616 Sea Pine Way Unit A1 · Greenacres, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.2/30.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GROUND FLOOR, EAST EXPOSURE, END UNIT, NEWER WASHER/DRYER & WATER HEATER MICROWAVE INCLUDED. NEWER BATH SINKS & FAUCET
Key facts
- Ground-floor access
- Prime location
- $412 HOA
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly dues; Monthly HOA fee of $412; HOA covers water, sewer, trash and common areas; Community amenities include pool (heated), tennis courts, pickleball courts, basketball court, game room, park and picnic area
Exterior
- Parking: Asphalt parking; 1 parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water available
- Home design: Condominium; One-story; Resale condition; Faces west
- Construction: Built with block/CBS construction; Shingle roof; Concrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features: Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric cooktop; Freezer
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Walk-in closets
- Laundry & utility: Laundry area in the kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $159k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $231 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#490 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Cholee Lake Elementary School (math 35% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,709 of 2,144 statewide, top 81%, 936 students, 72% FRL); Okeeheelee Middle School (math 34% / reading 40%, grade F, #399 of 571 statewide, top 71%, 1,377 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 52% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 314 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $159k implies a 218% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 20% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.22%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-16,816
- Equity at exit
- $23,707
- IRR
- -7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-17,865
- Equity at exit
- $13,747
Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33415
- Rents YoY
- -1.6%
- Active inventory
- 314
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,025 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$834
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $683/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$412
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$425
- Net cashflow
- $231
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $321 | -5% $276 | +0% $231 | +5% $186 | +10% $141 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $71 | -5% $151 | +0% $231 | +5% $311 | +10% $391 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $311 | -0.5pp $271 | base $231 | +0.5pp $189 | +1.0pp $147 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,750
- Closing costs
- $4,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 616 Sea Pine Way Unit C3 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $2,100 | $2.09 | 25d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 527 Shady Pine Way Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $1,975 | $1.77 | 0d | 2 | 0.08mi |
| 633 Sea Pine Way Unit C Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $2,450 | $1.79 | 25d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 511 Shady Pine Way Unit D2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $2,200 | $1.97 | 25d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 511 Shady Pine Way Unit D2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $2,200 | $1.97 | 4d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 507 Shady Pine Way Unit D1 Greenacres, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $1,400 | $1.78 | 15d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 508 Shady Pine Way Unit D1 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $1,850 | $1.66 | 22d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 502 Shady Pine Way Unit D2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 991 | $1,900 | $1.92 | 0d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 628 Sea Pine Way Unit A2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $2,100 | $2.09 | 17d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 703 Sunny Pine Way Unit G2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $2,000 | $1.87 | 16d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 504 Shady Pine Way Unit 2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 25d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 207 Foxtail Dr Unit E3 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $1,900 | $1.89 | 5d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 629 Sea Pine Way Unit D3 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $2,100 | $2.09 | 22d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 208 Foxtail Dr Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $2,000 | $1.99 | 25d | 2 | 0.30mi |
| 208 Foxtail Dr Unit C2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $2,000 | $1.99 | 16d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2641 Gately Dr W West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1238 | $1,800 | $1.45 | 0d | 2 | 0.30mi |
| 802 Sky Pine Way Unit E2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $1,750 | $1.58 | 8d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 205 Foxtail Dr Unit G3 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $2,200 | $2.19 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2212 White Pine Cir Unit B Greenacres, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1410 | $2,600 | $1.84 | 22d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 703 Sunny Pine Way Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,900 | $1.78 | 25d | 2 | 0.31mi |
| 2228 White Pine Cir Unit B Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1252 | $2,275 | $1.82 | 14d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 726 Sunny Pine Way Unit B2 Greenacres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $2,200 | $1.75 | 4d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 202 Foxtail Dr Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $1,925 | $1.92 | 22d | 2 | 0.34mi |
| 202 Foxtail Dr Unit F1 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $2,000 | $1.99 | 8d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2221 White Pine Cir Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2221 White Pine Cir Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 19d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 811 Sky Pine Way Unit F2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,550 | $1.46 | 20d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 813 Sky Pine Way Unit F2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $1,725 | $1.55 | 3d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 813 Sky Pine Way Unit F2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $1,725 | $1.55 | 15d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 203 Foxtail Dr Unit B3 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $1,900 | $1.89 | 6d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 724 Sunny Pine Way Unit D2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $1,950 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 817 Sky Pine Way Unit H Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $2,300 | $1.68 | 17d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 812 Sky Pine Way Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $2,100 | $1.97 | 25d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 826 Sky Pine Way Greenacres, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 13d | 2 | 0.38mi |
| 712 Sunny Pine Way Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $2,150 | $2.01 | 25d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 5775 Fernley Dr W #131 West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $2,000 | $1.87 | 11d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2206 Laurel Way West Palm Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $1,975 | $2.32 | 25d | 3 | 0.45mi |
| 6010 Sherwood Glen Way West Palm Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 942 | $1,990 | $2.11 | 0d | 4 | 0.46mi |
| 718 Sunny Pine Way Unit H2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 21d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 718 Sunny Pine Way Unit H2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 6d | 1 | 0.47mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $412 · $4,944/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 636-char remark
-
2026-06-17$159,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $683 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,320 · $110/mo
- Expected delta
- +$637/yr (+$53/mo · 93.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,297
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,906
- − Property taxes
- −$683
- − Insurance
- −$795
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,944
- − Management
- −$1,944
- − HOA
- −$4,944
- − Depreciation
- −$4,625
- Taxable income
- $456
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$109
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,658/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Greenacres
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #490
- US rank
- #9008
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greenacres, FL
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 65,478
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,581
- Household income
- $61,274
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2254.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 53% Two or more races 26% White 21% Black 21% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 14% Dominican 2% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 9% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 44% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 40% English-only · Spanish 49% French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -400.29%
- Current HPI
- 413.9695
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.64%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+225.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $159,000 Beaches MLS
- 1999-08-21 Sold (MLS) $50,000 Beaches MLS
- 1999-08-10 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 1999-08-10 Listed $52,900 Beaches MLS
- 1992-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $48,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $683 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…