4406 Yorktown Pl · McKee City, NJ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.5/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- ARV discount +5.7/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$174,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Freshly renewed and move - in ready! This bright and inviting 1-bedroom condo has been made new again following a recent tenant occupancy. Enjoy the fresh smell of new carpeting, fresh paint, a private tree-lined balcony and a spacious loft that can serve as a second bedroom, home office or flex space. Low tax, Vacant and easy to show, this one is ready for a quick closing. Conveniently located near the Atlantic City Expressway, Garden State Parkway, shopping, dining, casinos, schools and more.
Key facts
- Spacious loft
- Conveniently located
- $200 HOA
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: HOA fee $200 monthly
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Parking lot
- Utilities: Public water; Public septic; Natural gas service
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership; Above-grade finished area per assessor
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Permanent foundation; Other structures above and below grade; Pets allowed on a case-by-case basis
- Exterior features: Community pool; Not in a federal flood zone; Lot dimensions per assessor
Interior
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on main level; 1 full bathroom total
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (natural gas); Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: No basement; Living area per assessor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $230 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $172k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.9% in McKee City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Hamilton Township School District (suburban): math 9% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #401 of 472 in NJ (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: George L. Hess Educational Complex (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #990 of 1,303 statewide, top 76%, 1,363 students, 53% FRL); William Davies Middle School (math 10% / reading 41%, grade F, #359 of 431 statewide, top 84%, 930 students, 51% FRL); Oakcrest High School (math 9% / reading 36%, grade F, #342 of 399 statewide, top 86%, 914 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 37% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 244 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.63%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $168,214
- List price
- $174,900
- Delta
- 4.03%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4416 Yorktown Pl #4416 | 0.01mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,010 (-1%) | 9mo | $177,000 | $175 | 86 |
| 4556 Concord Pl #4556 | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,010 (-1%) | 9mo | $184,000 | $182 | 79 |
| 2614 Dogwood Ct #2614 | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 956 (-6%) | 2mo | $142,000 | $149 | 57 |
| 2139 Rhododendron Ct #33 | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 956 (-6%) | 14mo | $168,000 | $176 | 53 |
| 2440 Bayberry Ct | 0.62mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 1,000 (-2%) | 15mo | $170,000 | $170 | 49 |
| 2440 Bayberry Ct #2440 | 0.62mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 1,000 (-2%) | 15mo | $170,000 | $170 | 49 |
| 3107 Woodlands Ave #5 | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 996 (-2%) | 14mo | $162,750 | $163 | 45 |
| 2409 Arbor Ct #2409 | 0.51mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 1,148 (+13%) | 8mo | $190,000 | $166 | 41 |
| 3016 Ivy Bush Ct #3016 | 0.67mi | 1/1.0 | 929 (-9%) | 16mo | $125,000 | $135 | 41 |
| 2707 Mimosa Ct #2707 | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 892 (-12%) | 13mo | $130,000 | $146 | 37 |
| 3108 Woodlands Dr #3108 | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 908 (-11%) | 8mo | $180,000 | $198 | 36 |
| 2851 Forsythia Ct #66 | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 896 (-12%) | 13mo | $165,000 | $184 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.25×
- Total profit
- $110,034
- Equity at exit
- $157,564
- IRR
- 24.7%
- Equity multiple
- 7.39×
- Total profit
- $312,838
- Equity at exit
- $339,792
Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08330
- Home prices YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 244
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,074 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$917
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$219 /mo · $2,624/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$200
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$436
- Net cashflow
- $230
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $350 | -5% $290 | +0% $230 | +5% $169 | +10% $109 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $66 | -5% $148 | +0% $230 | +5% $312 | +10% $393 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $318 | -0.5pp $274 | base $230 | +0.5pp $184 | +1.0pp $138 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,725
- Closing costs
- $5,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2703 Mimosa Ct Mays Landing, NJ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1268 | $2,200 | $1.74 | 14d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2529 Cottonwood Ct Mays Landing, NJ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1376 | $2,200 | $1.60 | 14d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2529 Cottonwood Ct Mays Landing, NJ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1376 | $2,200 | $1.60 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2807 Hawthorn Ct Mays Landing, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 929 | $1,800 | $1.94 | 14d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3401 Montgomery Dr Mays Landing, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1192 | $2,240 | $1.88 | 14d | 18 | 0.77mi |
| 2605 Flagstaff Ct #2605 Mays Landing, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,500 | $2.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1932 Cologne Ave Mays Landing, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $1,695 | $2.19 | 14d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2000 Timber Glen Dr Mays Landing, NJ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1577 | $2,441 | $1.55 | 14d | 2 | 1.04mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $200 · $2,400/yr
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $174,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $174,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $174,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $174,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $174,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $174,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $174,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $174,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $174,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $174,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $174,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $174,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $174,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $174,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $174,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-30remarks 502-char remark
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2026-05-30pricedays on market $174,900 Active 1 DOM
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2026-03-19status Active 297-char remark
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2026-03-07status Pending 297-char remark
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2025-12-22$175,000 Active 297-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,886
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,797
- − Property taxes
- −$2,624
- − Insurance
- −$874
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,991
- − Management
- −$1,991
- − HOA
- −$2,400
- − Depreciation
- −$5,088
- Taxable income
- $121
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$29
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,726/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hamilton Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3406510
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,997
- Composite
- 21.34/100
- National rank
- #8372
- State rank
- #401 of 472 in NJ
Livability — McKee City
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McKee City, NJ
- County
- Atlantic County · 143,611 people
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,972
- Household income
- $77,167
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1003.0
Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 268,948 people
- By 2030
- 264,497 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 252,261 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 237,846 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 210,650 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 180,234 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 16% Black 14% Two or more races 13% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 10% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 11.58%
- Current HPI
- 308.5148
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
-0.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $174,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-19 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-07 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-22 Listed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…