1491 County Road 319 Unit B · Glen Rose, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Cash or Owner Financing Only! Don’t miss this opportunity to own a fixer upper on ONE ACRE in highly sought-after Glen Rose Independent School District! Located at 1491 County Road 319 in Cleburne, this property offers great potential for the right buyer. This home features 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a versatile 19x13 flex room—perfect for a second living area, office, or game room. The interior has been freshly painted with new flooring throughout, giving you a solid starting point to make it your own. The layout includes a spacious kitchen and living area, along with a generously sized primary bedroom. While the home does need some additional work, it’s priced with tha
Key facts
- New flooring
- Spacious kitchen
- Freshly painted
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions provided: GPS — when you turn off County Road 319, go down the hill and you will see the home on the left; Located in Somervell County, subdivision: STEWART TRACT
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash; Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage indicated
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; Outside parking; No carport or covered parking
- Utilities: Septic system; Well water; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Property attached: Yes
- Construction: Built in 2012
- Exterior features: Wire fencing; River-front property; Acreage with few trees (about 1 acre)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Kitchen approx. 17 x 12 (main level)
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level); Primary bedroom approx. 19 x 13 (main level); Second bedroom approx. 12 x 10 (main level); Third bedroom approx. 12 x 10 (main level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl plank
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Window unit(s) for cooling; Fireplace heating (and listed as none for additional heating)
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Vaulted ceilings; Two living areas; One dining area; 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: No specific laundry details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $600 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 2.7% in Glen Rose — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#231 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Glen Rose ISD (rural): math 51% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #126 of 826 in TX (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Glen Rose El (476 students, 52% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 660 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 43 units permitted in Somervell County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Somervell County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.72%
- DSCR
- 2.14
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $367,461
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- -72.81%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $17,236
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 22.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.64×
- Total profit
- $45,785
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76033
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 660
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,633 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$343
- Net cashflow
- $600
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $669 | -5% $634 | +0% $600 | +5% $565 | +10% $530 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $471 | -5% $535 | +0% $600 | +5% $664 | +10% $729 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $650 | -0.5pp $625 | base $600 | +0.5pp $574 | +1.0pp $547 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,900 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,900 Active 29 DOM
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2026-05-01$99,900 Active 869-char remark
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2026-04-30historical
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2026-04-07price $104,900
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2026-02-06status Active
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2026-01-30historical Active Option Contract
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2026-01-09price $109,900
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2025-10-29price $124,900
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2025-10-21$130,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,594
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,498
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,567
- − Management
- −$1,567
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $5,959
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,430
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,764/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This fixer-upper offers great potential with a fresh interior and new flooring, but requires moderate exterior repairs and window replacements to maximize its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate exterior siding — some wear
- Moderate windows — some appear old
- Minor HVAC system — no visible issues
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
- Resale replace windows — improves energy efficiency
- Both install new HVAC system — increases comfort and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · some wear | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| windows · some appear old | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| HVAC system · no visible issues | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $6,500–33,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale replace windows — improves energy efficiency ↑
- Both install new HVAC system — increases comfort and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Glen Rose ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4820850
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,084
- Composite
- 45.78/100
- National rank
- #2565
- State rank
- #126 of 826 in TX
Livability — Glen Rose
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #231
- US rank
- #5572
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Johnson County · 147,987 people
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,538
- Household income
- $76,292
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 927.0
Population outlook (Somervell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 9,445 people
- By 2030
- 9,716 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 10,069 · +6.6%
- By 2050
- 10,145 · +7.4%
- By 2075
- 10,111 · +7.1%
- By 2100
- 9,202 · -2.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 15% Black 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 23%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Guatemala, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Somervell
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+70.8) · D 14.2% · R 85.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.6pp toward R · 2008: -53.1pp · 2024: -70.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+70.8 2020: R+67.5 2016: R+68.8 2012: R+64.1 2008: R+53.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -202.75%
- Current HPI
- 246.0029
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.83%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-23.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Listed $99,900 NTREIS
- 2026-04-30 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $104,900 NTREIS
- 2026-02-06 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-01-30 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-01-09 Price Changed $109,900 NTREIS
- 2025-10-29 Price Changed $124,900 NTREIS
- 2025-10-21 Listed $130,000 NTREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…