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2604 Bracston Rd
D Composite 44.66
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.9/15.0
  • Schools +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$379,000

2604 Bracston Rd · Virginia Beach, VA 23456
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,724 sqft · Townhouse public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1996 2,748 sqft lot Est $400k · 5% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

“HOMEBUYERS INSPECTION” - NO FEE PROPERTY - CONVENIENTLY LOCATED TO MILITARY BASES - SHOPPING - DINING - BEACHES! SPACIOUS THREE (3) BEDROOMS WITH 1ST FLOOR PRIMARY BEDROOM - WALK-IN CLOSETS - OPEN RELAXING FLOOR PLAN - PATIO/FENCED BACKYARD AND ATTACHED GARAGE - PROPERTY NEED (TLC) - CONVEYS "AS IS" - NO REPAIRS BY SELLER-

Key facts

  • beaches
  • Walk-in closets
  • Patio

Tags

SHOPPING DINING BEACHESWALK-IN CLOSETSOPEN RELAXING FLOOR PLANPATIO

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $379k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-89 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $363k (4.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $294k (22.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $294k (22.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.5% in Virginia Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#38 in VA, #880 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, commute F.
  • Va Beach City Public School District (urban): math 69% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #10 of 131 in VA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Zoned schools: Princess Anne Elementary (math 85% / reading 86%, grade A+, #61 of 1,108 statewide, top 6%, 682 students, 13% FRL); Princess Anne Middle (math 79% / reading 85%, grade A+, #20 of 342 statewide, top 6%, 1,400 students, 14% FRL); Floyd Kellam High (math 83% / reading 93%, grade A, #13 of 319 statewide, top 4%, 1,882 students, 14% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 367 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 666 units permitted in Virginia Beach city in 2024 (347 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Virginia Beach County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $108k; list at $379k implies a 251% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $294,145 (22.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.01%
Cash-on-cash
-1.01%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$399,968
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2604 Bracston Rd 0.00mi 3/2.5 1,724 (0%) 1mo $379,000 $220 99
2350 Charing Cross Rd 0.13mi 3/2.5 1,727 (+0%) 0mo $410,000 $237 93
2578 Hartley St 0.16mi 3/2.5 1,727 (+0%) 1mo $399,900 $232 91
2449 Dillingham Rd 0.09mi 3/2.5 1,849 (+7%) 6mo $419,900 $227 78
2697 Bracston Rd 0.12mi 3/2.5 1,586 (-8%) 5mo $415,500 $262 77
2510 Hartley St 0.06mi 3/2.5 1,889 (+10%) 6mo $370,000 $196 77
2589 Hartley St 0.13mi 3/2.5 1,889 (+10%) 2mo $432,000 $229 76
2623 Bracston Rd 0.06mi 3/2.5 1,889 (+10%) 7mo $409,000 $217 76
2400 Dillingham Rd 0.09mi 3/2.5 1,889 (+10%) 6mo $430,000 $228 75
2343 Nottoway Ln 0.58mi 3/2.5 1,884 (+9%) 1mo $520,000 $276 57
2115 Martlet Ln 0.63mi 3/2.5 1,884 (+9%) 1mo $525,000 $279 55
2344 Nottoway Ln 0.59mi 3/2.5 1,536 (-11%) 6mo $495,000 $322 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.78% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.2%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-64,849
Equity at exit
$56,510
10-year hold
IRR
-7.9%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-54,418
Equity at exit
$32,769

Cash invested: $106,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23456

Rents YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
367
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,941 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,988
Tax from tax record
$267 /mo · $3,210/yr
Insurance
$158
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$618
Net cashflow
$-89

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,054
Max offer price $363,248
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $125 -5% $18 +0% $-89 +5% $-196 +10% $-304
Rent -10% $-322 -5% $-205 +0% $-89 +5% $27 +10% $143
Rate -1.0pp $102 -0.5pp $7 base $-89 +0.5pp $-187 +1.0pp $-287

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$94,750
Closing costs
$11,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2409 Dillingham Rd Virginia Beach, VA 3.0 2.5 1751 $3,000 $1.71 25d 1 0.08mi
2591 Hartley St Virginia Beach, VA 3.0 2.5 1589 $2,250 $1.42 9d 1 0.12mi
2228 Martlet Ln Virginia Beach, VA 3.0 3.0 2185 $3,400 $1.56 25d 1 0.53mi
2361 Nottoway Ln Virginia Beach, VA 3.0 2.5 2008 $3,200 $1.59 25d 1 0.64mi
2250 Princess Anne Rd Virginia Beach, VA 3.0 1.5 1680 $2,300 $1.37 25d 1 1.07mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-24
    status Under Contract
  2. 2026-04-23
    price $379,000
  3. 2026-04-19
    historical Active Under Contract
  4. 2026-04-13
    listed $375,000 Active
  5. 1997-03-25
    soldstatus $108,065

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,210 · $267/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,210 · $267/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,297
− Mortgage interest
−$21,230
− Property taxes
−$3,210
− Insurance
−$1,895
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,824
− Management
−$2,824
− Depreciation
−$11,025
Taxable loss
−$7,710
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,850
After-tax cash flow
$780/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Va Beach City Public School District
NCES district ID
5103840
Math proficiency
69% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
78% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$66,452
Composite
63.81/100
National rank
#594
State rank
#10 of 131 in VA

Livability — Virginia Beach

Score
83/100
State rank
#38
US rank
#880

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living C- Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Virginia Beach, VA
County
Virginia Beach City · 448,227 people
City population
448,227
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
Population (ZIP)
61,911
Household income
$130,533
Rent vs Own
11.2% rent · 88.8% own
Severe rent burden
390.0

Population outlook (Virginia Beach County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
480,401 people
By 2030
491,221 · +2.3%
By 2040
504,882 · +5.1%
By 2050
508,847 · +5.9%
By 2075
504,831 · +5.1%
By 2100
465,867 · -3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 13% Asian 12% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
85% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 4% Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Virginia Beach

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
+3.4pp toward D · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: 2.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.6 2020: D+5.4 2016: R+4.5 2012: R+2.5 2008: R+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -328.17%
Current HPI
318.3094
Rent YoY
▲ 3.78%
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+250.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Pending REINMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $379,000 REINMLS
  • 2026-04-19 Contingent REINMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $375,000 REINMLS
  • 1997-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $108,065 Public Records

Property tax history

+22.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,210 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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