1176 Tracy Ave · Schenectady, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.4/30.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
1961 ranch situated on a large lot with detached garage. Features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, slab foundation, and public water/sewer. Property is being sold as-is with no interior access available. Buyer responsible for all due diligence. Great opportunity for investors, rehabbers, or cash buyers. - This property is eligible under the First Look Initiative. All Owner Occupant offers will be responded to after 7 days on the market and Investor offers will be responded to after 30 days. However, all offers can be submitted during the First Look period.
Key facts
- 0.28 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1961
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (2 garage spaces, 2 total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Built-up roof; Wood siding exterior
- Construction: Built with wood siding; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Enclosed porch; Porch; Garden; Exterior lighting; Fenced yard; Private lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range / Oven; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Three first-floor bedrooms; One additional first-floor room listed as 'Other' (could be used as an office or flex space)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric heating; Natural gas heating; Wood heating; Wall cooling units
- Interior features: High-speed internet available; Ceiling paddle fans; Wood-burning stove fireplace serving dining room and living room; Total of 7 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located in common area and on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $168 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 6.3% in Schenectady — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#167 in NY, #2,597 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Schenectady City School District (urban): math 38% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #556 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Schenectady High School (math 75% / reading 90%, grade A, #446 of 1,100 statewide, top 41%, 2,743 students, 71% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 82% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+46 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Schenectady City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 164 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 154 units permitted in Schenectady County in 2024 (54 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Schenectady County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $150k implies a 173% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.8% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.79%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $323,189
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -53.59%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1165 Cresse Ave | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,196 (-4%) | 2mo | $287,000 | $240 | 81 |
| 1229 Coplon Ave | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 | 1,358 (+9%) | 1mo | $316,000 | $233 | 76 |
| 1155 Coplon Ave | 0.12mi | 3/1.5 | 1,404 (+12%) | 10mo | $295,000 | $210 | 64 |
| 2105 Van Rensselaer Dr | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-4%) | 10mo | $270,000 | $225 | 58 |
| 2556 Van Vraken Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,364 (+9%) | 5mo | $299,900 | $220 | 56 |
| 1719 Oneida St | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,334 (+7%) | 3mo | $234,200 | $176 | 50 |
| 2290 Van Rensselaer Dr | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 | 1,405 (+12%) | 10mo | $403,000 | $287 | 50 |
| 1807 Randolph Rd | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,368 (+9%) | 10mo | $205,000 | $150 | 47 |
| 1128 Raymond St | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,424 (+14%) | 7mo | $310,000 | $218 | 44 |
| 1920 Avenue B | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,380 (+10%) | 5mo | $150,000 | $109 | 44 |
| 2240 Webster Dr | 0.53mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,392 (+11%) | 9mo | $352,000 | $253 | 44 |
| 2023 Mcclellan St | 0.71mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,134 (-9%) | 5mo | $325,000 | $287 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-19,349
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- -12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-25,176
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12309
- Rents YoY
- -1.6%
- Active inventory
- 164
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,054 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$605 /mo · $7,266/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$431
- Net cashflow
- $168
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1200 Hillside Ave Niskayuna, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $2,200 | $1.95 | 14d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1165 Cresse Ave Schenectady, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1196 | $2,800 | $2.34 | 14d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1187 Hillside Ave Schenectady, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $1,599 | $1.78 | 14d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2011 Ridge Manor Ct Niskayuna, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $2,300 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2150 Rosa Rd Schenectady, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 768 | $1,690 | $2.20 | 14d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 301 Connor Ct Niskayuna, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,650 | $1.74 | 14d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 540 Northend Dr Schenectady, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 906 | $1,725 | $1.90 | 14d | 3 | 0.57mi |
| 1755 Avenue B Unit B Schenectady, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 14d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1747 Oneida St Schenectady, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $2,700 | $1.67 | 14d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1687 Avenue A Schenectady, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1672 | $2,300 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1673 Van Vranken Ave Schenectady, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1335 | $1,750 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 901 Nott St Unit 1R Schenectady, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1633 Carrie St Schenectady, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 509 Nott St Unit 507 Schenectady, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,695 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 54 Freemans Bridge Rd Schenectady, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 100 Reserve Ct Schenectady, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1106 | $2,445 | $2.21 | 14d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 5 Ledge Dr Schenectady, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1025 | $2,900 | $2.83 | 14d | 6 | 1.43mi |
| 1037 University Pl Unit 2 Schenectady, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $150,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $150,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-14$150,000 Active 558-char remark
-
2023-12-29soldstatus $55,000
-
2010-12-30historical
-
2010-06-30$122,900
-
2000-01-11soldstatus $55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,266 · $605/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,266 · $605/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,644
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$7,266
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,972
- − Management
- −$1,972
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$81
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$19
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,033/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Schenectady City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3626010
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▲ 12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,453
- Composite
- 30.2/100
- National rank
- #6309
- State rank
- #556 of 590 in NY
Livability — Schenectady
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #167
- US rank
- #2597
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Schenectady, NY
- County
- Schenectady County · 141,369 people
- City population
- 141,369
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,246
- Household income
- $125,274
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 300.0
Population outlook (Schenectady County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 155,046 people
- By 2030
- 154,322 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 151,796 · -2.1%
- By 2050
- 148,621 · -4.1%
- By 2075
- 141,229 · -8.9%
- By 2100
- 126,014 · -18.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Asian 9% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Schenectady
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.8) · D 55.4% · R 44.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.8pp toward R · 2008: 12.7pp · 2024: 10.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.8 2020: D+15.7 2016: D+5.8 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+12.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -228.63%
- Current HPI
- 294.773
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.55%
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+172.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $150,000 Global MLS
- 2023-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2010-12-30 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2010-06-30 Listed $122,900 Global MLS
- 2000-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $7,266 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…