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14900 Oak St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 69.3
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

14900 Oak St · Dolton, IL 60419
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,291 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 104 Days on market
Built 1949 6,067 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Short Sale Opportunity! Ideal for investors or rehabbers. This spacious brick ranch offers 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, and a 2.5-car attached garage. Currently tenant-occupied-please do not disturb. Property is being sold as-is. Buyer will be responsible for city inspections and any required repairs. Experienced short sale attorney handling the deal. Drive by property. Showings will be very limited due to tenant and dogs.

Key facts

  • 6,067 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1949

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property currently leased; Fee simple ownership
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required; Curbs, sidewalks, street lights, and paved streets in the community

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (owned) with 2 garage spaces; Asphalt driveway; 2 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Lake Michigan water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story
  • Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built 71–80 years ago; Built before 1978
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Fenced yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level); Master bedroom on main level
  • Flooring: Carpet in family and living rooms; Ceramic tile in kitchen and laundry; Vinyl flooring in several bedrooms and office; Other flooring in one bedroom
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Wall air conditioning units
  • Interior features: 7 total rooms; Office on main level; Family room on main level; Living room on main level
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Utility room on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $85,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$182,031) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $77k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 26.0% vs local median 9.3% in Dolton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#263 in IL, #4,883 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
  • Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,512/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 919% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $51k; list at $85k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $77,350 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.96%
Cap rate
26.01%
Cash-on-cash
70.43%
DSCR
4.13
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$182,031
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14819 Evers St 0.09mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,304 (+1%) 1mo $227,000 $174 89
14813 Evers St 0.10mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,127 (-13%) 3mo $82,000 $73 63
619 E 152nd St 0.40mi 3/1.5 1,146 (-11%) 1mo $153,000 $134 60
14914 Edbrooke Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,287 (-0%) 2mo $100,000 $78 59
15265 Drexel Ave 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+4%) 2mo $155,000 $115 59
14619 Martin Luther King Jr Dr 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,153 (-11%) 2mo $163,000 $141 59
14509 Park Ave 0.58mi 3/3.0 1,454 (+13%) 3mo $223,000 $153 46
15061 Wabash Ave 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,116 (-14%) 2mo $150,000 $134 45
15223 Cottage Grove Ave 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,099 (-15%) 3mo $172,000 $157 42
686 E 155th St 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,400 (+8%) 2mo $157,000 $112 41
717 E 154th St 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,120 (-13%) 2mo $177,000 $158 41
749 E 154th St 0.70mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,142 (-12%) 4mo $230,000 $201 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
75.6%
Equity multiple
4.72×
Total profit
$88,507
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
80.7%
Equity multiple
11.60×
Total profit
$252,201
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60419

Home prices YoY
-25.7%
Rents YoY
9.7%
Active inventory
129
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,512 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax est. 1.5%
$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$527
Net cashflow
$1,397

Break-even live

Break-even rent $744
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 39%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,456 -5% $1,426 +0% $1,397 +5% $1,368 +10% $1,338
Rent -10% $1,198 -5% $1,298 +0% $1,397 +5% $1,496 +10% $1,595
Rate -1.0pp $1,440 -0.5pp $1,419 base $1,397 +0.5pp $1,375 +1.0pp $1,352

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14916 Langley Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.5 1418 $2,500 $1.76 25d 1 0.18mi
14817 Champlain Ave Dolton, IL 2.0 1.0 980 $2,430 $2.48 23d 1 0.18mi
14500 Cottage Grove Ave Unit 3 Dolton, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,475 $1.48 25d 1 0.63mi
15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL 4.0 1.5 1200 $3,400 $2.83 25d 1 0.73mi
15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL 4.0 1.5 1200 $3,400 $2.83 9d 1 0.73mi
14305 Irving Ave Unit 2 Dolton, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,200 $2.00 25d 1 0.76mi
14844 Wabash Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.5 1277 $2,320 $1.82 25d 1 0.89mi
15231 Hastings Dr Dolton, IL 4.0 1.5 1487 $2,146 $1.44 9d 1 0.99mi
14433 Woodlawn Ave Dolton, IL 4.0 2.0 1300 $2,000 $1.54 20d 1 1.01mi
14716 Dorchester Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 2.0 1250 $2,800 $2.24 20d 1 1.08mi
14124 Manor Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 2.0 1440 $2,390 $1.66 25d 1 1.12mi
14738 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.0 1017 $2,400 $2.36 11d 1 1.20mi
1429 Kasten Dr Dolton, IL 3.0 1.0 1600 $2,500 $1.56 0d 1 1.23mi
14610 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.0 1017 $2,400 $2.36 7d 1 1.24mi
13841 Forest Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.0 930 $1,895 $2.04 25d 1 1.37mi
15707 Dante Dr South Holland, IL 3.0 2.0 1800 $2,950 $1.64 4d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $85,000 Active 104 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 101 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 100 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 99 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 98 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 96 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 95 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 92 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 91 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 90 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $85,000 Active 87 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $85,000 Active 86 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 85 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 84 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 83 DOM
  16. 2026-03-09
    listed $85,000 Active
  17. 2025-09-04
    historical Contingent - No Showings
  18. 2025-09-03
    historical
  19. 2025-08-13
    listed Active
  20. 2025-08-13
    historical
  21. 2020-12-01
    soldstatus $51,000
  22. 2020-05-22
    historical
  23. 2020-03-25
    historical
  24. 2020-03-24
    listed New
  25. 2017-08-31
    soldstatus $56,000
  26. 2011-04-24
    historical
  27. 2010-12-27
    listed New
  28. 2010-10-07
    soldstatus $41,100 Closed Sale
  29. 2010-09-29
    status Pending
  30. 2010-09-18
    historical Contingent
  31. 2010-09-07
    listed $47,900 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,141
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,275
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,411
− Management
−$2,411
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$16,385
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,932
After-tax cash flow
$12,830/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Twp Hsd 205
NCES district ID
1738970
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
8% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,392
Composite
6.92/100
National rank
#9976
State rank
#594 of 620 in IL

Livability — Dolton

Score
74/100
State rank
#263
US rank
#4883

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dolton, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
20,825
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
20,825
Household income
$57,887
Rent vs Own
27.4% rent · 72.6% own
Severe rent burden
919.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% White 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.88%
Current HPI
193.2346
Rent YoY
▲ 9.65%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+77.5% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $85,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-04 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-03 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-13 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-13 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
  • 2020-05-22 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-03-25 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-03-24 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
  • 2011-04-24 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-12-27 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-10-07 Sold (MLS) $41,100 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-09-29 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-09-18 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-09-07 Listed $47,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+7.8%/yr

Latest (2023): $7,235 · -9.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…