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414 E Northrup Dr
B- Composite 68.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

414 E Northrup Dr · Midwest City, OK 73110
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,363 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1948 7,427 sqft lot ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Lots of sf, does not include converted garage. Large kitchen with wood cabinets, hardwood floors in main area of house, huge living room, nice deck off living room. Newer HVAC, new roof - needs a little tlc, but has great potential. Seller in process of cleaning out - excuse mess.

Key facts

  • 7,427 sq ft lot
  • Built 1948
  • Listed 18 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Country Estates addition; Lot size approximately 0.17 acres; Living area reported as 1,363 (assessor); Owner is an associate of the sale; Directions: southwest of 15th and Midwest Blvd
  • Financial info: Sold As-Is; eligible for cash or conventional financing; Assumable loans: No
  • HOA & community: No mandatory association dues

Exterior

  • Home design: Single-family residence; Single-story home; One-level entry
  • Construction: Brick and frame construction; Shingle roof; Conventional foundation; Built status: existing
  • Exterior features: Interior lot; No exterior feature upgrades listed; Existing property

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Single living area; No fireplace; No dedicated study; Not configured as an in-law plan

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $539 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 5.6% in Midwest City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#30 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime D+, employment D, amenities F.
  • Midwest City-Del City (suburban): math 10% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #231 of 270 in OK (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Midwest City Es (math 13% / reading 13%, grade F, #647 of 845 statewide, top 77%, 793 students, 0% FRL); Midwest City Hs (math 7% / reading 17%, grade F, #359 of 447 statewide, top 80%, 1,368 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 57% district-wide (57 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $68,950 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.82%
Cap rate
15.53%
Cash-on-cash
33.00%
DSCR
2.47
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$185,368
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
518 N Marshall Dr 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,394 (+2%) 5mo $220,000 $158 73
202 E Northrup Dr 0.22mi 3/1.0 1,220 (-10%) 7mo $169,000 $139 66
536 E Atkinson Dr 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,517 (+11%) 1mo $195,000 $129 66
102 E Lilac Ln 0.33mi 3/1.5 1,241 (-9%) 7mo $145,000 $117 62
104 E Northrup St 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,477 (+8%) 5mo $193,000 $131 61
913 E Lockheed Dr 0.35mi 3/1.0 1,246 (-9%) 10mo $178,000 $143 61
106 W Lilac Ct 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,443 (+6%) 10mo $160,000 $111 61
7302 SE 15th St 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,239 (-9%) 11mo $170,500 $138 61
114 E Northrup Dr 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,216 (-11%) 11mo $165,000 $136 55
311 W Lilac Ln 0.65mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,332 (-2%) 5mo $170,000 $128 53
208 E Lockheed Dr 0.58mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,304 (-4%) 10mo $100,000 $77 52
222 E Douglas Dr 0.60mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,228 (-10%) 11mo $182,000 $148 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.99% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.2%
Equity multiple
2.17×
Total profit
$22,985
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
35.6%
Equity multiple
4.28×
Total profit
$64,206
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73110

Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
171
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,274 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$71 /mo · $854/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$268
Net cashflow
$539

Break-even live

Break-even rent $592
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $579 -5% $559 +0% $539 +5% $519 +10% $499
Rent -10% $438 -5% $489 +0% $539 +5% $589 +10% $640
Rate -1.0pp $574 -0.5pp $557 base $539 +0.5pp $521 +1.0pp $502

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 36 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
442 Babb Dr Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 2.0 920 $925 $1.01 5d 1 0.20mi
444 1/2 Babb Dr Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 1.0 920 $895 $0.97 5d 1 0.21mi
124 E Northrup Dr Oklahoma City, OK 4.0 1.0 1085 $1,400 $1.29 24d 1 0.23mi
120 E Northrup Dr Oklahoma City, OK 4.0 2.0 1364 $1,475 $1.08 24d 1 0.25mi
316 E Harmon Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1212 $1,395 $1.15 3d 1 0.36mi
110 E Myrtle Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.5 1236 $1,300 $1.05 12d 1 0.41mi
616 Lions Park Pl Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 1.0 906 $950 $1.05 3d 1 0.42mi
306 E Grumman Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1219 $1,300 $1.07 24d 1 0.43mi
1436 Maple Dr Oklahoma City, OK 4.0 2.0 1409 $1,350 $0.96 16d 1 0.49mi
204 Elm St Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 2.0 1098 $1,250 $1.14 24d 1 0.52mi
210 W Jacobs Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 24d 1 0.61mi
317 W Peach St Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 1.0 878 $1,045 $1.19 3d 1 0.64mi
407 E Key Blvd Oklahoma City, OK 4.0 2.0 1200 $1,395 $1.16 24d 1 0.64mi
201 W Fairchild Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 984 $975 $0.99 3d 1 0.67mi
764 E Rose Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 920 $1,025 $1.11 3d 1 0.67mi
322 E Kerr Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1086 $1,200 $1.10 24d 1 0.70mi
205 N Key Blvd Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 1.0 1047 $995 $0.95 22d 1 0.70mi
2220 S Air Depot Blvd Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,395 $1.37 24d 1 0.73mi
1111 Jet Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1067 $1,095 $1.03 22d 1 0.74mi
1111 Jet Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1067 $1,095 $1.03 5d 1 0.74mi
208 W Ercoupe Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1125 $1,500 $1.33 24d 1 0.75mi
209 W Douglas Dr Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 1.0 952 $895 $0.94 18d 1 0.77mi
2105 Maple Dr Midwest City, OK 3.0 2.0 1032 $1,295 $1.25 24d 1 0.79mi
221 E Kerr Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.5 1339 $1,145 $0.86 5d 1 0.81mi
218 W Douglas Dr Oklahoma City, OK 4.0 2.0 1578 $1,500 $0.95 3d 1 0.82mi
407 W Fairchild Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,045 $0.98 3d 1 0.86mi
864 E Steed Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 3d 1 0.91mi
6608 SE 15th St Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 2.0 1103 $1,425 $1.29 22d 1 0.96mi
641 E Frolich Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.5 1032 $975 $0.94 24d 1 0.99mi
423 W Douglas Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,095 $1.08 22d 1 1.02mi
1933 Rulane Dr Oklahoma City, OK 4.0 1.0 1500 $1,250 $0.83 24d 1 1.12mi
121 Gill Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 2d 1 1.13mi
721 E Bouse Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1002 $1,225 $1.22 3d 1 1.13mi
677 Midtown Pl Midwest City, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 770 $1,450 $1.88 2d 1 1.20mi
2904 Treight Creek Ln Midwest City, OK 2.0 2.0 984 $1,495 $1.52 2d 2 1.47mi
327 N Midwest Blvd Unit 205 Midwest City, OK 2.0 1.0 920 $900 $0.98 24d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $70,000 Active 18 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $70,000 Active 17 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $70,000 Active 16 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    status $70,000 Active 15 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $70,000 Pending 15 DOM
  6. 2026-06-05
    days on market $70,000 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $70,000 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $70,000 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $70,000 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,000 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-05-18
    listed $70,000 Active
  12. 2007-06-07
    soldstatus $71,500
  13. 2007-06-01
    soldstatus $72,000 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    Lots of sf, does not include converted garage. Large kitchen with wood cabinets, hardwood floors in main area of house, huge living room, nice deck off living room. Newer HVAC, new roof - needs a little tlc, but has great potential. Seller in process of cleaning out - excuse mess.

  14. 2007-04-09
    listed $72,000 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    Lots of sf, does not include converted garage. Large kitchen with wood cabinets, hardwood floors in main area of house, huge living room, nice deck off living room. Newer HVAC, new roof - needs a little tlc, but has great potential. Seller in process of cleaning out - excuse mess.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$854 · $71/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$854 · $71/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,288
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$854
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,223
− Management
−$1,223
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$5,680
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,363
After-tax cash flow
$5,105/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Midwest City-Del City
NCES district ID
4019950
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$45,724
Composite
12.09/100
National rank
#9658
State rank
#231 of 270 in OK

Livability — Midwest City

Score
71/100
State rank
#30
US rank
#6637

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Midwest City, OK
County
Oklahoma County · 771,644 people
City population
57,386
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
Population (ZIP)
32,348
Household income
$51,228
Rent vs Own
54.9% rent · 45.1% own
Severe rent burden
1440.0

Population outlook (Oklahoma County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
911,875 people
By 2030
982,413 · +7.7%
By 2040
1,130,468 · +24.0%
By 2050
1,288,422 · +41.3%
By 2075
1,711,482 · +87.7%
By 2100
2,088,448 · +129.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Black 25% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Native American 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Oklahoma

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.7% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+15.1pp toward D · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -1.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.7 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+10.5 2012: R+16.7 2008: R+16.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -156.25%
Current HPI
257.0791
Rent YoY
▲ 2.99%
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $70,000 MLSOK
  • 2007-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $71,500 Public Records
  • 2007-06-01 Sold (MLS) $72,000 MLSOK
  • 2007-04-09 Listed $72,000 MLSOK

Property tax history

+0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $854 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…