13 Jefferson St · Steelton, PA
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.8/10.0
- 1% rule +1.7/10.0
- Schools +0.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 13 Jefferson Street, Steelton, PA This beautifully renovated home has undergone a major rehab with all renovations fully permitted and approved by the township, offering true peace of mind to the next owner. Updates include brand-new plumbing, electrical, HVAC, windows, flooring, a completely updated kitchen, and brand-new appliances. Conveniently located just minutes from Harrisburg, this move-in-ready property offers easy access to major highways, shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences. Inside, the home features a functional layout with comfortable living space, complemented by new flooring throughout and energy-efficient windows that enhance both comfort and efficiency. W
Key facts
- Renovated home
- New plumbing
- New hvac
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available; 100 Amp electric service
- Home design: Semi-detached property; East-facing main entrance; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Shingle roof; Building not winterized; Year built (source: assessor)
- Exterior features: Above-grade and below-grade structures noted; Public water and public sewer available; Natural gas available
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level; Two bedrooms on the second upper level
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first upper level; One half bathroom on the main level; Total: 1 full bath, 1 half bath
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump(s) heating; Ductless/mini-split cooling (electric); 100 amp electric service; Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Drywall walls and ceilings; Unfinished basement (approx. 450 below-grade area); Not in a federal flood zone; Accessible features include 32"+ wide doors; Property in very good condition
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-269 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $141k (25.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (33.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $126k (33.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 7.1% in Steelton — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#971 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Steelton-Highspire SD (suburban): math 2% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #538 of 539 in PA (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Steelton-Highspire El Sch (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,491 of 1,518 statewide, top 98%, 738 students, 100% FRL); Steelton-Highspire Hs (math 2% / reading 6%, grade F, #434 of 437 statewide, top 99%, 599 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 68% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 68 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 130 days — a 12% lower offer ($166k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 130 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.67% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.85%
- DSCR
- 0.78
- GRM
- 12.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.10×
- Total profit
- $-47,791
- Equity at exit
- $28,181
- IRR
- -24.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.20×
- Total profit
- $-63,729
- Equity at exit
- $16,341
Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17113
- Home prices YoY
- -16.3%
- Active inventory
- 68
- Price-to-rent
- 12.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,265 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$991
- Tax from tax record
- −$143 /mo · $1,718/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$266
- Net cashflow
- $-269
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-162 | -5% $-216 | +0% $-269 | +5% $-323 | +10% $-376 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-369 | -5% $-319 | +0% $-269 | +5% $-219 | +10% $-170 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-174 | -0.5pp $-221 | base $-269 | +0.5pp $-318 | +1.0pp $-368 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,250
- Closing costs
- $5,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 322 Pine St Unit 2 Steelton, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $995 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 589 Yale St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 911 | $1,549 | $1.70 | 16d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 209 Reno Ave Unit 2 New Cumberland, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 771 | $1,350 | $1.75 | 16d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 425 7th St New Cumberland, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $975 | $0.93 | 23d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-04-30status Pending
-
2026-04-13price $189,000
-
2026-04-05price $191,000
-
2026-03-10price $194,000
-
2025-12-21$195,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,718 · $143/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,352 · $196/mo
- Expected delta
- +$634/yr (+$53/mo · 36.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,177
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,587
- − Property taxes
- −$1,718
- − Insurance
- −$1,612
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,214
- − Management
- −$1,214
- − Depreciation
- −$5,498
- Taxable loss
- −$6,666
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,600
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,633/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Steelton-Highspire SD
- NCES district ID
- 4222800
- Math proficiency
- 2% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,685
- Composite
- 4.98/100
- National rank
- #10040
- State rank
- #538 of 539 in PA
Livability — Steelton
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #971
- US rank
- #10606
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Steelton, PA
- County
- Dauphin County · 247,857 people
- City population
- 19,401
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,724
- Household income
- $68,244
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 338.0
Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 281,628 people
- By 2030
- 283,549 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 285,385 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 286,188 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 291,053 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 282,374 · +0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 22% Two or more races 19% Native American 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 11% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, India
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.73%
- Current HPI
- 281.6906
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
-3.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $189,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-05 Price Changed $191,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $194,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-21 Listed $195,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2026): $1,718 · +7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…