11574 Violet Jasper Dr · Ruskin, FL 34219

$299,890

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,141 sqft · SingleFamily · 1 Days on market

Built 2026 Good condition $140/sqft · 35% below area Est $465k · 35% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.9/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +4.9/10.0
• 1% rule +4.4/10.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +2.3/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

This spacious single-story home features both a storage space and multipurpose flex space for comfortable living. The stylish kitchen, family room and dining room cohesively flow into a serene patio for indoor-outdoor entertaining. The expansive owner's suite with a spa-like private bathroom overlooks two additional bedrooms ideal for overnight guests.

Key facts

• Serene patio
• Storage space
• 2 garage spots

Tags

• STORAGE SPACE
• MULTIPURPOSE FLEX SPACE
• SERENE PATIO
• SPA-LIKE PRIVATE BATHROOM

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $300k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $144 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $281k (6.5% below list).
• Recommended offer: $281k (6.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.2% in Ruskin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#392 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute B+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
• Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Virgil Mills Elementary School (math 69% / reading 65%, grade B+, #450 of 2,144 statewide, top 22%, 818 students, 43% FRL); Buffalo Creek Middle School (math 59% / reading 51%, grade B-, #180 of 571 statewide, top 32%, 1,127 students, 44% FRL); Palmetto High School (math 22% / reading 36%, grade F, #456 of 667 statewide, top 68%, 2,100 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 3218 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 55d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $280,513 (6.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.94% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.87%
• Cash-on-cash: 2.05%
• DSCR: 1.09
• GRM: 8.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $464,916
• List price: $299,890
• Delta: -35.50%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
12330 Precious Ruby Way	0.19mi	3/2.5	2,145 (+0%)	11mo	$382,415	$178	82
11517 Violet Jasper	0.00mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,959 (-8%)	1mo	$302,090	$154	78
11562 Violet Jasper Dr	0.00mi	3/3.0	2,366 (+10%)	6mo	$368,000	$156	76
11948 Violet Jasper Dr	0.36mi	2/2.5 (-1)	2,216 (+4%)	4mo	$379,500	$171	69
11829 Lilac Pearl Ln	0.18mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,956 (-9%)	2mo	$369,500	$189	69
12035 Violet Jasper Dr	0.20mi	3/2.5	2,350 (+10%)	7mo	$405,900	$173	69
11973 Violet Jasper Dr	0.29mi	3/2.5	2,350 (+10%)	4mo	$413,890	$176	66
11933 Violet Jasper Dr	0.36mi	3/2.5	2,350 (+10%)	2mo	$409,490	$174	66
12010 Violet Jasper Dr	0.28mi	3/2.5	2,350 (+10%)	6mo	$510,390	$217	65
11715 Lilac Pearl Ln	0.12mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,959 (-8%)	13mo	$365,000	$186	62
11837 Sparkling Topaz Cv	0.16mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,959 (-8%)	14mo	$324,665	$166	59
11804 Sparkling Topaz Cv	0.24mi	3/3.0	2,366 (+10%)	14mo	$360,000	$152	58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -16.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.43×
• Total profit: $-47,629
• Equity at exit: $44,715

10-year hold

• IRR: -14.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.27×
• Total profit: $-61,297
• Equity at exit: $25,929

Cash invested: $83,969 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

• For sale now: 63 active · 15 under contract
• Months of supply: 16.4 mo (6%/mo absorbed)
• Median asking: $393,550 ($177/sqft)
• Median days on market: 44 d
• This list price: 8% of active listings are priced below it
• ARV vs active asking: +22.8% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 34219

• Home prices YoY: -23.7%
• Rents YoY: -0.9%
• Active inventory: 3218
• Price-to-rent: 8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,805 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,573
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$375 /mo · $4,498/yr
• Insurance: −$125
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$589
• Net cashflow: $144

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,623

Max offer price $299,890

Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $351	-5% $247	+0% $144	+5% $40	+10% $-64
Rent	-10% $-78	-5% $33	+0% $144	+5% $254	+10% $365
Rate	-1.0pp $295	-0.5pp $220	base $144	+0.5pp $66	+1.0pp $-13

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $74,972
• Closing costs: $8,997
• Club membership (one-time): —
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 31 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
11829 Lilac Pearl Ln Parrish, FL	2.0	2.0	1956	$2,650	$1.35	5d	1	0.19mi
11937 Kingsley Trl Parrish, FL	4.0	2.5	2045	$2,700	$1.32	119d	1	0.84mi
11007 Tamarack Pl Parrish, FL	4.0	3.0	2537	$3,000	$1.18	110d	1	0.90mi
11007 Tamarack Pl Unit NA Duette, FL	4.0	3.0	2537	$3,000	$1.18	152d	1	0.90mi
12067 Kingsley Trl Parrish, FL	4.0	2.5	2045	$2,495	$1.22	144d	1	1.04mi
12140 Kingsley Trl Parrish, FL	4.0	2.0	1828	$2,266	$1.24	55d	1	1.08mi
12415 Nantahala Run Parrish, FL	4.0	2.5	2045	$2,700	$1.32	10d	1	1.11mi
12151 Kingsley Trl Parrish, FL	4.0	2.0	1827	$2,400	$1.31	7d	1	1.11mi
13008 Merlot Sunstone Cv Parrish, FL	4.0	3.0	2584	$3,200	$1.24	35d	1	1.17mi
12456 Nantahala Run Parrish, FL	4.0	2.5	2045	$2,699	$1.32	138d	1	1.20mi
12215 Radiant Gem Trl Parrish, FL	4.0	2.5	2584	$3,000	$1.16	157d	1	1.25mi
11824 Blue Diamond Trl Parrish, FL	4.0	3.0	2576	$2,995	$1.16	10d	1	1.25mi
10826 Sapphire Breeze Cv Palmetto, FL	4.0	2.0	1850	$2,500	$1.35	144d	1	1.27mi
10225 Kalamazoo Pl Unit NA Parrish, FL	4.0	2.5	2260	$2,689	$1.19	151d	1	1.29mi
10225 Kalamazoo Pl Parrish, FL	4.0	2.5	2260	$2,789	$1.23	144d	1	1.29mi
11925 Mountain Island Trl Parrish, FL	4.0	2.0	1828	$2,500	$1.37	10d	1	1.29mi
13033 Empress Jewel Trl Parrish, FL	4.0	2.5	1870	$2,690	$1.44	0d	1	1.30mi
13033 Empress Jewel Trl Parrish, FL	4.0	2.5	1870	$2,750	$1.47	11d	1	1.30mi
12471 Sweet Angel Aura Way Parrish, FL	4.0	2.5	2000	$2,450	$1.23	10d	1	1.33mi
10650 Hidden Banks Gln Parrish, FL	3.0	2.0	1504	$2,200	$1.46	50d	1	1.35mi
12432 Dora Trl Parrish, FL	4.0	2.5	2044	$2,850	$1.39	10d	1	1.36mi
10646 Hidden Banks Gln Parrish, FL	3.0	2.0	1504	$2,350	$1.56	157d	1	1.37mi
10642 Chippewa Dr Parrish, FL	4.0	3.0	2435	$2,550	$1.05	55d	1	1.37mi
11734 Great Brook Ln Parrish, FL	3.0	2.0	1512	$2,500	$1.65	2d	1	1.39mi
10215 Charlotte Dr Parrish, FL	4.0	2.0	2000	$2,550	$1.27	2d	1	1.40mi
10008 Caddo Dr Parrish, FL	3.0	2.0	1504	$2,295	$1.53	0d	1	1.41mi
9928 Wimico Ter Parrish, FL	3.0	2.0	1504	$2,400	$1.60	138d	1	1.44mi
10116 Charlotte Dr Parrish, FL	4.0	2.5	2308	$3,050	$1.32	127d	1	1.45mi
9911 Wimico Ter Parrish, FL	3.0	2.0	1504	$2,400	$1.60	55d	1	1.45mi
10048 Big Marsh Ter Parrish, FL	3.0	2.0	2034	$2,825	$1.39	2d	1	1.46mi
12805 Crystal Jade Way Parrish, FL	4.0	2.5	2162	$2,600	$1.20	123d	1	1.50mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-06-02
   remarks 354-char remark
2. 2026-06-02
   listed $299,890 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $33,662
• − Mortgage interest: −$16,799
• − Property taxes: −$4,498
• − Insurance: −$1,499
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,693
• − Management: −$2,693
• − Depreciation: −$8,724
• Taxable loss: −$3,245
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$779
• After-tax cash flow: $2,502/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $10,705–$32,115 screening

This spacious single-story home is in good condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It is ready for immediate occupancy and can be enhanced with minor cosmetic updates to boost its value.

Value-add opportunities

• Resale Paint the exterior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value ↑
• Rental Replace the blinds — New blinds can improve the home's rental appeal and reduce maintenance costs ↑

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

D Composite school gradezoned avg 50/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Virgil Mills Elementary School B+ FL #450/2,144 Nat'l #4,366/41,679 Middle Buffalo Creek Middle School B- FL #180/571 Nat'l #2,482/14,009 High Palmetto High School F FL #456/667 Nat'l #11,621/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Manatee
• NCES district ID: 1201230
• Math proficiency: 54% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $49,607
• Composite: 44.43/100
• National rank: #2806
• State rank: #26 of 73 in FL

B Composite livability gradescore 71/100

Livability — Ruskin

• Score: 71/100
• State rank: #392
• US rank: #6879

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Manatee County · 447,342 people
• City population: 33,319
• Metro: North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
• Population (ZIP): 33,296
• Household income: $113,773
• Rent vs Own: 8.1% rent · 91.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 16% of renters

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Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 447,342 people
• By 2030: 488,911 · +9.3%
• By 2040: 567,934 · +27.0%
• By 2050: 637,995 · +42.6%
• By 2075: 781,970 · +74.8%
• By 2100: 848,272 · +89.6%

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Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (75%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 75% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
• Languages at home: 88% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

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Political lean MEDSL · Manatee

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -84.45%
• Current HPI: 271.7131
• Rent YoY: ▼ -0.95%
• Metro: North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

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Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B