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D- Composite 37.93
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.0/30.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • DSCR +1.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.5/10.0

$375,000

4002 22nd St SW · Lehigh Acres, FL 33976
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,815 sqft · Land · 32 Days on market
Built 2025 0.25 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged, AI generated or rendered. BEAUTIFUL BRAND-NEW CONSTRUCTION! Centrally located in Lehigh Acres!! This home has Over 1,815 square feet. Home features 3 bedrooms plus Den, 2 bathrooms, double car garage, impact windows, impact door, large open lanai. The open floor plan encompasses a spacious living area, kitchen island and dining, Master bedroom complete with a spacious two walk-in closet and a beautifully finished en-suite bathroom includes dual vanities and a walk-in shower. The open-concept layout includes a large kitchen island, perfect for entertaining. The kitchen features quartz countertops, Stainless steel appliances, Soft-close shaker c

Key facts

  • Large open lanai
  • Quartz countertops
  • Impact door

Tags

BRAND NEW CONSTRUCTIONIMPACT WINDOWSIMPACT DOORLARGE OPEN LANAIKITCHEN ISLANDQUARTZ COUNTERTOPS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: RS-1; Lot approx. 0.25 acre; Subdivision: Lehigh Acres
  • HOA & community: No HOA maintenance or amenities; Non-gated community

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; 2+ parking spaces
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic sewer
  • Home design: Single family, traditional design; Residential property; One story; Rear exposure facing north
  • Construction: Concrete block construction; Built in 2025
  • Exterior features: Stucco exterior; Impact resistant windows; Impact resistant doors; Shingle roof; Wooded area view; Regular lot; Public road/access road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Island; Pantry; Cooktop (electric); Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms plus den; Split bedroom floor plan
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bath with dual sinks and separate tub and shower
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Built-in cabinets; Coffered ceiling; French doors; Pantry; Smoke detectors; Walk-in closet; Open porch/lanai; Unfurnished
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in residence; Auto garage door

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $375k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-553 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $277k (26.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $208k (44.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $208k (44.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 786 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $40k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $38k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$64k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($364k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $11k; list at $375k implies a 3309% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $208,000 (44.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 45% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.55%
Cap rate
4.52%
Cash-on-cash
-6.32%
DSCR
0.72
GRM
15.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.1%
Equity multiple
2.55×
Total profit
$162,680
Equity at exit
$337,830
10-year hold
IRR
17.2%
Equity multiple
5.72×
Total profit
$495,450
Equity at exit
$728,543

Cash invested: $105,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33976

Home prices YoY
6.8%
Rents YoY
-1.5%
Active inventory
786
Price-to-rent
15.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,080 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,967
Tax from tax record
$74 /mo · $886/yr
Insurance
$156
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$437
Net cashflow
$-553

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,781
Max offer price $277,235
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$93,750
Closing costs
$11,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4203 23rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1833 $1,850 $1.01 19d 1 0.32mi
4021 28th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1529 $1,800 $1.18 23d 1 0.44mi
4221 18th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.5 1600 $2,600 $1.62 14d 1 0.47mi
3714 17th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1833 $1,890 $1.03 23d 1 0.49mi
2504 Vera Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 3.0 1643 $2,400 $1.46 23d 1 0.64mi
1578 Gretchen Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1728 $2,000 $1.16 23d 1 0.66mi
2904 Wanda Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1501 $1,900 $1.27 23d 1 0.69mi
3702 14th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1472 $1,995 $1.36 23d 1 0.72mi
4101 33rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1698 $2,200 $1.30 14d 1 0.73mi
1502 Gretchen Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1270 $2,000 $1.57 3d 1 0.77mi
3604 29th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.5 1776 $2,500 $1.41 23d 1 0.78mi
4421 25th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1253 $1,250 $1.00 10d 1 0.78mi
3809 33rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 2133 $1,745 $0.82 23d 1 0.78mi
3807 33rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 2133 $1,745 $0.82 23d 1 0.79mi
3805 33rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 2133 $1,745 $0.82 23d 1 0.80mi
3803 33rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 2133 $1,745 $0.82 23d 1 0.80mi
3801 33rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 2133 $1,745 $0.82 23d 1 0.81mi
1511 Terry Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1579 $1,996 $1.26 23d 1 0.83mi
3418 26th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 3.0 2030 $2,300 $1.13 16d 1 0.86mi
4501 15th St SW Unit 4501 Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 2383 $1,800 $0.76 23d 1 0.87mi
4020 36th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1354 $2,050 $1.51 23d 1 0.88mi
3802 35th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1269 $1,640 $1.29 23d 1 0.89mi
4449 26th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 2242 $1,900 $0.85 23d 1 0.92mi
3705 9th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1272 $1,695 $1.33 14d 1 0.93mi
3820 7th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1841 $2,500 $1.36 11d 1 0.96mi
3818 7th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1422 $1,695 $1.19 23d 1 0.96mi
4541 21st St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 2228 $1,695 $0.76 23d 1 0.96mi
4543 21st St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1228 $1,600 $1.30 3d 1 0.97mi
4543 21st St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1228 $1,600 $1.30 3d 1 0.97mi
4218 8th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1408 $1,800 $1.28 23d 1 0.97mi
4518 14th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 2376 $2,000 $0.84 23d 1 0.98mi
2202 Haviland Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1288 $1,900 $1.48 3d 1 1.08mi
610 Floyd Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,100 $1.50 23d 1 1.09mi
3303 8th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,250 $1.61 3d 1 1.14mi
3615 6th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1378 $1,825 $1.32 23d 1 1.15mi
3408 10th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1385 $1,850 $1.34 21d 1 1.16mi
3408 10th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1920 $1,750 $0.91 14d 1 1.16mi
1110 Hightower Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1227 $1,325 $1.08 23d 1 1.19mi
3820 3rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 2133 $1,745 $0.82 23d 1 1.20mi
3419 36th St Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1920 $1,850 $0.96 23d 1 1.23mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-04-25
    listed $375,000 Active
  2. 2026-04-12
    historical
  3. 2026-02-09
    price $384,900
  4. 2026-01-08
    listed $399,000 Active
  5. 2026-01-05
    historical
  6. 2025-11-03
    price $399,900
  7. 2025-09-17
    price $419,900
  8. 2025-06-24
    listed $424,900 Active
  9. 2021-03-03
    soldstatus $11,000
  10. 2021-02-17
    soldstatus $11,000 Closed
  11. 2021-01-29
    status Pending
  12. 2021-01-29
    status Active
  13. 2021-01-24
    status Pending
  14. 2021-01-23
    listed $9,500 Active
  15. 1989-02-01
    soldstatus $5,000
  16. 1987-12-01
    soldstatus $2,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$886 · $74/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,112 · $259/mo
Expected delta
+$2,226/yr (+$186/mo · 251.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,960
− Mortgage interest
−$21,006
− Property taxes
−$886
− Insurance
−$1,875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,997
− Management
−$1,997
− Depreciation
−$10,909
Taxable loss
−$13,710
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,290
After-tax cash flow
$-3,351/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lehigh Acres

Score
59/100
State rank
#826
US rank
#20055

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lehigh Acres, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
130,638
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
20,277
Household income
$72,679
Rent vs Own
28.2% rent · 71.8% own
Severe rent burden
574.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 50% Two or more races 30% White 24% Black 20% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 18% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 8% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
35% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
46% English-only · Spanish 43% French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 21.77%
Current HPI
340.4255
Rent YoY
▼ -1.54%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+14900.0% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $375,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-04-12 Listing Removed NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $384,900 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-01-08 Listed $399,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-01-05 Listing Removed NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-11-03 Price Changed $399,900 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-09-17 Price Changed $419,900 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-06-24 Listed $424,900 NAPLESMLS
  • 2021-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records
  • 2021-02-17 Sold (MLS) $11,000 FORTMLS
  • 2021-01-29 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2021-01-29 Relisted FORTMLS
  • 2021-01-24 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2021-01-23 Listed $9,500 FORTMLS
  • 1989-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $5,000 Public Records
  • 1987-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $2,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+25.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $886 · +106.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…