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58206 Lowell St
B Composite 70.18
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$57,000

58206 Lowell St · Elkhart, IN 46517
1 bd · 1.5 ba · 972 sqft · Manufactured public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1995 0.31 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Looking for your next project? This property offers more than just a renovation opportunity. Situated on a double lot, buyers may wish to explore the potential for future development, an additional residence, rental property, garage, pole building, or other approved uses, subject to local zoning and permitting requirements. The existing 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home needs significant repairs and updates and is priced accordingly. Whether you’re an investor, builder, or ambitious renovator, this property offers plenty of upside potential at an affordable price point. Please allow 48 hours for offers to be reviewed. Agents, see agent remarks.

Key facts

  • Additional residence
  • Rental property
  • Future development

Tags

DOUBLE LOTFUTURE DEVELOPMENTADDITIONAL RESIDENCERENTAL PROPERTYUPSIDE POTENTIAL

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Private well water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured home (residential); Single-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Level lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms included (see room count for total rooms)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; Two main-level bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; No cooling system
  • Interior features: Fully finished basement (partially finished); Total of 5 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $57k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $605 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $57k).
  • Cap rate 19.0% vs local median 4.0% in Elkhart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#224 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Baugo Community Schools (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #54 of 301 in IN (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Jimtown Elementary School (379 students, 46% FRL); Jimtown Junior High School (math 47% / reading 42%, grade D, #84 of 330 statewide, top 26%, 279 students, 41% FRL); Jimtown High School (math 27% / reading 62%, grade F, #169 of 369 statewide, top 51%, 541 students, 38% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 484 units permitted in Elkhart County in 2024 (136 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $394 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Elkhart County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $57,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.19%
Cap rate
19.03%
Cash-on-cash
45.50%
DSCR
3.02
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
42.6%
Equity multiple
2.84×
Total profit
$29,317
Equity at exit
$8,499
10-year hold
IRR
48.7%
Equity multiple
5.71×
Total profit
$75,206
Equity at exit
$4,928

Cash invested: $15,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46517

Active inventory
73
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,250 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$299
Tax from tax record
$60 /mo · $716/yr
Insurance
$24
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$605

Break-even live

Break-even rent $484
Max offer price $57,000
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,250
Closing costs
$1,710
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
57748 Best Ave Elkhart, IN 2.0 1.0 888 $1,250 $1.41 21d 1 0.53mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    remarks 643-char remark
  2. 2026-06-08
    status $57,000 Pending 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    remarks 594-char remark
  4. 2026-06-07
    listed $57,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$716 · $60/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$716 · $60/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,000
− Mortgage interest
−$3,193
− Property taxes
−$716
− Insurance
−$285
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,200
− Management
−$1,200
− Depreciation
−$1,658
Taxable income
$6,748
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,619
After-tax cash flow
$5,642/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baugo Community Schools
NCES district ID
1800420
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$54,535
Composite
42.81/100
National rank
#3141
State rank
#54 of 301 in IN

Livability — Elkhart

Score
68/100
State rank
#224
US rank
#9852

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
74,260
Population (ZIP)
25,438

Population outlook (Elkhart County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
213,761 people
By 2030
218,103 · +2.0%
By 2040
225,381 · +5.4%
By 2050
229,447 · +7.3%
By 2075
232,856 · +8.9%
By 2100
214,088 · +0.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 12% Black 12% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 23% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Elkhart

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.4) · D 33.1% · R 65.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: -11.2pp · 2024: -32.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.4 2020: R+28.1 2016: R+32.4 2012: R+26.5 2008: R+11.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -136.54%
Current HPI
214.9881
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Listed $57,000 IRMLS

Property tax history

+9.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $716 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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