3610 N Elliott Rd · Ajo, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Desert property with horse facilities and mountain views on 2.01 acres. This single-story, 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a step-free layout and natural desert landscaping. Features include washer/dryer hookups inside the home, a circular driveway for easy access, and horse amenities including a corral and shelter. The property provides unobstructed mountain views and a low-maintenance desert setting. Note: Home is in need of maintenance and repairs. Desert Charmer with Horse Facilities & Mountain Views - Needs a Little TLC! Calling all dreamers and DIY enthusiasts! This single-story, 3-bedroom, 1-bath home sits on 2.01 acres of raw desert beauty ready for your personal touch. With natural landscaping, mountain views, and equestrian features, it's a property full of potential. Key Features: - Step-Free Design: Easy access with no interior stairs - Washer/Dryer Hookups: Laundry-ready setup inside the home - Circular Driveway: Inviting curb appeal with convenient vehicle access - Horse Corral & Shelter: Ideal for horse owners or hobby ranchers - Spectacular Views: Unobstructed vistas of Arizona's iconic mountains - Natural Desert Landscape: Low-maintenance and water-wise Heads-Up: Home is in need of maintenance and repairs bring your tools and vision to unlock its full charm. Whether you're looking to renovate, invest, or create a serene desert escape, this property offers a rare blend of land, location, and possibilities.
Key facts
- Washer dryer hookups
- Horse corral
- Step-free design
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $189 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (6.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#115 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute D-.
- Ajo Unified District (4409) (town): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #343 of 501 in AZ (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 5,268 units permitted in Pima County in 2024 (996 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pima County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.01%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-9,881
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $6,685
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85321
- Home prices YoY
- -5.6%
- Active inventory
- 38
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,266 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $559/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$266
- Net cashflow
- $189
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $135,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $135,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $135,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $135,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-04-10price $135,000 1454-char remark
Show marketing remark (1454 chars)
Desert property with horse facilities and mountain views on 2.01 acres. This single-story, 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a step-free layout and natural desert landscaping. Features include washer/dryer hookups inside the home, a circular driveway for easy access, and horse amenities including a corral and shelter. The property provides unobstructed mountain views and a low-maintenance desert setting. Note: Home is in need of maintenance and repairs. Desert Charmer with Horse Facilities & Mountain Views - Needs a Little TLC! Calling all dreamers and DIY enthusiasts! This single-story, 3-bedroom, 1-bath home sits on 2.01 acres of raw desert beauty ready for your personal touch. With natural landscaping, mountain views, and equestrian features, it's a property full of potential. Key Features: - Step-Free Design: Easy access with no interior stairs - Washer/Dryer Hookups: Laundry-ready setup inside the home - Circular Driveway: Inviting curb appeal with convenient vehicle access - Horse Corral & Shelter: Ideal for horse owners or hobby ranchers - Spectacular Views: Unobstructed vistas of Arizona's iconic mountains - Natural Desert Landscape: Low-maintenance and water-wise Heads-Up: Home is in need of maintenance and repairs bring your tools and vision to unlock its full charm. Whether you're looking to renovate, invest, or create a serene desert escape, this property offers a rare blend of land, location, and possibilities.
-
2026-02-13price $140,000 1454-char remark
Show marketing remark (1454 chars)
Desert property with horse facilities and mountain views on 2.01 acres. This single-story, 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a step-free layout and natural desert landscaping. Features include washer/dryer hookups inside the home, a circular driveway for easy access, and horse amenities including a corral and shelter. The property provides unobstructed mountain views and a low-maintenance desert setting. Note: Home is in need of maintenance and repairs. Desert Charmer with Horse Facilities & Mountain Views - Needs a Little TLC! Calling all dreamers and DIY enthusiasts! This single-story, 3-bedroom, 1-bath home sits on 2.01 acres of raw desert beauty ready for your personal touch. With natural landscaping, mountain views, and equestrian features, it's a property full of potential. Key Features: - Step-Free Design: Easy access with no interior stairs - Washer/Dryer Hookups: Laundry-ready setup inside the home - Circular Driveway: Inviting curb appeal with convenient vehicle access - Horse Corral & Shelter: Ideal for horse owners or hobby ranchers - Spectacular Views: Unobstructed vistas of Arizona's iconic mountains - Natural Desert Landscape: Low-maintenance and water-wise Heads-Up: Home is in need of maintenance and repairs bring your tools and vision to unlock its full charm. Whether you're looking to renovate, invest, or create a serene desert escape, this property offers a rare blend of land, location, and possibilities.
-
2026-01-20$150,000 Active 1454-char remark
Show marketing remark (1454 chars)
Desert property with horse facilities and mountain views on 2.01 acres. This single-story, 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a step-free layout and natural desert landscaping. Features include washer/dryer hookups inside the home, a circular driveway for easy access, and horse amenities including a corral and shelter. The property provides unobstructed mountain views and a low-maintenance desert setting. Note: Home is in need of maintenance and repairs. Desert Charmer with Horse Facilities & Mountain Views - Needs a Little TLC! Calling all dreamers and DIY enthusiasts! This single-story, 3-bedroom, 1-bath home sits on 2.01 acres of raw desert beauty ready for your personal touch. With natural landscaping, mountain views, and equestrian features, it's a property full of potential. Key Features: - Step-Free Design: Easy access with no interior stairs - Washer/Dryer Hookups: Laundry-ready setup inside the home - Circular Driveway: Inviting curb appeal with convenient vehicle access - Horse Corral & Shelter: Ideal for horse owners or hobby ranchers - Spectacular Views: Unobstructed vistas of Arizona's iconic mountains - Natural Desert Landscape: Low-maintenance and water-wise Heads-Up: Home is in need of maintenance and repairs bring your tools and vision to unlock its full charm. Whether you're looking to renovate, invest, or create a serene desert escape, this property offers a rare blend of land, location, and possibilities.
-
2025-07-11historical
-
2025-07-09$140,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $559 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $891 · $74/mo
- Expected delta
- +$332/yr (+$28/mo · 59.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,190
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$559
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,215
- − Management
- −$1,215
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $36
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$9
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,262/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ajo Unified District (4409)
- NCES district ID
- 0400520
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,237
- Composite
- 23.59/100
- National rank
- #13264
- State rank
- #343 of 501 in AZ
Livability — Ajo
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #115
- US rank
- #15321
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ajo, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,313
Population outlook (Pima County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,066,056 people
- By 2030
- 1,086,684 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 1,117,160 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 1,149,778 · +7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,271,480 · +19.3%
- By 2100
- 1,321,160 · +23.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 19% Native American 15% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 15% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pima
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.2) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.1pp toward D · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.2 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+5.8 2008: D+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -10.38%
- Current HPI
- 173.7704
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
-3.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $135,000 ARMLS
- 2026-02-13 Price Changed $140,000 ARMLS
- 2026-01-20 Listed $150,000 ARMLS
- 2025-07-11 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2025-07-09 Listed $140,000 ARMLS
Property tax history
-1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $559 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…