5747 Rex Mill Crk · Stockbridge, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.8/30.0
- ARV discount +9.2/15.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$243,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Meet 5747 Rex Mill Crk, a residence recently enhanced with fresh interior paint and a new hvac system for comfort. A cozy fireplace anchors a living space, while the primary bathroom includes convenient double sinks. Outside, a spacious deck overlooks a fully fenced in backyard. This updated property blends comfort and outdoor enjoyment perfectly.. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation
Key facts
- Double sinks
- Spacious deck
- Cozy fireplace
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No common walls (detached/semi-detached context implied)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 110 volt electric; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Sewer available
- Home design: Two-level home; Resale property; Slab foundation; Composition roof; Construction: brick veneer and vinyl siding
- Construction: Brick veneer and vinyl siding construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Wood fencing; Other exterior features
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen island; Pantry; Other surface counters; Dishwasher; Gas range; Range hood
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level; Bedroom features: none specified
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom (main level); Master bath with separate tub and shower
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: One fireplace located in the living room; Finished basement; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located on the upper level; Other laundry features
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $243k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-24 ($-287/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $239k (1.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (14.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $209k (14.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.3% in Stockbridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#389 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Clayton County (suburban): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #155 of 174 in GA (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: East Clayton Elementary School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,032 of 1,228 statewide, top 85%, 632 students, 90% FRL); Adamson Middle School (math 15% / reading 32%, grade F, #319 of 470 statewide, top 68%, 557 students, 90% FRL); Morrow High School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #277 of 424 statewide, top 67%, 1,980 students, 91% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 86 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 865 units permitted in Clayton County in 2024 (448 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clayton County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($239k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $203k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.42%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $252,600
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5832 Whitney Way | 0.36mi | 3/2.5 | 1,739 (+3%) | 11mo | $260,000 | $150 | 66 |
| 5847 Pinetree Ln | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,829 (+9%) | 0mo | $236,000 | $129 | 66 |
| 5852 Fox Run | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,700 (+1%) | 8mo | $249,900 | $147 | 66 |
| 5843 Foxfield Trl | 0.56mi | 3/3.0 | 1,708 (+1%) | 10mo | $225,000 | $132 | 63 |
| 3732 Charlotte Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,762 (+5%) | 10mo | $256,000 | $145 | 54 |
| 6031 Heisler St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,591 (-6%) | 8mo | $290,000 | $182 | 49 |
| 5608 Old Orchard Ct | 0.60mi | 3/2.5 | 1,842 (+9%) | 8mo | $309,000 | $168 | 48 |
| 3592 Charlotte Dr | 0.75mi | 3/3.0 | 1,830 (+9%) | 8mo | $200,000 | $109 | 44 |
| 3833 Paddington Trl | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,838 (+9%) | 11mo | $265,000 | $144 | 44 |
| 3668 Paddington Trl | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (-11%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $150 | 43 |
| 5873 Colonnade Dr | 0.42mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,915 (+14%) | 10mo | $292,000 | $152 | 42 |
| 6109 Delamere Ln | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,462 (-13%) | 9mo | $250,000 | $171 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.19% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-44,606
- Equity at exit
- $36,232
- IRR
- -15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.18×
- Total profit
- $-55,461
- Equity at exit
- $21,010
Cash invested: $68,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30273
- Home prices YoY
- -28.4%
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 86
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,086 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,274
- Tax from tax record
- −$296 /mo · $3,552/yr
- Insurance
- −$101
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$438
- Net cashflow
- $-24
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,750
- Closing costs
- $7,290
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5832 Mays Ridge Ct Rex, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1408 | $2,020 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 5894 Homestead Cir Rex, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1462 | $1,890 | $1.29 | 5d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 5900 Homestead Cir Rex, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1544 | $1,937 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 3769 Stagecoach Pass Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,200 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 5544 Frontier Ct Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,109 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 5567 Katherine Village Dr Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2031 | $2,505 | $1.23 | 2d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 6007 Heisler St Rex, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1910 | $2,200 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 6169 Fay Ct Rex, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $2,100 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 5862 Waggoner Ct Rex, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1558 | $2,226 | $1.43 | 22d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3360 Waggoner Ln Rex, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1948 | $2,135 | $1.10 | 11d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 6320 Headwaters Way Rex, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2072 | $1,545 | $0.75 | 4d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 40 Wagon Wheel Dr Rex, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $1,350 | $0.96 | 5d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 5248 Katherine Village Dr Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1364 | $1,995 | $1.46 | 20d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 85 Derby Country Dr Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1273 | $1,895 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 6379 Skyline Dr Rex, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1722 | $2,000 | $1.16 | 5d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 6300 Ellenwood Dr Rex, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1388 | $1,699 | $1.22 | 10d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 6683 Homestead Rd Rex, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1536 | $2,000 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $243,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $243,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $243,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $243,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $243,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $243,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $243,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $243,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $243,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 404-char remark
-
2026-06-03$243,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,552 · $296/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,552 · $296/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,028
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,612
- − Property taxes
- −$3,552
- − Insurance
- −$1,215
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,002
- − Management
- −$2,002
- − Depreciation
- −$7,069
- Taxable loss
- −$4,425
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,062
- After-tax cash flow
- $775/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clayton County
- NCES district ID
- 1301230
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,266
- Composite
- 13.41/100
- National rank
- #9527
- State rank
- #155 of 174 in GA
Livability — Stockbridge
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #389
- US rank
- #19479
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Clayton County · 230,153 people
- City population
- 71,603
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,844
- Household income
- $73,502
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 270.0
Population outlook (Clayton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 310,777 people
- By 2030
- 329,762 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 368,052 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 401,196 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 472,488 · +52.0%
- By 2100
- 500,446 · +61.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% White 16% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 6% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Ukrainian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 7% Vietnamese 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Clayton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+69.2) · D 84.3% · R 15.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.8pp toward D · 2008: 66.4pp · 2024: 69.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+69.2 2020: D+70.9 2016: D+71.9 2012: D+70.1 2008: D+66.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.65%
- Current HPI
- 188.3712
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.19%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+149.2% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $243,000 GAMLS
- 2026-06-02 Listed $243,000 FMLS
- 2026-05-07 Sold (MLS) $203,200 GAMLS
- 2026-05-05 Sold (Public Records) $203,200 Public Records
- 2026-05-01 Sold (MLS) $203,200 FMLS
- 2026-04-09 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-04-09 Pending — FMLS
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $235,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $235,000 FMLS
- 2026-03-05 Listed $250,000 FMLS
- 2026-03-05 Listed $250,000 GAMLS
- 2023-12-26 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2023-11-28 Price Changed $245,000 GAMLS
- 2023-10-31 Listed $258,000 GAMLS
- 2015-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $89,900 Public Records
- 2015-01-30 Sold (MLS) $89,900 GAMLS
- 2014-12-30 Pending — GAMLS
- 2014-12-12 Listed $89,900 GAMLS
- 1997-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $97,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,552 · -6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…