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4003 Pingree St
C+ Composite 62.9
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$200,000

4003 Pingree St · Detroit, MI 48204
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 3,060 sqft · Townhouse public records · 94 Days on market
Built 1916 3,920 sqft lot $65/sqft · 6% below area Est $262k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fully renovated and move-in ready! This updated 2 family brick home features a brand new kitchen and beautifully renovated bathrooms, along with fresh updates throughout the entire property. Gas hook-ups are available for a washer and dryer. Conveniently located just minutes from Downtown Detroit, making it a great option for a first-time homebuyer or an investor looking to add to their portfolio. A great opportunity to own an updated home close to the city! BTVAI

Key facts

  • New kitchen
  • Renovated bathrooms
  • Gas hook-ups

Tags

NEW KITCHENRENOVATED BATHROOMSGAS HOOK-UPSMINUTES FROM DOWNTOWN DETROIT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $173 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (7.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $182k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 244 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $15k; list at $200k implies a 1233% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $182,000 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
7.33%
Cash-on-cash
3.71%
DSCR
1.16
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$261,527
List price
$200,000
Delta
-23.53%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
10 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.9%
Equity multiple
3.14×
Total profit
$119,912
Equity at exit
$180,176
10-year hold
IRR
23.6%
Equity multiple
7.15×
Total profit
$344,403
Equity at exit
$388,556

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48204

Home prices YoY
18.5%
Active inventory
244
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,853 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax from tax record
$159 /mo · $1,909/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$389
Net cashflow
$173

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,635
Max offer price $200,000
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,000
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3799 W Philadelphia St Detroit, MI 5.0 2.0 2200 $1,650 $0.75 16d 1 0.07mi
2509 Gladstone St Unit NA Detroit, MI 6.0 3.0 3008 $2,000 $0.66 10d 1 0.74mi
8951 La Salle Blvd Detroit, MI 5.0 2.5 2440 $2,500 $1.02 14d 1 0.87mi
2028 Gladstone St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 5.0 2.0 2500 $2,850 $1.14 3d 1 1.07mi
1699 Glynn Ct Detroit, MI 5.0 3.5 2542 $2,500 $0.98 21d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $200,000 Active 94 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $200,000 Active 93 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $200,000 Active 91 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $200,000 Active 89 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $200,000 Active 88 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $200,000 Active 85 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $200,000 Active 84 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $200,000 Active 83 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $200,000 Active 80 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    pricedays on market $200,000 Active 79 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $210,000 Active 77 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $210,000 Active 76 DOM
  13. 2026-03-16
    listed $210,000 Active 468-char remark
    Show marketing remark (468 chars)

    Fully renovated and move-in ready! This updated 2 family brick home features a brand new kitchen and beautifully renovated bathrooms, along with fresh updates throughout the entire property. Gas hook-ups are available for a washer and dryer. Conveniently located just minutes from Downtown Detroit, making it a great option for a first-time homebuyer or an investor looking to add to their portfolio. A great opportunity to own an updated home close to the city! BTVAI

  14. 2026-03-16
    listed $210,000 Active 468-char remark
    Show marketing remark (468 chars)

    Fully renovated and move-in ready! This updated 2 family brick home features a brand new kitchen and beautifully renovated bathrooms, along with fresh updates throughout the entire property. Gas hook-ups are available for a washer and dryer. Conveniently located just minutes from Downtown Detroit, making it a great option for a first-time homebuyer or an investor looking to add to their portfolio. A great opportunity to own an updated home close to the city! BTVAI

  15. 2007-04-16
    soldstatus $15,000
  16. 2007-04-09
    historical
  17. 2006-06-26
    listed $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,909 · $159/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,495 · $208/mo
Expected delta
+$585/yr (+$49/mo · 30.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,241
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$1,909
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,779
− Management
−$1,779
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable loss
−$1,248
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$300
After-tax cash flow
$2,375/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,696
Household income
$34,468
Rent vs Own
45.0% rent · 55.0% own
Severe rent burden
1418.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 36.51%
Current HPI
234.0465
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1300.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $210,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $210,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-04-16 Sold (MLS) $15,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-04-09 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-06-26 Listed $15,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+17.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,909 · -50.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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