105 E Patrick Ave #9 · Kittitas, WA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AO
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $848 – $2,087
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 16 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.6/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this bright and cheerful manufactured home located in a clean, peaceful, and beautifully landscaped community in up-and-coming Kittitas! Inside, you’ll find a spacious kitchen with abundant storage, generous counter space, and a lovely bay window that fills the home with natural light. The inviting living room flows into the rest of the home: a laundry area featuring additional storage cupboards, a guest bedroom, well-lit bathroom, and a spacious primary bedroom complete with an extra-large closet for plenty of storage. Outside offers exceptional functionality and outdoor enjoyment with a covered sitting area, large storage room, and two additional sheds providing plen
Key facts
- Covered sitting area
- Laundry area
- Extra-large closet
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Acceptable financing: Cash, Conventional
- HOA & community: Park name: Cook Creek Court; Land lease: $680; Park approved for sale; Pets: see remarks
Exterior
- Parking: Uncovered parking; 2 open parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Manufactured single-wide home (Fleetwood); One story; Manufactured after 6/15/1976; Residential property subtype: Manufactured Home
- Construction: Wood construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Wood exterior; Wood products; Patio/porch/deck
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
- Bathrooms: One three-quarter bathroom with shower
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Electric energy source
- Interior features: Entry; Kitchen with eating space; Living room; Vaulted ceilings; Patio/porch/deck
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $580 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $54k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.6% vs local median 2.1% in Kittitas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#321 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, cost of living A-; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
- Kittitas School District (rural): math 36% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #162 of 291 in WA (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 433 units permitted in Kittitas County in 2024 (23 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
- Kittitas County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $122/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AO (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 54.73%
- DSCR
- 3.44
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $377,160
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 971 NO. 81 Rd | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (+10%) | 6mo | $415,000 | $449 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.23% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 50.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.88×
- Total profit
- $44,328
- Equity at exit
- $25,461
- IRR
- 50.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.84×
- Total profit
- $105,278
- Equity at exit
- $39,816
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98934
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 8
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,312 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$23 /mo · $277/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$122 /mo · $1,468/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$276
- Net cashflow
- $580
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $611 | -5% $596 | +0% $580 | +5% $565 | +10% $549 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $476 | -5% $528 | +0% $580 | +5% $632 | +10% $684 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $608 | -0.5pp $594 | base $580 | +0.5pp $566 | +1.0pp $551 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $55,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $55,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $55,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $55,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-07$55,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $277 · $23/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $539 · $45/mo
- Expected delta
- +$262/yr (+$22/mo · 94.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AO · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,750
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$277
- − Insurance
- −$1,742
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,260
- − Management
- −$1,260
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $6,529
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,567
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,395/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kittitas School District
- NCES district ID
- 5304050
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,782
- Composite
- 42.94/100
- National rank
- #6693
- State rank
- #162 of 291 in WA
Livability — Kittitas
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #321
- US rank
- #11813
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kittitas, WA
- City population
- 803
- Population (ZIP)
- 803
Population outlook (Kittitas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,605 people
- By 2030
- 51,628 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 57,361 · +18.0%
- By 2050
- 63,241 · +30.1%
- By 2075
- 79,310 · +63.2%
- By 2100
- 94,769 · +95.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 10% Black 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 13% Scottish 5% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 12% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kittitas
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.6) · D 41.1% · R 55.7% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.5pp toward R · 2008: -8.1pp · 2024: -14.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.6 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+14.5 2012: R+12.6 2008: R+8.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.23%
- Current HPI
- 245.8193
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $55,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2026): $277 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…