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4406 Yorktown Pl
C Composite 59.18
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.5/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.7/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$174,900

4406 Yorktown Pl · McKee City, NJ 08330
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,016 sqft · Townhouse · 22 Days on market
Built 1985 $172/sqft · at area comps Est $168k · at est. $200/mo HOA · 10% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Freshly renewed and move - in ready! This bright and inviting 1-bedroom condo has been made new again following a recent tenant occupancy. Enjoy the fresh smell of new carpeting, fresh paint, a private tree-lined balcony and a spacious loft that can serve as a second bedroom, home office or flex space. Low tax, Vacant and easy to show, this one is ready for a quick closing. Conveniently located near the Atlantic City Expressway, Garden State Parkway, shopping, dining, casinos, schools and more.

Key facts

  • Spacious loft
  • Conveniently located
  • $200 HOA

Tags

PRIVATE TREE-LINED BALCONYSPACIOUS LOFTCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: HOA fee $200 monthly

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; Parking lot
  • Utilities: Public water; Public septic; Natural gas service
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership; Above-grade finished area per assessor
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Permanent foundation; Other structures above and below grade; Pets allowed on a case-by-case basis
  • Exterior features: Community pool; Not in a federal flood zone; Lot dimensions per assessor

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on main level; 1 full bathroom total
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (natural gas); Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: No basement; Living area per assessor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $230 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.9% in McKee City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Hamilton Township School District (suburban): math 9% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #401 of 472 in NJ (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: George L. Hess Educational Complex (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #990 of 1,303 statewide, top 76%, 1,363 students, 53% FRL); William Davies Middle School (math 10% / reading 41%, grade F, #359 of 431 statewide, top 84%, 930 students, 51% FRL); Oakcrest High School (math 9% / reading 36%, grade F, #342 of 399 statewide, top 86%, 914 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 37% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 244 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $172,276 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
7.87%
Cash-on-cash
5.63%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$168,214
List price
$174,900
Delta
4.03%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4416 Yorktown Pl #4416 0.01mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,010 (-1%) 9mo $177,000 $175 86
4556 Concord Pl #4556 0.16mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,010 (-1%) 9mo $184,000 $182 79
2614 Dogwood Ct #2614 0.58mi 2/1.0 (+1) 956 (-6%) 2mo $142,000 $149 57
2139 Rhododendron Ct #33 0.43mi 2/1.0 (+1) 956 (-6%) 14mo $168,000 $176 53
2440 Bayberry Ct 0.62mi 2/1.5 (+1) 1,000 (-2%) 15mo $170,000 $170 49
2440 Bayberry Ct #2440 0.62mi 2/1.5 (+1) 1,000 (-2%) 15mo $170,000 $170 49
3107 Woodlands Ave #5 0.75mi 2/1.0 (+1) 996 (-2%) 14mo $162,750 $163 45
2409 Arbor Ct #2409 0.51mi 2/1.5 (+1) 1,148 (+13%) 8mo $190,000 $166 41
3016 Ivy Bush Ct #3016 0.67mi 1/1.0 929 (-9%) 16mo $125,000 $135 41
2707 Mimosa Ct #2707 0.56mi 2/1.0 (+1) 892 (-12%) 13mo $130,000 $146 37
3108 Woodlands Dr #3108 0.75mi 2/1.0 (+1) 908 (-11%) 8mo $180,000 $198 36
2851 Forsythia Ct #66 0.64mi 2/1.0 (+1) 896 (-12%) 13mo $165,000 $184 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.4%
Equity multiple
3.25×
Total profit
$110,034
Equity at exit
$157,564
10-year hold
IRR
24.7%
Equity multiple
7.39×
Total profit
$312,838
Equity at exit
$339,792

Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08330

Home prices YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
244
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,074 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$917
Tax est. 1.5%
$219 /mo · $2,624/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$200
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$436
Net cashflow
$230

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,783
Max offer price $174,900
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $350 -5% $290 +0% $230 +5% $169 +10% $109
Rent -10% $66 -5% $148 +0% $230 +5% $312 +10% $393
Rate -1.0pp $318 -0.5pp $274 base $230 +0.5pp $184 +1.0pp $138

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,725
Closing costs
$5,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2703 Mimosa Ct Mays Landing, NJ 2.0 1.5 1268 $2,200 $1.74 14d 1 0.57mi
2529 Cottonwood Ct Mays Landing, NJ 2.0 1.5 1376 $2,200 $1.60 14d 1 0.58mi
2529 Cottonwood Ct Mays Landing, NJ 2.0 1.5 1376 $2,200 $1.60 45d 1 0.58mi
2807 Hawthorn Ct Mays Landing, NJ 1.0 1.0 929 $1,800 $1.94 14d 1 0.64mi
3401 Montgomery Dr Mays Landing, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1192 $2,240 $1.88 14d 18 0.77mi
2605 Flagstaff Ct #2605 Mays Landing, NJ 2.0 2.0 1250 $2,500 $2.00 22d 1 0.88mi
1932 Cologne Ave Mays Landing, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 775 $1,695 $2.19 14d 1 1.03mi
2000 Timber Glen Dr Mays Landing, NJ 2.0–3.0 2.5 1577 $2,441 $1.55 14d 2 1.04mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$200 · $2,400/yr

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $174,900 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $174,900 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $174,900 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $174,900 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $174,900 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $174,900 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $174,900 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $174,900 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $174,900 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $174,900 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $174,900 Active 9 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $174,900 Active 8 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $174,900 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $174,900 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $174,900 Active 2 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    remarks 502-char remark
  17. 2026-05-30
    pricedays on marketlisting id $174,900 Active 1 DOM
  18. 2026-03-19
    status Active 297-char remark
  19. 2026-03-07
    status Pending 297-char remark
  20. 2025-12-22
    listed $175,000 Active 297-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,886
− Mortgage interest
−$9,797
− Property taxes
−$2,624
− Insurance
−$874
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,991
− Management
−$1,991
− HOA
−$2,400
− Depreciation
−$5,088
Taxable income
$121
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$29
After-tax cash flow
$2,726/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hamilton Township School District
NCES district ID
3406510
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$60,997
Composite
21.34/100
National rank
#8372
State rank
#401 of 472 in NJ

Livability — McKee City

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
McKee City, NJ
County
Atlantic County · 143,611 people
Metro
Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
Population (ZIP)
29,972
Household income
$77,167
Rent vs Own
27.1% rent · 72.9% own
Severe rent burden
1003.0

Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
268,948 people
By 2030
264,497 · -1.7%
By 2040
252,261 · -6.2%
By 2050
237,846 · -11.6%
By 2075
210,650 · -21.7%
By 2100
180,234 · -33.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Hispanic / Latino 16% Black 14% Two or more races 13% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam, Guatemala
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 10% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 11.58%
Current HPI
308.5148
Rent YoY
Metro
Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Listed $174,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-19 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-07 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-22 Listed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…