2038 County Road 308 · Downieville-Lawson-Dumont, CO
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 77°F)
- 11 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 31 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this cozy home nuzzled into the heart of Dumont, divinely located off of I-70 near Idaho Springs. Breathtaking 360 degree mountain views! This 3 bed 2 bath home has been remodeled with all new beautiful vinyl flooring, new kitchen cabinets, new stainless steel appliances and decorative tiled kitchen backsplash. Entertain with the eating Space in the Kitchen with island. The primary bed is welcoming with a custom barn door to the closet. The other two bedrooms are on the other side of the living space. Get ready to fall in Love with your outdoor living area with covered patio, beautiful and welcoming flower bed in front plus the cozy fire pit in the back of the private yard. The shed is great for extra storage. Move in ready! Nearby is Lawson Adventure Park & Resort, Idaho Springs RV Resort & Campground, many white water rafting adventures, Breeze Ski Rentals and of course you're right in the mountains.
Key facts
- Covered patio
- Fire pit
- Modern kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot is designated as Lot #3; Road access is public with gravel surface; Located in a master planned area; Pets allowed
- Financial info: Monthly land lease: $950 (lease expires January 14, 2026)
- HOA & community: Located in Lawson mobile home park; Lot lease with monthly fee
Exterior
- Parking: Three off-street parking spaces
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Wired internet available; Phone service available; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home in a park; Faces east; Individual ownership
- Construction: Frame construction with metal and vinyl siding; Composition roof; Manufactured home dimensions: 72' x 16'; Aluminum/metal skirting
- Exterior features: Private yard; Garden; Covered front porch; Partial fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Open floor plan
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $142 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Clear Creek School District No. Re-1 (rural): math 31% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #66 of 176 in CO (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Georgetown Community School (math 30% / reading 30%, grade F, #506 of 966 statewide, top 52%, 94 students, 0% FRL, charter); Clear Creek Middle School (math 34% / reading 15%, grade F, #168 of 270 statewide, top 63%, 96 students, 35% FRL); Clear Creek High School (math 34% / reading 64%, grade D, #115 of 381 statewide, top 34%, 209 students, 18% FRL) — zoned schools at 18% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 23 units permitted in Clear Creek County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 547 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask is 17% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $140k implies a 211% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 547 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.35%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $39,975
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2038 County Road 308 | 0.04mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 980 (+0%) | 24mo | $40,000 | $41 | 68 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-13,619
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- -0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $-125
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80436
- Home prices YoY
- -4.4%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,404 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$175 /mo · $2,100/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$295
- Net cashflow
- $142
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $239 | -5% $190 | +0% $142 | +5% $94 | +10% $45 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $31 | -5% $87 | +0% $142 | +5% $198 | +10% $253 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $213 | -0.5pp $178 | base $142 | +0.5pp $106 | +1.0pp $69 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 547 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 546 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 545 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 544 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 542 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $140,000 Active 538 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $140,000 Active 537 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $140,000 Active 536 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $140,000 Active 533 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $140,000 Active 532 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $140,000 Active 531 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Active 530 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 529 DOM
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2026-02-28price $140,000
-
2025-04-05price $90,000
-
2024-12-18$120,000 Active
-
2024-06-14soldstatus $45,000 Closed 934-char remark
Show marketing remark (934 chars)
Welcome to this cozy home nuzzled into the heart of Dumont, divinely located off of I-70 near Idaho Springs. Breathtaking 360 degree mountain views! This 3 bed 2 bath home has been remodeled with all new beautiful vinyl flooring, new kitchen cabinets, new stainless steel appliances and decorative tiled kitchen backsplash. Entertain with the eating Space in the Kitchen with island. The primary bed is welcoming with a custom barn door to the closet. The other two bedrooms are on the other side of the living space. Get ready to fall in Love with your outdoor living area with covered patio, beautiful and welcoming flower bed in front plus the cozy fire pit in the back of the private yard. The shed is great for extra storage. Move in ready! Nearby is Lawson Adventure Park & Resort, Idaho Springs RV Resort & Campground, many white water rafting adventures, Breeze Ski Rentals and of course you're right in the mountains.
-
2024-05-15status Pending Accepting Backup Offers 934-char remark
Show marketing remark (934 chars)
Welcome to this cozy home nuzzled into the heart of Dumont, divinely located off of I-70 near Idaho Springs. Breathtaking 360 degree mountain views! This 3 bed 2 bath home has been remodeled with all new beautiful vinyl flooring, new kitchen cabinets, new stainless steel appliances and decorative tiled kitchen backsplash. Entertain with the eating Space in the Kitchen with island. The primary bed is welcoming with a custom barn door to the closet. The other two bedrooms are on the other side of the living space. Get ready to fall in Love with your outdoor living area with covered patio, beautiful and welcoming flower bed in front plus the cozy fire pit in the back of the private yard. The shed is great for extra storage. Move in ready! Nearby is Lawson Adventure Park & Resort, Idaho Springs RV Resort & Campground, many white water rafting adventures, Breeze Ski Rentals and of course you're right in the mountains.
-
2024-04-13price $58,000 934-char remark
Show marketing remark (934 chars)
Welcome to this cozy home nuzzled into the heart of Dumont, divinely located off of I-70 near Idaho Springs. Breathtaking 360 degree mountain views! This 3 bed 2 bath home has been remodeled with all new beautiful vinyl flooring, new kitchen cabinets, new stainless steel appliances and decorative tiled kitchen backsplash. Entertain with the eating Space in the Kitchen with island. The primary bed is welcoming with a custom barn door to the closet. The other two bedrooms are on the other side of the living space. Get ready to fall in Love with your outdoor living area with covered patio, beautiful and welcoming flower bed in front plus the cozy fire pit in the back of the private yard. The shed is great for extra storage. Move in ready! Nearby is Lawson Adventure Park & Resort, Idaho Springs RV Resort & Campground, many white water rafting adventures, Breeze Ski Rentals and of course you're right in the mountains.
-
2024-04-03status Active 934-char remark
Show marketing remark (934 chars)
Welcome to this cozy home nuzzled into the heart of Dumont, divinely located off of I-70 near Idaho Springs. Breathtaking 360 degree mountain views! This 3 bed 2 bath home has been remodeled with all new beautiful vinyl flooring, new kitchen cabinets, new stainless steel appliances and decorative tiled kitchen backsplash. Entertain with the eating Space in the Kitchen with island. The primary bed is welcoming with a custom barn door to the closet. The other two bedrooms are on the other side of the living space. Get ready to fall in Love with your outdoor living area with covered patio, beautiful and welcoming flower bed in front plus the cozy fire pit in the back of the private yard. The shed is great for extra storage. Move in ready! Nearby is Lawson Adventure Park & Resort, Idaho Springs RV Resort & Campground, many white water rafting adventures, Breeze Ski Rentals and of course you're right in the mountains.
-
2024-03-26status Pending Accepting Backup Offers 934-char remark
Show marketing remark (934 chars)
Welcome to this cozy home nuzzled into the heart of Dumont, divinely located off of I-70 near Idaho Springs. Breathtaking 360 degree mountain views! This 3 bed 2 bath home has been remodeled with all new beautiful vinyl flooring, new kitchen cabinets, new stainless steel appliances and decorative tiled kitchen backsplash. Entertain with the eating Space in the Kitchen with island. The primary bed is welcoming with a custom barn door to the closet. The other two bedrooms are on the other side of the living space. Get ready to fall in Love with your outdoor living area with covered patio, beautiful and welcoming flower bed in front plus the cozy fire pit in the back of the private yard. The shed is great for extra storage. Move in ready! Nearby is Lawson Adventure Park & Resort, Idaho Springs RV Resort & Campground, many white water rafting adventures, Breeze Ski Rentals and of course you're right in the mountains.
-
2024-03-16price $60,000 934-char remark
Show marketing remark (934 chars)
Welcome to this cozy home nuzzled into the heart of Dumont, divinely located off of I-70 near Idaho Springs. Breathtaking 360 degree mountain views! This 3 bed 2 bath home has been remodeled with all new beautiful vinyl flooring, new kitchen cabinets, new stainless steel appliances and decorative tiled kitchen backsplash. Entertain with the eating Space in the Kitchen with island. The primary bed is welcoming with a custom barn door to the closet. The other two bedrooms are on the other side of the living space. Get ready to fall in Love with your outdoor living area with covered patio, beautiful and welcoming flower bed in front plus the cozy fire pit in the back of the private yard. The shed is great for extra storage. Move in ready! Nearby is Lawson Adventure Park & Resort, Idaho Springs RV Resort & Campground, many white water rafting adventures, Breeze Ski Rentals and of course you're right in the mountains.
-
2024-03-02price $70,000 934-char remark
Show marketing remark (934 chars)
Welcome to this cozy home nuzzled into the heart of Dumont, divinely located off of I-70 near Idaho Springs. Breathtaking 360 degree mountain views! This 3 bed 2 bath home has been remodeled with all new beautiful vinyl flooring, new kitchen cabinets, new stainless steel appliances and decorative tiled kitchen backsplash. Entertain with the eating Space in the Kitchen with island. The primary bed is welcoming with a custom barn door to the closet. The other two bedrooms are on the other side of the living space. Get ready to fall in Love with your outdoor living area with covered patio, beautiful and welcoming flower bed in front plus the cozy fire pit in the back of the private yard. The shed is great for extra storage. Move in ready! Nearby is Lawson Adventure Park & Resort, Idaho Springs RV Resort & Campground, many white water rafting adventures, Breeze Ski Rentals and of course you're right in the mountains.
-
2024-02-07$75,000 Active 934-char remark
Show marketing remark (934 chars)
Welcome to this cozy home nuzzled into the heart of Dumont, divinely located off of I-70 near Idaho Springs. Breathtaking 360 degree mountain views! This 3 bed 2 bath home has been remodeled with all new beautiful vinyl flooring, new kitchen cabinets, new stainless steel appliances and decorative tiled kitchen backsplash. Entertain with the eating Space in the Kitchen with island. The primary bed is welcoming with a custom barn door to the closet. The other two bedrooms are on the other side of the living space. Get ready to fall in Love with your outdoor living area with covered patio, beautiful and welcoming flower bed in front plus the cozy fire pit in the back of the private yard. The shed is great for extra storage. Move in ready! Nearby is Lawson Adventure Park & Resort, Idaho Springs RV Resort & Campground, many white water rafting adventures, Breeze Ski Rentals and of course you're right in the mountains.
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2021-01-20historical
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2021-01-19status Active
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2021-01-14status Pending
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2020-12-10price $35,000
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2020-12-04price $39,900
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2020-11-30$50,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 1/10 Low 11 d/yr ≥77°F today · 31 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,854
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$2,100
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,348
- − Management
- −$1,348
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable loss
- −$558
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$134
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,838/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clear Creek School District No. Re-1
- NCES district ID
- 0803000
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,005
- Composite
- 34.69/100
- National rank
- #10059
- State rank
- #66 of 176 in CO
Livability — Downieville-Lawson-Dumont
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Downieville-Lawson-Dumont, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 343
Population outlook (Clear Creek County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,024 people
- By 2030
- 10,223 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 10,303 · +2.8%
- By 2050
- 10,183 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 10,420 · +4.0%
- By 2100
- 10,233 · +2.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 26% Native American 16% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 16%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 21%
Political lean MEDSL · Clear Creek
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 56.8% · R 40.2% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+13.0 2016: D+2.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+17.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -15.73%
- Current HPI
- 339.63
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+180.0% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-28 Price Changed $140,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-05 Price Changed $90,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-18 Listed $120,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-14 Sold (MLS) $45,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-15 Pending — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-13 Price Changed $58,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-03 Relisted — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-26 Pending — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-16 Price Changed $60,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-02 Price Changed $70,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-07 Listed $75,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-01-20 Listing Removed — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-01-19 Relisted — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-01-14 Pending — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-12-10 Price Changed $35,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-12-04 Price Changed $39,900 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-11-30 Listed $50,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…