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272 Deer Run
B- Composite 66.44
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$85,000

272 Deer Run · Lima, OH 45807
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,165 sqft · Manufactured · 181 Days on market
Built 2022 Good condition $73/sqft · 48% above area Est $58k · 48% over $530/mo HOA · 33% of rent ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Why wait to build when you can move right into almost-new perfection? This 2022 Clayton-built home offers over 1,100 sq ft of like-new living without the wait or added costs. Step inside to a bright, spotless 3-bedroom, 2-bath layout that feels straight out of a model home. The open-concept living and dining space flows effortlessly, perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The kitchen stands out with matching black appliances and a clean, modern design. Meticulously maintained and truly move-in ready, this home offers the feel of new construction with immediate availability. Stylish, low-maintenance, and ready for its next owner -- this is one you don't want to miss. Looking for a lender? This model was last purchased using Vanderbilt Mortgage: https://www. vmf.com/?utm_source=google & utm_medium=organic & utm_campaign=gbp

Key facts

  • Built 2022
  • Listed 181 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $167 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#787 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Elida Local (rural): math 59% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #311 of 656 in OH (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Elida Elementary (math 73% / reading 61%, grade B+, #456 of 1,584 statewide, top 31%, 1,018 students, 56% FRL); Elida Middle School (math 56% / reading 57%, grade B, #313 of 654 statewide, top 48%, 537 students, 59% FRL); Elida High School (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C-, #303 of 781 statewide, top 42%, 628 students, 42% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 88 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Allen County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
Recommended offer $74,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.91%
Cap rate
8.64%
Cash-on-cash
8.40%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$57,500
List price
$85,000
Delta
47.83%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14 Deer Run 0.02mi 3/2.0 1,144 (-2%) 4mo $57,500 $50 93
166 Saddlebrook Dr 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,287 (+10%) 2mo $89,000 $69 76
231 Buckingham Dr 0.03mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,180 (+1%) 22mo $47,500 $40 73

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.6%
Equity multiple
3.41×
Total profit
$57,253
Equity at exit
$76,575
10-year hold
IRR
26.6%
Equity multiple
7.76×
Total profit
$160,953
Equity at exit
$165,136

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45807

Home prices YoY
8.5%
Active inventory
53
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,625 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax est. 1.5%
$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$530
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$341
Net cashflow
$167

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,414
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $225 -5% $196 +0% $167 +5% $137 +10% $108
Rent -10% $38 -5% $102 +0% $167 +5% $231 +10% $295
Rate -1.0pp $209 -0.5pp $188 base $167 +0.5pp $145 +1.0pp $122

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$530 · $6,360/yr

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 181 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 180 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 179 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 178 DOM
  5. 2026-03-12
    price $85,000 847-char remark
    Show marketing remark (847 chars)

    Why wait to build when you can move right into almost-new perfection? This 2022 Clayton-built home offers over 1,100 sq ft of like-new living without the wait or added costs. Step inside to a bright, spotless 3-bedroom, 2-bath layout that feels straight out of a model home. The open-concept living and dining space flows effortlessly, perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The kitchen stands out with matching black appliances and a clean, modern design. Meticulously maintained and truly move-in ready, this home offers the feel of new construction with immediate availability. Stylish, low-maintenance, and ready for its next owner -- this is one you don't want to miss. Looking for a lender? This model was last purchased using Vanderbilt Mortgage: https://www. vmf.com/?utm_source=google & utm_medium=organic & utm_campaign=gbp

  6. 2026-03-02
    price $95,000 847-char remark
    Show marketing remark (847 chars)

    Why wait to build when you can move right into almost-new perfection? This 2022 Clayton-built home offers over 1,100 sq ft of like-new living without the wait or added costs. Step inside to a bright, spotless 3-bedroom, 2-bath layout that feels straight out of a model home. The open-concept living and dining space flows effortlessly, perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The kitchen stands out with matching black appliances and a clean, modern design. Meticulously maintained and truly move-in ready, this home offers the feel of new construction with immediate availability. Stylish, low-maintenance, and ready for its next owner -- this is one you don't want to miss. Looking for a lender? This model was last purchased using Vanderbilt Mortgage: https://www. vmf.com/?utm_source=google & utm_medium=organic & utm_campaign=gbp

  7. 2025-12-18
    price $99,000 847-char remark
    Show marketing remark (847 chars)

    Why wait to build when you can move right into almost-new perfection? This 2022 Clayton-built home offers over 1,100 sq ft of like-new living without the wait or added costs. Step inside to a bright, spotless 3-bedroom, 2-bath layout that feels straight out of a model home. The open-concept living and dining space flows effortlessly, perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The kitchen stands out with matching black appliances and a clean, modern design. Meticulously maintained and truly move-in ready, this home offers the feel of new construction with immediate availability. Stylish, low-maintenance, and ready for its next owner -- this is one you don't want to miss. Looking for a lender? This model was last purchased using Vanderbilt Mortgage: https://www. vmf.com/?utm_source=google & utm_medium=organic & utm_campaign=gbp

  8. 2025-12-02
    listed $105,000 Active 847-char remark
    Show marketing remark (847 chars)

    Why wait to build when you can move right into almost-new perfection? This 2022 Clayton-built home offers over 1,100 sq ft of like-new living without the wait or added costs. Step inside to a bright, spotless 3-bedroom, 2-bath layout that feels straight out of a model home. The open-concept living and dining space flows effortlessly, perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The kitchen stands out with matching black appliances and a clean, modern design. Meticulously maintained and truly move-in ready, this home offers the feel of new construction with immediate availability. Stylish, low-maintenance, and ready for its next owner -- this is one you don't want to miss. Looking for a lender? This model was last purchased using Vanderbilt Mortgage: https://www. vmf.com/?utm_source=google & utm_medium=organic & utm_campaign=gbp

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,504
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,275
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,560
− Management
−$1,560
− HOA
−$6,360
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$1,089
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$261
After-tax cash flow
$1,737/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 2022 Clayton-built home is move-in ready with a good condition score and minimal repairs needed.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Resale Replace the kitchen faucet — Improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both Install new window treatments — Enhances curb appeal and privacy

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Resale Replace the kitchen faucet — Improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both Install new window treatments — Enhances curb appeal and privacy

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elida Local
NCES district ID
3904577
Math proficiency
59% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$46,632
Composite
49.93/100
National rank
#1934
State rank
#311 of 656 in OH

Livability — Lima

Score
64/100
State rank
#787
US rank
#14288

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Allen · 98,169 people
City population
21,739
Metro
Lima, OH
Population (ZIP)
11,631
Household income
$74,387
Rent vs Own
17.2% rent · 82.8% own
Severe rent burden
6.3

Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
100,321 people
By 2030
97,693 · -2.6%
By 2040
91,802 · -8.5%
By 2050
86,152 · -14.1%
By 2075
73,659 · -26.6%
By 2100
58,716 · -41.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Black 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allen

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.1) · D 27.5% · R 71.6%
2008→2024 swing
-23.4pp toward R · 2008: -20.7pp · 2024: -44.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.1 2020: R+39.5 2016: R+38.2 2012: R+25.7 2008: R+20.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 36.64%
Current HPI
468.59
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-19.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $85,000 WCARE
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed $95,000 WCARE
  • 2025-12-18 Price Changed $99,000 WCARE
  • 2025-12-02 Listed $105,000 WCARE

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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