4217 S Main St · Port Henry, NY 12974

$194,000

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,094 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 32 Days on market

Built 1900 0.40 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +10.0/30.0
• Appreciation +7.7/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.0/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• 1% rule +3.1/10.0
• DSCR +2.8/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Well maintained older home on . 40 acres close to amenities and Beautiful Lake Champlain, with filtered views from the house. Offering 2,0094 SF of living space with 4-5 Bedrooms/closets and 2 Full Bathrooms ( one has walk-in-tub). Features include a large living room, country kitchen with island and dining area, enclosed porches and abundant natural light throughout. Spacious attic with potential for additional living space. Full basement with newer furnace, public water & sewer. Carport, small shed and new generac included. Nice yard for gatherings. Great family home! This home is an estate sale and being SOLD AS-IS.

Key facts

• Country kitchen
• Enclosed porches
• Newer furnace

Tags

• COUNTRY KITCHEN
• ENCLOSED PORCHES
• SPACIOUS ATTIC
• FULL BASEMENT
• NEWER FURNACE
• PUBLIC WATER

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $194k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-119 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $173k (10.8% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (19.5% below list).
• Recommended offer: $156k (19.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 2.7% in Port Henry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#226 in NY, #3,576 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Moriah Central School District (rural): math 41% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #445 of 590 in NY (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Moriah Elementary School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,277 of 2,108 statewide, top 64%, 385 students, 47% FRL); Moriah Junior-Senior High School (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #1,007 of 1,100 statewide, top 93%, 316 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 218 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $12k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (5.5% local appreciation)).
• Essex County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $156,182 (19.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.81% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.56%
• Cash-on-cash: -2.62%
• DSCR: 0.88
• GRM: 10.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 11.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.78×
• Total profit: $42,166
• Equity at exit: $115,236

10-year hold

• IRR: 12.8%
• Equity multiple: 3.43×
• Total profit: $131,895
• Equity at exit: $203,407

Cash invested: $54,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 12974

• Home prices YoY: 1.6%
• Active inventory: 23
• Price-to-rent: 10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,562 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,017
• Tax from tax record: −$254 /mo · $3,052/yr
• Insurance: −$81
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$328
• Net cashflow: $-119

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,712

Max offer price $173,031

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-9	-5% $-64	+0% $-119	+5% $-174	+10% $-229
Rent	-10% $-242	-5% $-180	+0% $-119	+5% $-57	+10% $5
Rate	-1.0pp $-21	-0.5pp $-69	base $-119	+0.5pp $-169	+1.0pp $-220

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $48,500
• Closing costs: $5,820
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-04-09
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-04
   listed $194,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $3,052 · $254/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,165 · $264/mo
• Expected delta: +$113/yr (+$9/mo · 3.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,742
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,867
• − Property taxes: −$3,052
• − Insurance: −$970
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,499
• − Management: −$1,499
• − Depreciation: −$5,644
• Taxable loss: −$4,790
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,150
• After-tax cash flow: $-275/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Moriah Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3619830
• Math proficiency: 41% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 52% ▲ 2.00%
• Median HH income: $46,940
• Composite: 39.55/100
• National rank: #3937
• State rank: #445 of 590 in NY

Livability — Port Henry

• Score: 76/100
• State rank: #226
• US rank: #3576

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Port Henry, NY
• Population (ZIP): 1,545

Population outlook (Essex County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 36,758 people
• By 2030: 35,697 · -2.9%
• By 2040: 32,697 · -11.0%
• By 2050: 29,248 · -20.4%
• By 2075: 22,641 · -38.4%
• By 2100: 16,602 · -54.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (93%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 93% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 20% Romanian 12% Italian 6%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 88% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Essex

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 49.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -12.8pp toward R · 2008: 13.3pp · 2024: 0.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+5.0 2016: R+3.4 2012: D+15.0 2008: D+13.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 5.45%
• Current HPI: 342.6175
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-09 Pending — Global MLS
• 2026-03-04 Listed $194,000 Global MLS

Property tax history

+7.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,052 · +12.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.