flat roof
- Exterior features
- DeckOpen porch
Interior
- Kitchen
- Electric cooktopRangeMicrowaveDishwasherDisposalIcemakerRefrigerator (with ice maker)
- Flooring
- CarpetTileWood
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (electric)Central air conditioning (electric)Ceiling fans
- Interior features
- Sliding and impact-resistant windowsFurnishedBreakfast barDual sinksSeparate shower (shower only)Cable TV
- Laundry & utility
- Washer and dryer inside
HOA detail $1,700/mo · $20,400/yr condo
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-31days on market $695,000 Active 1293 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $695,000 Active 1290 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $695,000 Active 1288 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $695,000 Active 1286 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $695,000 Active 1285 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $695,000 Active 1283 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $695,000 Active 1282 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $695,000 Active 1281 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $695,000 Active 1280 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $695,000 Active 1278 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $695,000 Active 1277 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $695,000 Active 1275 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $695,000 Active 1271 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $695,000 Active 1268 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $695,000 Active 1267 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $695,000 Active 1257 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $695,000 Active 1255 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $695,000 Active 1254 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $695,000 Active 1253 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $695,000 Active 1252 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $695,000 Active 1249 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $695,000 Active 1248 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $695,000 Active 1247 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $695,000 Active 1246 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $695,000 Active 1244 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $695,000 Active 1243 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $695,000 Active 1242 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $695,000 Active 1241 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $695,000 Active 1240 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $695,000 Active 1238 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $695,000 Active 1237 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $695,000 Active 1236 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $695,000 Active 1233 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $695,000 Active 1232 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $695,000 Active 1231 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $695,000 Active 1230 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $695,000 Active 1229 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $695,000 Active 1225 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $695,000 Active 1223 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $695,000 Active 1222 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $695,000 Active 1218 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $695,000 Active 1217 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $695,000 Active 1216 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $695,000 Active 1214 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $695,000 Active 1210 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $695,000 Active 1208 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $695,000 Active 1202 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $695,000 Active 1201 DOM
-
2025-12-01price $695,000
-
2025-03-27price $795,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $7,368 · $614/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,368 · $614/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥113°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $147,881
- − Mortgage interest
- −$38,931
- − Property taxes
- −$7,368
- − Insurance
- −$8,594
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$11,830
- − Management
- −$11,830
- − HOA
- −$20,400
- − Depreciation
- −$20,218
- Taxable income
- $28,709
combined federal + state — saved on this device
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$6,890
- After-tax cash flow
- $29,838/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
80/100
Cosmetic rehab
Est. rehab $7,890–$23,670 screening
This well-maintained and updated townhouse is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for value increase through minor exterior and interior updates.
Components & finishes AI
Flooring hardwood
Counters granite
Appliances stainless steel
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint the exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and make the home look more inviting to potential buyers. ↑
- Both Upgrade the flooring in the living area — Replacing worn-out wood flooring with a more durable and attractive option can improve both the resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
C
Composite school gradezoned avg 68/100
Zoned Schools
Elementary
The Sanibel School
A+
FL #5/2,144
Nat'l #94/41,679
High
Cypress Lake High School
D-
FL #228/667
Nat'l #6,809/17,239
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
C
Composite livability gradescore 67/100
Livability — Sanibel
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #541
- US rank
- #10166
Category grades
Amenities F
Commute F
Cost of living F
Crime A+
Employment A+
Housing D+
Health & safety D-
User ratings A+
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sanibel, FL
- County
- Lee · 871,946 people
- City population
- 6,402
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,402
- Household income
- $122,730
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3% of renters
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Romanian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.08%
- Current HPI
- 501.0
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+150.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-01 Price Changed $695,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-03-27 Price Changed $795,000 FORTMLS
- 2024-11-01 Relisted — FORTMLS
- 2024-06-17 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2023-10-20 Price Changed $869,000 FORTMLS
- 2023-07-26 Price Changed $889,000 FORTMLS
- 2023-05-25 Price Changed $929,000 FORTMLS
- 2023-03-20 Price Changed $989,000 FORTMLS
- 2022-10-06 Relisted — FORTMLS
- 2022-09-12 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2022-09-07 Listed $1,095,000 FORTMLS
- 1996-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $278,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $7,368 · +775.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…