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468 Loring Dr
C Composite 55.4
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.1/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

468 Loring Dr · Sumter, SC 29150
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,254 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 122 Days on market
Built 1955 10,500 sqft lot Est $125k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This home has been renovated with an owner's suite with a half bath and closet. Renovation are moving along nicely . 4 bedrooms / 1.5 baths; new hot water heater; new electric heater pump to be installed before closing. Split-bedroom floor plan with a separate laundry room. Fenced back yard and carport. Contact listing agent about appliances.

Key facts

  • Half bath
  • New hot water heater
  • Owner's suite

Tags

OWNER'S SUITEHALF BATHNEW HOT WATER HEATERNEW ELECTRIC HEATER PUMPSPLIT-BEDROOM FLOOR PLANSEPARATE LAUNDRY ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Sidewalks in the community

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; 1 carport space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Brick veneer and HardiPlank-type exterior
  • Construction: House structure
  • Exterior features: Covered porch/patio; Chain link fencing; Shingle roof; Paved road access; Public maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances included
  • Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Heat pump cooling
  • Interior features: Walk-in closets; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-87 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $120k (11.4% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.4% in Sumter — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#235 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Sumter 01 (urban): math 18% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #64 of 80 in SC (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Crosswell Drive Elementary (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #587 of 597 statewide, top 99%, 460 students, 100% FRL); Chestnut Oaks Middle (math 3% / reading 17%, grade F, #221 of 229 statewide, top 97%, 396 students, 100% FRL); Sumter High School (math 22% / reading 67%, grade F, #166 of 196 statewide, top 87%, 2,289 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 64% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 384 active listings in the ZIP; 386 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sumter County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
9.31%
Cash-on-cash
10.77%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$125,400
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
606 E Charlotte Ave 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,250 (-0%) 11mo $109,000 $87 72
401 Bagnal Dr 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,237 (-1%) 15mo $82,680 $67 70
107 Emily Dr 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,237 (-1%) 15mo $79,500 $64 67
6 Emily Dr 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,145 (-9%) 9mo $70,000 $61 66
526 E Charlotte Ave 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,198 (-4%) 13mo $160,000 $134 65
609 E Charlotte Ave 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,203 (-4%) 11mo $144,000 $120 65
735 E Charlotte Ave 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,076 (-14%) 2mo $149,900 $139 54
16 Wilson St 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,310 (+4%) 6mo $49,000 $37 52
727 Wen Le Dr 0.45mi 3/1.5 1,098 (-12%) 10mo $110,000 $100 50
105 S Magnolia St 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,193 (-5%) 15mo $156,000 $131 45
110 Phifer St 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,427 (+14%) 2mo $140,000 $98 43
167 Poinsett Dr 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,070 (-15%) 8mo $153,000 $143 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.55% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.4%
Equity multiple
0.26×
Total profit
$-27,876
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
-16.0%
Equity multiple
0.12×
Total profit
$-33,241
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29150

Rents YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
384
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,477 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$63 /mo · $757/yr
Insurance
$56
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$310
Net cashflow
$-87

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,587
Max offer price $119,595
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-11 -5% $-49 +0% $-87 +5% $-125 +10% $-164
Rent -10% $-204 -5% $-146 +0% $-87 +5% $-29 +10% $29
Rate -1.0pp $-19 -0.5pp $-53 base $-87 +0.5pp $-122 +1.0pp $-158

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $135,000 Active 122 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $135,000 Active 120 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 119 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 118 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 117 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 116 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $135,000 Active 114 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 113 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $135,000 Active 111 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 110 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 109 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 108 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 103 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 102 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 101 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $135,000 Active 100 DOM
  17. 2026-02-19
    listed $135,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$757 · $63/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$770 · $64/mo
Expected delta
+$13/yr (+$1/mo · 1.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,721
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$757
− Insurance
−$5,794
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,418
− Management
−$1,418
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$3,154
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$757
After-tax cash flow
$-289/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sumter 01
NCES district ID
4503902
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$40,423
Composite
19.45/100
National rank
#8775
State rank
#64 of 80 in SC

Livability — Sumter

Score
59/100
State rank
#235
US rank
#19754

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sumter, SC
County
Sumter County · 76,912 people
City population
67,992
Metro
Sumter, SC
Population (ZIP)
38,538
Household income
$50,965
Rent vs Own
40.4% rent · 59.6% own
Severe rent burden
1136.0

Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
104,585 people
By 2030
102,282 · -2.2%
By 2040
96,258 · -8.0%
By 2050
89,592 · -14.3%
By 2075
74,715 · -28.6%
By 2100
60,235 · -42.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Black 50% White 39% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sumter

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.9% · R 47.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: 15.4pp · 2024: 4.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.9 2020: D+13.0 2016: D+12.0 2012: D+17.5 2008: D+15.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -100.16%
Current HPI
129.032
Rent YoY
▲ 2.55%
Metro
Sumter, SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-19 Listed $135,000 SBOR

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $757 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…