59 Colonial Park Dr · Larkfield-Wikiup, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 18 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.4/30.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$280,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Reduced for quick sale! Now only $127,900. Located in Colonial Mobile Senior Park, this 2 bedroom, 2 bath about 1300 sq. ft. mobile home is now ready for a new owner. This home has a nice large living room with a dining room off to the side. The dining room has a built in hutch for extra storage. The galley kitchen is equipped with a wonderful large LG refrigerator, built-in ovens, gas cooktop, and dishwasher. The microwave is on the counter. Off to the side conveniently located is a newer washer and dryer near the back door. Down the hall is a guest bedroom, full hall bath with a shower over tub. At the back of the home is the primary bedroom and attached bath with a step-in shower, convenient sink and dressing area. There is also a large walk-in closet for all your clothes. One of the best features of the home is the front screened in porch for your summer sitting. It is also conveniently located across the street from the clubhouse that has many activities for you to join in including a pool for those summer swims. It is only a walk across the street for fun! A dog park is located next to the clubhouse. This is a lovely home for the low price of $127,900.
Key facts
- Renovated kitchen
- Updated countertops
- Brand-new appliances
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Monthly land lease payment
- HOA & community: No homeowners association; Located in a senior community; Colonial Mobile Park
Exterior
- Parking: Attached covered parking for 2 vehicles
- Utilities: Individual electric meter; Individual gas meter; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home in park; Double wide; Senior community
- Construction: Royal Embassy (make); Guerdon manufacturer; Vinyl skirt
- Exterior features: Covered deck; Enclosed deck; Carport awning; Close to clubhouse; Court
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Free-standing gas range; Free-standing refrigerator; Hood over range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Tub with shower over
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Evaporative cooler
- Interior features: Updated/remodeled interior; Dining and living combined; Living room with attached deck; Shed(s) on the property
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookups only
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $365 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $280k).
- Recommended offer: $255k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 2.1% in Larkfield-Wikiup — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Santa Rosa High (urban): math 31% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #703 of 1,400 in CA (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Mark West Elementary (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #671 of 1,571 statewide, top 44%, 397 students, 47% FRL); Santa Rosa Middle (466 students, 53% FRL); Santa Rosa High (1,682 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools average 46% FRL vs 22% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 202 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,039 units permitted in Sonoma County in 2024 (185 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($98k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sonoma County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $122k; list at $280k implies a 130% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.59%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $202,176
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 Colonial Park Dr | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+4%) | 8mo | $259,000 | $193 | 86 |
| 468 Colonial Park Dr | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+4%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $156 | 81 |
| 19 Ellie Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (+0%) | 11mo | $240,000 | $185 | 76 |
| 612 Colonial Park Dr | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (-7%) | 10mo | $165,000 | $138 | 75 |
| 50 Plymouth Way | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,120 (-14%) | 11mo | $156,000 | $139 | 64 |
| 5241 Whispering Crk | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 1,224 (-6%) | 2mo | $191,000 | $156 | 61 |
| 5229 Whispering Creek Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+4%) | 3mo | $205,000 | $153 | 58 |
| 33 Arthur Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-11%) | 12mo | $188,000 | $163 | 54 |
| 5300 Rexford #5300 | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-4%) | 6mo | $145,000 | $116 | 54 |
| 5306 Rexford Way | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 | 1,150 (-11%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $222 | 51 |
| 5308 Rexford Way | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-4%) | 12mo | $187,000 | $150 | 49 |
| 5215 Gayle Dr | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 | 1,120 (-14%) | 9mo | $175,000 | $156 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.1% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-30,327
- Equity at exit
- $41,749
- IRR
- -6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-28,253
- Equity at exit
- $24,209
Cash invested: $78,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95403
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 202
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,912 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$350 /mo · $4,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$611
- Net cashflow
- $365
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $559 | -5% $462 | +0% $365 | +5% $268 | +10% $172 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $135 | -5% $250 | +0% $365 | +5% $480 | +10% $595 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $506 | -0.5pp $436 | base $365 | +0.5pp $293 | +1.0pp $219 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $70,000
- Closing costs
- $8,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 117 E Shiloh Rd Santa Rosa, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1783 | $4,100 | $2.30 | 45d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 193 Airport Blvd E Santa Rosa, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 967 | $2,760 | $2.85 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 5252 Old Redwood Hwy Unit 20 Santa Rosa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,000 | $2.22 | 15d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 5256 Old Redwood Hwy Unit 31 Santa Rosa, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $2,200 | $2.32 | 15d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 5223 Old Redwood Hwy Santa Rosa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 915 | $3,200 | $3.50 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 5209 Old Redwood Hwy Santa Rosa, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1014 | $2,450 | $2.42 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 5365 Arnica Way Santa Rosa, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1699 | $3,450 | $2.03 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1145 Shiloh Rd Windsor, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 776 | $3,888 | $5.01 | 0d | 13 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $280,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $280,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $280,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $280,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $280,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $280,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $280,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $280,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $280,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $280,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $280,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $280,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $280,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $280,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $280,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $280,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-03-06$280,000 Active
-
2025-07-02status Pending 1177-char remark
Show marketing remark (1177 chars)
Reduced for quick sale! Now only $127,900. Located in Colonial Mobile Senior Park, this 2 bedroom, 2 bath about 1300 sq. ft. mobile home is now ready for a new owner. This home has a nice large living room with a dining room off to the side. The dining room has a built in hutch for extra storage. The galley kitchen is equipped with a wonderful large LG refrigerator, built-in ovens, gas cooktop, and dishwasher. The microwave is on the counter. Off to the side conveniently located is a newer washer and dryer near the back door. Down the hall is a guest bedroom, full hall bath with a shower over tub. At the back of the home is the primary bedroom and attached bath with a step-in shower, convenient sink and dressing area. There is also a large walk-in closet for all your clothes. One of the best features of the home is the front screened in porch for your summer sitting. It is also conveniently located across the street from the clubhouse that has many activities for you to join in including a pool for those summer swims. It is only a walk across the street for fun! A dog park is located next to the clubhouse. This is a lovely home for the low price of $127,900.
-
2025-07-02soldstatus $122,000 Closed 1177-char remark
Show marketing remark (1177 chars)
Reduced for quick sale! Now only $127,900. Located in Colonial Mobile Senior Park, this 2 bedroom, 2 bath about 1300 sq. ft. mobile home is now ready for a new owner. This home has a nice large living room with a dining room off to the side. The dining room has a built in hutch for extra storage. The galley kitchen is equipped with a wonderful large LG refrigerator, built-in ovens, gas cooktop, and dishwasher. The microwave is on the counter. Off to the side conveniently located is a newer washer and dryer near the back door. Down the hall is a guest bedroom, full hall bath with a shower over tub. At the back of the home is the primary bedroom and attached bath with a step-in shower, convenient sink and dressing area. There is also a large walk-in closet for all your clothes. One of the best features of the home is the front screened in porch for your summer sitting. It is also conveniently located across the street from the clubhouse that has many activities for you to join in including a pool for those summer swims. It is only a walk across the street for fun! A dog park is located next to the clubhouse. This is a lovely home for the low price of $127,900.
-
2025-06-06historical Contingent (Show) 1177-char remark
Show marketing remark (1177 chars)
Reduced for quick sale! Now only $127,900. Located in Colonial Mobile Senior Park, this 2 bedroom, 2 bath about 1300 sq. ft. mobile home is now ready for a new owner. This home has a nice large living room with a dining room off to the side. The dining room has a built in hutch for extra storage. The galley kitchen is equipped with a wonderful large LG refrigerator, built-in ovens, gas cooktop, and dishwasher. The microwave is on the counter. Off to the side conveniently located is a newer washer and dryer near the back door. Down the hall is a guest bedroom, full hall bath with a shower over tub. At the back of the home is the primary bedroom and attached bath with a step-in shower, convenient sink and dressing area. There is also a large walk-in closet for all your clothes. One of the best features of the home is the front screened in porch for your summer sitting. It is also conveniently located across the street from the clubhouse that has many activities for you to join in including a pool for those summer swims. It is only a walk across the street for fun! A dog park is located next to the clubhouse. This is a lovely home for the low price of $127,900.
-
2025-06-02price $127,900 1177-char remark
Show marketing remark (1177 chars)
Reduced for quick sale! Now only $127,900. Located in Colonial Mobile Senior Park, this 2 bedroom, 2 bath about 1300 sq. ft. mobile home is now ready for a new owner. This home has a nice large living room with a dining room off to the side. The dining room has a built in hutch for extra storage. The galley kitchen is equipped with a wonderful large LG refrigerator, built-in ovens, gas cooktop, and dishwasher. The microwave is on the counter. Off to the side conveniently located is a newer washer and dryer near the back door. Down the hall is a guest bedroom, full hall bath with a shower over tub. At the back of the home is the primary bedroom and attached bath with a step-in shower, convenient sink and dressing area. There is also a large walk-in closet for all your clothes. One of the best features of the home is the front screened in porch for your summer sitting. It is also conveniently located across the street from the clubhouse that has many activities for you to join in including a pool for those summer swims. It is only a walk across the street for fun! A dog park is located next to the clubhouse. This is a lovely home for the low price of $127,900.
-
2025-05-13price $132,900 1177-char remark
Show marketing remark (1177 chars)
Reduced for quick sale! Now only $127,900. Located in Colonial Mobile Senior Park, this 2 bedroom, 2 bath about 1300 sq. ft. mobile home is now ready for a new owner. This home has a nice large living room with a dining room off to the side. The dining room has a built in hutch for extra storage. The galley kitchen is equipped with a wonderful large LG refrigerator, built-in ovens, gas cooktop, and dishwasher. The microwave is on the counter. Off to the side conveniently located is a newer washer and dryer near the back door. Down the hall is a guest bedroom, full hall bath with a shower over tub. At the back of the home is the primary bedroom and attached bath with a step-in shower, convenient sink and dressing area. There is also a large walk-in closet for all your clothes. One of the best features of the home is the front screened in porch for your summer sitting. It is also conveniently located across the street from the clubhouse that has many activities for you to join in including a pool for those summer swims. It is only a walk across the street for fun! A dog park is located next to the clubhouse. This is a lovely home for the low price of $127,900.
-
2025-04-17status Active 1177-char remark
Show marketing remark (1177 chars)
Reduced for quick sale! Now only $127,900. Located in Colonial Mobile Senior Park, this 2 bedroom, 2 bath about 1300 sq. ft. mobile home is now ready for a new owner. This home has a nice large living room with a dining room off to the side. The dining room has a built in hutch for extra storage. The galley kitchen is equipped with a wonderful large LG refrigerator, built-in ovens, gas cooktop, and dishwasher. The microwave is on the counter. Off to the side conveniently located is a newer washer and dryer near the back door. Down the hall is a guest bedroom, full hall bath with a shower over tub. At the back of the home is the primary bedroom and attached bath with a step-in shower, convenient sink and dressing area. There is also a large walk-in closet for all your clothes. One of the best features of the home is the front screened in porch for your summer sitting. It is also conveniently located across the street from the clubhouse that has many activities for you to join in including a pool for those summer swims. It is only a walk across the street for fun! A dog park is located next to the clubhouse. This is a lovely home for the low price of $127,900.
-
2025-04-04historical Contingent (Show) 1177-char remark
Show marketing remark (1177 chars)
Reduced for quick sale! Now only $127,900. Located in Colonial Mobile Senior Park, this 2 bedroom, 2 bath about 1300 sq. ft. mobile home is now ready for a new owner. This home has a nice large living room with a dining room off to the side. The dining room has a built in hutch for extra storage. The galley kitchen is equipped with a wonderful large LG refrigerator, built-in ovens, gas cooktop, and dishwasher. The microwave is on the counter. Off to the side conveniently located is a newer washer and dryer near the back door. Down the hall is a guest bedroom, full hall bath with a shower over tub. At the back of the home is the primary bedroom and attached bath with a step-in shower, convenient sink and dressing area. There is also a large walk-in closet for all your clothes. One of the best features of the home is the front screened in porch for your summer sitting. It is also conveniently located across the street from the clubhouse that has many activities for you to join in including a pool for those summer swims. It is only a walk across the street for fun! A dog park is located next to the clubhouse. This is a lovely home for the low price of $127,900.
-
2025-03-30$137,900 Active 1177-char remark
Show marketing remark (1177 chars)
Reduced for quick sale! Now only $127,900. Located in Colonial Mobile Senior Park, this 2 bedroom, 2 bath about 1300 sq. ft. mobile home is now ready for a new owner. This home has a nice large living room with a dining room off to the side. The dining room has a built in hutch for extra storage. The galley kitchen is equipped with a wonderful large LG refrigerator, built-in ovens, gas cooktop, and dishwasher. The microwave is on the counter. Off to the side conveniently located is a newer washer and dryer near the back door. Down the hall is a guest bedroom, full hall bath with a shower over tub. At the back of the home is the primary bedroom and attached bath with a step-in shower, convenient sink and dressing area. There is also a large walk-in closet for all your clothes. One of the best features of the home is the front screened in porch for your summer sitting. It is also conveniently located across the street from the clubhouse that has many activities for you to join in including a pool for those summer swims. It is only a walk across the street for fun! A dog park is located next to the clubhouse. This is a lovely home for the low price of $127,900.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 18 unhealthy d/yr today · 20 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,939
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,684
- − Property taxes
- −$4,200
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,795
- − Management
- −$2,795
- − Depreciation
- −$8,145
- Taxable loss
- −$81
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$19
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,401/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Santa Rosa High
- NCES district ID
- 0635830
- Math proficiency
- 31% —
- Reading proficiency
- 47% —
- Median HH income
- $62,000
- Composite
- 37.25/100
- National rank
- #8972
- State rank
- #703 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Larkfield-Wikiup
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Larkfield-Wikiup, CA
- County
- Sonoma County · 449,805 people
- City population
- 45,570
- Metro
- Santa Rosa-Petaluma, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,806
- Household income
- $98,191
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1770.0
Population outlook (Sonoma County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 539,935 people
- By 2030
- 554,870 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 573,262 · +6.2%
- By 2050
- 580,715 · +7.6%
- By 2075
- 579,229 · +7.3%
- By 2100
- 547,835 · +1.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 13% Asian 5% Native American 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 26% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sonoma
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.2) · D 71.4% · R 25.2% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.4pp toward R · 2008: 49.6pp · 2024: 46.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.2 2020: D+51.5 2016: D+47.9 2012: D+44.9 2008: D+49.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -679.94%
- Current HPI
- 254.3106
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.10%
- Metro
- Santa Rosa-Petaluma, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+103.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-06 Listed $280,000 BAREIS
- 2025-07-02 Pending — BAREIS
- 2025-07-02 Sold (MLS) $122,000 BAREIS
- 2025-06-06 Contingent — BAREIS
- 2025-06-02 Price Changed $127,900 BAREIS
- 2025-05-13 Price Changed $132,900 BAREIS
- 2025-04-17 Relisted — BAREIS
- 2025-04-04 Contingent — BAREIS
- 2025-03-30 Listed $137,900 BAREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…