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1131 W Nowland Ave
C+ Composite 62.44
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.1/30.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,900

1131 W Nowland Ave · Peoria, IL 61604
1 bd · 2.0 ba · 880 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1956 4,860 sqft lot $74/sqft · 54% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming all brick ranch home with fenced yard. Bedroom has double closets and ceiling fan. Spacious room sizes, new flooring and fresh paint. Full, unfinished basement. Don't miss out on this great home!

Key facts

  • 4,860 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1956

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $183 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($855 rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 5.6% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $62,953 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
9.68%
Cash-on-cash
12.09%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$42,065
List price
$64,900
Delta
54.29%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1131 W Nowland Ave 0.00mi 1/1.0 880 (0%) 0mo $53,500 $61 96
1214 W Brons Ave 0.15mi 2/1.0 (+1) 864 (-2%) 2mo $34,900 $40 80
1126 Thrush Ave 0.09mi 2/1.0 (+1) 952 (+8%) 1mo $62,500 $66 72
1126 W Gilbert Ave 0.42mi 2/1.0 (+1) 878 (-0%) 2mo $89,900 $102 69
1417 W Mcclure Ave 0.27mi 2/1.0 (+1) 947 (+8%) 3mo $119,075 $126 63
2332 N Ellis St 0.48mi 2/1.0 (+1) 840 (-4%) 2mo $24,000 $29 60
2318 N Ellis St 0.47mi 2/1.0 (+1) 842 (-4%) 3mo $31,000 $37 60
2314 N Ellis St 0.47mi 2/1.0 (+1) 928 (+6%) 3mo $18,500 $20 57
1017 W Gilbert Ave 0.46mi 2/1.0 (+1) 816 (-7%) 2mo $20,000 $25 56
1419 W Margaret Ave 0.58mi 2/1.0 (+1) 936 (+6%) 1mo $113,000 $121 53
910 W Virginia Ave 0.25mi 2/1.0 (+1) 748 (-15%) 3mo $60,000 $80 52
2318 N Flora Ave 0.53mi 2/1.0 (+1) 768 (-13%) 2mo $90,000 $117 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.3% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.9%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$585
Equity at exit
$9,677
10-year hold
IRR
9.8%
Equity multiple
1.73×
Total profit
$13,266
Equity at exit
$5,611

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61604

Home prices YoY
-24.6%
Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
180
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$855 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$340
Tax from tax record
$125 /mo · $1,503/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$180
Net cashflow
$183

Break-even live

Break-even rent $624
Max offer price $64,900
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,225
Closing costs
$1,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2214 N Linsley St Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 575 $550 $0.96 43d 1 0.10mi
905 W Thrush Ave Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 21d 1 0.22mi
812 W Macqueen Ave Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 822 $795 $0.97 43d 1 0.28mi
2207 N Ellis St Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 864 $999 $1.16 13d 1 0.46mi
1703 N Valley Ave Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 676 $1,200 $1.78 13d 1 0.54mi
2610 N Renwood Ave Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 904 $1,300 $1.44 13d 1 1.06mi
511 W Elizabeth St Unit A Peoria, IL 1.0 1.0 850 $800 $0.94 43d 1 1.07mi
1505 N Peoria Ave Peoria, IL 1.0 1.0 525 $1,006 $1.92 13d 4 1.22mi
2920 N Rockwood Dr Apt B Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $895 $1.12 13d 1 1.25mi
2511 W Wardcliffe Dr Unit H Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $875 $1.09 43d 1 1.26mi
911 N Sheridan Rd Unit a1 Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 825 $850 $1.03 13d 1 1.27mi
911 N Sheridan Rd Unit A4 Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 825 $850 $1.03 43d 1 1.27mi
905 N Sheridan Rd Unit F Peoria, IL 1.0 1.0 650 $900 $1.38 43d 1 1.28mi
416 W Main St Unit A Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1050 $950 $0.90 43d 1 1.28mi
W Crestwood Dr Peoria, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 13d 4 1.38mi
3629 N Leroy Ave Unit A Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 43d 1 1.40mi
737 E Gift Ave Unit 737 Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,125 $1.41 43d 1 1.42mi
2700 W Forrest Hill Ave Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 850 $850 $1.00 43d 1 1.42mi
4020 N Bryer Pl Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,250 $1.74 21d 1 1.45mi
4010 N Brandywine Dr Peoria, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 797 $876 $1.10 13d 17 1.47mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    status $64,900 Pending 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $64,900 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $64,900 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,900 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $64,900 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-05-05
    price $64,900 208-char remark
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    Charming all brick ranch home with fenced yard. Bedroom has double closets and ceiling fan. Spacious room sizes, new flooring and fresh paint. Full, unfinished basement. Don't miss out on this great home!

  7. 2026-04-27
    price $69,900 208-char remark
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    Charming all brick ranch home with fenced yard. Bedroom has double closets and ceiling fan. Spacious room sizes, new flooring and fresh paint. Full, unfinished basement. Don't miss out on this great home!

  8. 2026-04-15
    listed $74,900 Active 208-char remark
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    Charming all brick ranch home with fenced yard. Bedroom has double closets and ceiling fan. Spacious room sizes, new flooring and fresh paint. Full, unfinished basement. Don't miss out on this great home!

  9. 2004-06-28
    soldstatus $57,500
  10. 2001-04-30
    soldstatus $49,500 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Very sharp all brick ranch*Baement is partially finished and currently used as another "bedroom"*Rooms are spacious and open*Must see!! All ceiling fans and the storage shed do not stay with the house*

  11. 2001-02-15
    listed $49,800 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Very sharp all brick ranch*Baement is partially finished and currently used as another "bedroom"*Rooms are spacious and open*Must see!! All ceiling fans and the storage shed do not stay with the house*

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,503 · $125/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,503 · $125/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,264
− Mortgage interest
−$3,635
− Property taxes
−$1,503
− Insurance
−$324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$821
− Management
−$821
− Depreciation
−$1,888
Taxable income
$1,271
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$305
After-tax cash flow
$1,892/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Peoria SD 150
NCES district ID
1731230
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
14% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,951
Composite
10.92/100
National rank
#9751
State rank
#554 of 620 in IL

Livability — Peoria

Score
73/100
State rank
#270
US rank
#5096

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Peoria, IL
County
Peoria County · 120,495 people
City population
114,670
Metro
Peoria, IL
Population (ZIP)
28,313
Household income
$52,414
Rent vs Own
32.0% rent · 68.0% own
Severe rent burden
815.0

Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
183,007 people
By 2030
179,643 · -1.8%
By 2040
171,782 · -6.1%
By 2050
163,508 · -10.7%
By 2075
140,178 · -23.4%
By 2100
114,493 · -37.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Black 29% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Peoria

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.15%
Current HPI
165.8838
Rent YoY
▲ 2.30%
Metro
Peoria, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+30.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $64,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $69,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $74,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $57,500 Public Records
  • 2001-04-30 Sold (MLS) $49,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-02-15 Listed $49,800 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,503 · +72.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…