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3610 N Elliott Rd
C- Composite 50.02
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

3610 N Elliott Rd · Ajo, AZ 85321
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 768 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 150 Days on market
Built 1981 2.01 ac lot ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Desert property with horse facilities and mountain views on 2.01 acres. This single-story, 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a step-free layout and natural desert landscaping. Features include washer/dryer hookups inside the home, a circular driveway for easy access, and horse amenities including a corral and shelter. The property provides unobstructed mountain views and a low-maintenance desert setting. Note: Home is in need of maintenance and repairs. Desert Charmer with Horse Facilities & Mountain Views - Needs a Little TLC! Calling all dreamers and DIY enthusiasts! This single-story, 3-bedroom, 1-bath home sits on 2.01 acres of raw desert beauty ready for your personal touch. With natural landscaping, mountain views, and equestrian features, it's a property full of potential. Key Features: - Step-Free Design: Easy access with no interior stairs - Washer/Dryer Hookups: Laundry-ready setup inside the home - Circular Driveway: Inviting curb appeal with convenient vehicle access - Horse Corral & Shelter: Ideal for horse owners or hobby ranchers - Spectacular Views: Unobstructed vistas of Arizona's iconic mountains - Natural Desert Landscape: Low-maintenance and water-wise Heads-Up: Home is in need of maintenance and repairs bring your tools and vision to unlock its full charm. Whether you're looking to renovate, invest, or create a serene desert escape, this property offers a rare blend of land, location, and possibilities.

Key facts

  • Washer dryer hookups
  • Horse corral
  • Step-free design

Tags

MOUNTAIN VIEWSSTEP-FREE DESIGNWASHER DRYER HOOKUPSCIRCULAR DRIVEWAYHORSE CORRALNATURAL DESERT LANDSCAPE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $189 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (6.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#115 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute D-.
  • Ajo Unified District (4409) (town): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #343 of 501 in AZ (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 5,268 units permitted in Pima County in 2024 (996 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pima County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
7.97%
Cash-on-cash
6.01%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.1%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-9,881
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
2.5%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$6,685
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85321

Home prices YoY
-5.6%
Active inventory
38
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,266 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $559/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$266
Net cashflow
$189

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,026
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $135,000 Active 150 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 149 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 148 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 147 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 146 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $135,000 Active 144 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $135,000 Active 143 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 140 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 139 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 138 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 137 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $135,000 Active 134 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 133 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 132 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 131 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 130 DOM
  17. 2026-04-10
    price $135,000 1454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1454 chars)

    Desert property with horse facilities and mountain views on 2.01 acres. This single-story, 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a step-free layout and natural desert landscaping. Features include washer/dryer hookups inside the home, a circular driveway for easy access, and horse amenities including a corral and shelter. The property provides unobstructed mountain views and a low-maintenance desert setting. Note: Home is in need of maintenance and repairs. Desert Charmer with Horse Facilities & Mountain Views - Needs a Little TLC! Calling all dreamers and DIY enthusiasts! This single-story, 3-bedroom, 1-bath home sits on 2.01 acres of raw desert beauty ready for your personal touch. With natural landscaping, mountain views, and equestrian features, it's a property full of potential. Key Features: - Step-Free Design: Easy access with no interior stairs - Washer/Dryer Hookups: Laundry-ready setup inside the home - Circular Driveway: Inviting curb appeal with convenient vehicle access - Horse Corral & Shelter: Ideal for horse owners or hobby ranchers - Spectacular Views: Unobstructed vistas of Arizona's iconic mountains - Natural Desert Landscape: Low-maintenance and water-wise Heads-Up: Home is in need of maintenance and repairs bring your tools and vision to unlock its full charm. Whether you're looking to renovate, invest, or create a serene desert escape, this property offers a rare blend of land, location, and possibilities.

  18. 2026-02-13
    price $140,000 1454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1454 chars)

    Desert property with horse facilities and mountain views on 2.01 acres. This single-story, 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a step-free layout and natural desert landscaping. Features include washer/dryer hookups inside the home, a circular driveway for easy access, and horse amenities including a corral and shelter. The property provides unobstructed mountain views and a low-maintenance desert setting. Note: Home is in need of maintenance and repairs. Desert Charmer with Horse Facilities & Mountain Views - Needs a Little TLC! Calling all dreamers and DIY enthusiasts! This single-story, 3-bedroom, 1-bath home sits on 2.01 acres of raw desert beauty ready for your personal touch. With natural landscaping, mountain views, and equestrian features, it's a property full of potential. Key Features: - Step-Free Design: Easy access with no interior stairs - Washer/Dryer Hookups: Laundry-ready setup inside the home - Circular Driveway: Inviting curb appeal with convenient vehicle access - Horse Corral & Shelter: Ideal for horse owners or hobby ranchers - Spectacular Views: Unobstructed vistas of Arizona's iconic mountains - Natural Desert Landscape: Low-maintenance and water-wise Heads-Up: Home is in need of maintenance and repairs bring your tools and vision to unlock its full charm. Whether you're looking to renovate, invest, or create a serene desert escape, this property offers a rare blend of land, location, and possibilities.

  19. 2026-01-20
    listed $150,000 Active 1454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1454 chars)

    Desert property with horse facilities and mountain views on 2.01 acres. This single-story, 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a step-free layout and natural desert landscaping. Features include washer/dryer hookups inside the home, a circular driveway for easy access, and horse amenities including a corral and shelter. The property provides unobstructed mountain views and a low-maintenance desert setting. Note: Home is in need of maintenance and repairs. Desert Charmer with Horse Facilities & Mountain Views - Needs a Little TLC! Calling all dreamers and DIY enthusiasts! This single-story, 3-bedroom, 1-bath home sits on 2.01 acres of raw desert beauty ready for your personal touch. With natural landscaping, mountain views, and equestrian features, it's a property full of potential. Key Features: - Step-Free Design: Easy access with no interior stairs - Washer/Dryer Hookups: Laundry-ready setup inside the home - Circular Driveway: Inviting curb appeal with convenient vehicle access - Horse Corral & Shelter: Ideal for horse owners or hobby ranchers - Spectacular Views: Unobstructed vistas of Arizona's iconic mountains - Natural Desert Landscape: Low-maintenance and water-wise Heads-Up: Home is in need of maintenance and repairs bring your tools and vision to unlock its full charm. Whether you're looking to renovate, invest, or create a serene desert escape, this property offers a rare blend of land, location, and possibilities.

  20. 2025-07-11
    historical
  21. 2025-07-09
    listed $140,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$559 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$891 · $74/mo
Expected delta
+$332/yr (+$28/mo · 59.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,190
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$559
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,215
− Management
−$1,215
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$36
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$9
After-tax cash flow
$2,262/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ajo Unified District (4409)
NCES district ID
0400520
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$34,237
Composite
23.59/100
National rank
#13264
State rank
#343 of 501 in AZ

Livability — Ajo

Score
63/100
State rank
#115
US rank
#15321

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D- Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ajo, AZ
Population (ZIP)
4,313

Population outlook (Pima County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,066,056 people
By 2030
1,086,684 · +1.9%
By 2040
1,117,160 · +4.8%
By 2050
1,149,778 · +7.9%
By 2075
1,271,480 · +19.3%
By 2100
1,321,160 · +23.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 19% Native American 15% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 15% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pima

2024 margin
D (+15.2) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+9.1pp toward D · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 15.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+15.2 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+5.8 2008: D+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -10.38%
Current HPI
173.7704
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $135,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-02-13 Price Changed $140,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-01-20 Listed $150,000 ARMLS
  • 2025-07-11 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2025-07-09 Listed $140,000 ARMLS

Property tax history

-1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $559 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…