207 College Dr · Lynchburg, VA 24501

$134,900

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 882 sqft · SingleFamily · 6 Days on market

Built 1946 Good condition 6,251 sqft lot Est $177k · 24% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Cash flow +13.1/30.0
• Livability +4.5/5.0
• Schools +4.0/10.0
• DSCR +3.9/10.0
• Condition / age +3.8/5.0
• 1% rule +3.7/10.0
• Rent growth +2.8/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to 207 College Drive! A nicely updated home in a great location! This home features two bedroom and one bath, with an extra room that could be used as a third bedroom. This would make a great starter home, or a rental opportunity. Call today to schedule your showing!

Key facts

• 6,251 sq ft lot
• Built 1946
• Listed 6 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Lot size about 0.1435 acres; Zoning: R2

Exterior

• Parking: Off-street parking
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single-family residence; 1 story; Residential property
• Construction: Vinyl siding
• Exterior features: Shingle roof

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
• Flooring: Vinyl flooring
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Has heating
• Interior features: Fireplace in the living room; Partial basement
• Laundry & utility: Main level laundry room; Electric water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-5 ($-62/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $134k (0.6% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (13.0% below list).
• Recommended offer: $117k (13.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.0% in Lynchburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 91/100 on livability (#1 in VA, #58 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+.
• Lynchburg City Public School District (urban): math 36% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #104 of 131 in VA (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Perrymont Elementary (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #966 of 1,108 statewide, top 89%, 337 students, 95% FRL); Paul Laurence Dunbar Middle For Innovation (math 37% / reading 66%, grade C, #222 of 342 statewide, top 65%, 531 students, 95% FRL); E.C. Glass High (math 42% / reading 84%, grade B-, #223 of 319 statewide, top 70%, 1,325 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 61% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 221 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 472 units permitted in Lynchburg city in 2024 (240 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lynchburg County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $117,349 (13.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.87% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.25%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.17%
• DSCR: 0.99
• GRM: 9.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $177,282
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
209 College Dr	0.01mi	3/1.0 (+1)	853 (-3%)	3mo	$154,900	$182	86
3400 College Dr	0.15mi	2/1.0	802 (-9%)	6mo	$169,900	$212	73
490 Oakley Ave	0.44mi	2/1.0	896 (+2%)	7mo	$155,000	$173	71
411 Newberne St	0.42mi	2/2.0	927 (+5%)	2mo	$200,000	$216	66
3428 Richmond St. St	0.33mi	2/1.0	986 (+12%)	1mo	$161,800	$164	64
3211 Richmond St	0.30mi	2/1.0	755 (-14%)	2mo	$179,900	$238	60
1012 N Grand Ave	0.74mi	2/1.0	884 (+0%)	8mo	$149,900	$170	59
1200 Brandon Rd	0.68mi	2/1.0	846 (-4%)	6mo	$169,900	$201	57
3508 Joel St	0.47mi	2/1.0	786 (-11%)	8mo	$190,000	$242	53
701 Mansfield Ave	0.72mi	3/2.0 (+1)	910 (+3%)	5mo	$182,000	$200	48
612 Sussex St St	0.63mi	3/1.0 (+1)	989 (+12%)	2mo	$189,900	$192	44
1715 Moormans Rd	0.66mi	2/1.5	986 (+12%)	7mo	$199,900	$203	42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.15% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -18.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.36×
• Total profit: $-24,318
• Equity at exit: $20,114

10-year hold

• IRR: -15.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.21×
• Total profit: $-30,011
• Equity at exit: $11,664

Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
• State Virginia: 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 24501

• Rents YoY: 1.1%
• Active inventory: 221
• Price-to-rent: 9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,173 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$707
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$169 /mo · $2,024/yr
• Insurance: −$56
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$246
• Net cashflow: $-5

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,180

Max offer price $134,147

Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $88	-5% $41	+0% $-5	+5% $-52	+10% $-98
Rent	-10% $-98	-5% $-52	+0% $-5	+5% $41	+10% $87
Rate	-1.0pp $63	-0.5pp $29	base $-5	+0.5pp $-40	+1.0pp $-76

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $33,725
• Closing costs: $4,047
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 27 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
202 Macon St Lynchburg, VA	2.0	1.0	645	$1,195	$1.85	45d	1	0.12mi
540 Monticello Ave Unit B Lynchburg, VA	2.0	1.0	900	$995	$1.11	23d	1	0.26mi
106 Yeardley Ave Unit B Lynchburg, VA	3.0	1.0	1060	$895	$0.84	23d	1	0.54mi
1218 Shirley Rd Lynchburg, VA	2.0	1.0	742	$950	$1.28	23d	1	0.62mi
803 Mansfield Ave Lynchburg, VA	2.0	1.0	900	$1,300	$1.44	23d	1	0.69mi
216 Kenyon St Lynchburg, VA	2.0	1.0	1114	$995	$0.89	45d	1	0.74mi
2121 Langhorne Rd Unit 1103756SF 1BR/1BA Lynchburg, VA	1.0	1.0	756	$1,225	$1.62	23d	1	0.75mi
2121 Langhorne Rd Unit 11041092SF 2BR/2BA Lynchburg, VA	2.0	2.0	1092	$1,495	$1.37	23d	1	0.75mi
2245 Landover Pl Lynchburg, VA	1.0–3.0	1.0–1.5	925	$870	$0.94	45d	2	0.77mi
2121 Langhorne Rd Lynchburg, VA	1.0	1.0	983	$1,475	$1.50	45d	1	0.78mi
905 Centerdale St Lynchburg, VA	2.0	1.0	780	$895	$1.15	15d	1	0.86mi
318 Wadsworth St Lynchburg, VA	3.0	1.0	943	$995	$1.06	23d	1	0.89mi
317 Grove St Unit A Lynchburg, VA	2.0	1.0	900	$895	$0.99	45d	1	0.91mi
2734 Fort Ave Lynchburg, VA	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	875	$1,450	$1.66	45d	1	0.96mi
4067 Fort Ave Unit 3 Lynchburg, VA	2.0	1.0	950	$995	$1.05	23d	1	0.98mi
4300 Tremont St Lynchburg, VA	3.0	1.0	1122	$1,200	$1.07	45d	1	1.02mi
4647 Ferncliff Dr Lynchburg, VA	2.0	2.0	1034	$1,800	$1.74	45d	1	1.02mi
2107 Park Ave Unit 4 Lynchburg, VA	2.0	1.0	800	$785	$0.98	15d	1	1.03mi
2021 Rose Ln Lynchburg, VA	2.0	1.0	836	$1,095	$1.31	23d	1	1.07mi
4607 Fairmont Ave Lynchburg, VA	3.0	1.0	1001	$1,650	$1.65	23d	1	1.07mi
1625 Shaffer St Lynchburg, VA	2.0	1.0	895	$850	$0.95	45d	1	1.19mi
1320 Saint Cloud Ave Lynchburg, VA	3.0	1.0	960	$1,550	$1.61	46d	1	1.19mi
1400 Weeping Willow Dr Apt A Lynchburg, VA	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1003	$1,286	$1.28	15d	12	1.22mi
1705 1st St Unit A Lynchburg, VA	2.0	1.0	1100	$1,395	$1.27	23d	1	1.25mi
2336 Aragon St Lynchburg, VA	2.0	1.0	1042	$995	$0.95	15d	1	1.31mi
1401 Kemper St Lynchburg, VA	2.0–3.0	2.0	1118	$707	$0.63	23d	6	1.42mi
1009 Lindsay St Lynchburg, VA	3.0	2.0	1050	$1,800	$1.71	45d	1	1.43mi

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $134,900 Active 6 DOM
2. 2026-06-19
   days on market $134,900 Active 4 DOM
3. 2026-06-18
   days on market $134,900 Active 3 DOM
4. 2026-06-17
   days on market $134,900 Active 2 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   remarks 275-char remark
6. 2026-06-15
   listed $134,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,082
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,556
• − Property taxes: −$2,024
• − Insurance: −$674
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,127
• − Management: −$1,127
• − Depreciation: −$3,924
• Taxable loss: −$2,350
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$564
• After-tax cash flow: $502/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This updated single-family home in Lynchburg, VA is in good condition with recent updates to the kitchen and bathroom. It's move-in ready with a good curb appeal and minimal maintenance required.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
• Both Replace or clean gutters — Improves drainage and prevents water damage

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
• Both Replace or clean gutters — Improves drainage and prevents water damage ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lynchburg City Public School District
• NCES district ID: 5102340
• Math proficiency: 36% ▼ -38.00%
• Reading proficiency: 61% ▼ -8.00%
• Median HH income: $39,097
• Composite: 40.4/100
• National rank: #3730
• State rank: #104 of 131 in VA

Livability — Lynchburg

• Score: 91/100
• State rank: #1
• US rank: #58

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Lynchburg, VA
• County: Lynchburg City · 97,036 people
• City population: 97,036
• Metro: Lynchburg, VA
• Population (ZIP): 25,006
• Household income: $42,222
• Rent vs Own: 53.0% rent · 47.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 1717.0

Population outlook (Lynchburg County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 87,977 people
• By 2030: 93,626 · +6.4%
• By 2040: 106,145 · +20.7%
• By 2050: 120,783 · +37.3%
• By 2075: 162,249 · +84.4%
• By 2100: 191,358 · +117.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
• Race & ethnicity: White 58% Black 34% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lynchburg

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+7.9) · D 45.4% · R 53.3% · Other 1.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -3.9pp toward R · 2008: -4.0pp · 2024: -7.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+7.9 2020: D+2.6 2016: R+9.0 2012: R+10.6 2008: R+4.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -131.06%
• Current HPI: 223.6839
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.15%
• Metro: Lynchburg, VA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.40%
• F500 in state: 50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Aerospace / Defense	4	$236B
▸Technology / Defense	3	$32B
▸Financial Services	2	$176B
▸Utilities	2	$27B
▸Insurance	2	$25B
▸Technology	2	$15B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-15 Listed $134,900 LMLS