272 Deer Run · Lima, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Why wait to build when you can move right into almost-new perfection? This 2022 Clayton-built home offers over 1,100 sq ft of like-new living without the wait or added costs. Step inside to a bright, spotless 3-bedroom, 2-bath layout that feels straight out of a model home. The open-concept living and dining space flows effortlessly, perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The kitchen stands out with matching black appliances and a clean, modern design. Meticulously maintained and truly move-in ready, this home offers the feel of new construction with immediate availability. Stylish, low-maintenance, and ready for its next owner -- this is one you don't want to miss. Looking for a lender? This model was last purchased using Vanderbilt Mortgage: https://www. vmf.com/?utm_source=google & utm_medium=organic & utm_campaign=gbp
Key facts
- Built 2022
- Listed 181 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $167 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#787 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Elida Local (rural): math 59% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #311 of 656 in OH (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Elida Elementary (math 73% / reading 61%, grade B+, #456 of 1,584 statewide, top 31%, 1,018 students, 56% FRL); Elida Middle School (math 56% / reading 57%, grade B, #313 of 654 statewide, top 48%, 537 students, 59% FRL); Elida High School (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C-, #303 of 781 statewide, top 42%, 628 students, 42% FRL).
- Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 88 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Allen County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.91% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.40%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $57,500
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- 47.83%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Deer Run | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,144 (-2%) | 4mo | $57,500 | $50 | 93 |
| 166 Saddlebrook Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,287 (+10%) | 2mo | $89,000 | $69 | 76 |
| 231 Buckingham Dr | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,180 (+1%) | 22mo | $47,500 | $40 | 73 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.41×
- Total profit
- $57,253
- Equity at exit
- $76,575
- IRR
- 26.6%
- Equity multiple
- 7.76×
- Total profit
- $160,953
- Equity at exit
- $165,136
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45807
- Home prices YoY
- 8.5%
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,625 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$530
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$341
- Net cashflow
- $167
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $225 | -5% $196 | +0% $167 | +5% $137 | +10% $108 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $38 | -5% $102 | +0% $167 | +5% $231 | +10% $295 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $209 | -0.5pp $188 | base $167 | +0.5pp $145 | +1.0pp $122 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $530 · $6,360/yr
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-03-12price $85,000 847-char remark
Show marketing remark (847 chars)
Why wait to build when you can move right into almost-new perfection? This 2022 Clayton-built home offers over 1,100 sq ft of like-new living without the wait or added costs. Step inside to a bright, spotless 3-bedroom, 2-bath layout that feels straight out of a model home. The open-concept living and dining space flows effortlessly, perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The kitchen stands out with matching black appliances and a clean, modern design. Meticulously maintained and truly move-in ready, this home offers the feel of new construction with immediate availability. Stylish, low-maintenance, and ready for its next owner -- this is one you don't want to miss. Looking for a lender? This model was last purchased using Vanderbilt Mortgage: https://www. vmf.com/?utm_source=google & utm_medium=organic & utm_campaign=gbp
-
2026-03-02price $95,000 847-char remark
Show marketing remark (847 chars)
Why wait to build when you can move right into almost-new perfection? This 2022 Clayton-built home offers over 1,100 sq ft of like-new living without the wait or added costs. Step inside to a bright, spotless 3-bedroom, 2-bath layout that feels straight out of a model home. The open-concept living and dining space flows effortlessly, perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The kitchen stands out with matching black appliances and a clean, modern design. Meticulously maintained and truly move-in ready, this home offers the feel of new construction with immediate availability. Stylish, low-maintenance, and ready for its next owner -- this is one you don't want to miss. Looking for a lender? This model was last purchased using Vanderbilt Mortgage: https://www. vmf.com/?utm_source=google & utm_medium=organic & utm_campaign=gbp
-
2025-12-18price $99,000 847-char remark
Show marketing remark (847 chars)
Why wait to build when you can move right into almost-new perfection? This 2022 Clayton-built home offers over 1,100 sq ft of like-new living without the wait or added costs. Step inside to a bright, spotless 3-bedroom, 2-bath layout that feels straight out of a model home. The open-concept living and dining space flows effortlessly, perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The kitchen stands out with matching black appliances and a clean, modern design. Meticulously maintained and truly move-in ready, this home offers the feel of new construction with immediate availability. Stylish, low-maintenance, and ready for its next owner -- this is one you don't want to miss. Looking for a lender? This model was last purchased using Vanderbilt Mortgage: https://www. vmf.com/?utm_source=google & utm_medium=organic & utm_campaign=gbp
-
2025-12-02$105,000 Active 847-char remark
Show marketing remark (847 chars)
Why wait to build when you can move right into almost-new perfection? This 2022 Clayton-built home offers over 1,100 sq ft of like-new living without the wait or added costs. Step inside to a bright, spotless 3-bedroom, 2-bath layout that feels straight out of a model home. The open-concept living and dining space flows effortlessly, perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The kitchen stands out with matching black appliances and a clean, modern design. Meticulously maintained and truly move-in ready, this home offers the feel of new construction with immediate availability. Stylish, low-maintenance, and ready for its next owner -- this is one you don't want to miss. Looking for a lender? This model was last purchased using Vanderbilt Mortgage: https://www. vmf.com/?utm_source=google & utm_medium=organic & utm_campaign=gbp
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,504
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,275
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,560
- − Management
- −$1,560
- − HOA
- −$6,360
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $1,089
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$261
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,737/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2022 Clayton-built home is move-in ready with a good condition score and minimal repairs needed.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Resale Replace the kitchen faucet — Improves functionality and aesthetics
- Both Install new window treatments — Enhances curb appeal and privacy
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Resale Replace the kitchen faucet — Improves functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both Install new window treatments — Enhances curb appeal and privacy ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elida Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904577
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,632
- Composite
- 49.93/100
- National rank
- #1934
- State rank
- #311 of 656 in OH
Livability — Lima
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #787
- US rank
- #14288
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Allen · 98,169 people
- City population
- 21,739
- Metro
- Lima, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,631
- Household income
- $74,387
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6.3
Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 100,321 people
- By 2030
- 97,693 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 91,802 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 86,152 · -14.1%
- By 2075
- 73,659 · -26.6%
- By 2100
- 58,716 · -41.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Black 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allen
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.1) · D 27.5% · R 71.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.4pp toward R · 2008: -20.7pp · 2024: -44.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.1 2020: R+39.5 2016: R+38.2 2012: R+25.7 2008: R+20.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 36.64%
- Current HPI
- 468.59
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
-19.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $85,000 WCARE
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $95,000 WCARE
- 2025-12-18 Price Changed $99,000 WCARE
- 2025-12-02 Listed $105,000 WCARE
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…