1830 W Main St · Louisville, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.1/30.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.6/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Updated Modern Home 5 minutes from downtown Everything is new and ready for you! This home is zoned as Office/Res (OR2) The renovated home features a brand-new roof, windows, HVAC, furnace, and water heater. Inside, you'll find fresh, modern LVP flooring throughout. New Windows, Roof, HVAC, and Water Heater bonus Opportunity: The vacant lot next door can be purchased through the Louisville Land Bank for those wanting extra space Move-in ready come see it today.
Key facts
- 2,400 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 12 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association fee (monthly maintenance noted)
Exterior
- Utilities: Electricity connected
- Home design: Single-family ranch/shotgun style; One story
- Construction: Built in 1900; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Lot is approximately 0.05 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen located on the first floor
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms total; Primary bedroom on the first floor; All bedrooms located on the first floor
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 6 total rooms; 3 closets; Unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: First-floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $66 ($791/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (18.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $106k (18.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
- Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($31k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.17%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $112,800
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1814 Rowan St | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 1,038 (-14%) | 1mo | $30,200 | $29 | 72 |
| 1617 Bank St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,145 (-5%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $105 | 72 |
| 408 Dr W J Hodge St | 0.32mi | 2/1.5 | 1,270 (+6%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $94 | 70 |
| 2321 W Market St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,138 (-5%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $97 | 65 |
| 1729 Portland Ave | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 1,072 (-11%) | 2mo | $68,900 | $64 | 60 |
| 2102 Magazine St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 1,148 (-4%) | 3mo | $42,500 | $37 | 60 |
| 2010 W Market St | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,376 (+15%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $98 | 56 |
| 1922 Bank St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 1,020 (-15%) | 3mo | $110,950 | $109 | 54 |
| 404 N 20th St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,050 (-12%) | 7mo | $45,000 | $43 | 53 |
| 510 S 15th St | 0.52mi | 2/1.5 | 1,060 (-12%) | 4mo | $76,000 | $72 | 51 |
| 629 S 19th St | 0.59mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,358 (+13%) | 4mo | $159,900 | $118 | 36 |
| 2409 Griffiths Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,374 (+14%) | 6mo | $37,000 | $27 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-16,138
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-5,607
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40203
- Home prices YoY
- -13.8%
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 115
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,064 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $469/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$224
- Net cashflow
- $66
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $140 | -5% $103 | +0% $66 | +5% $29 | +10% $-8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-18 | -5% $24 | +0% $66 | +5% $108 | +10% $150 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $131 | -0.5pp $99 | base $66 | +0.5pp $32 | +1.0pp $-2 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112 N 18th St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 200 N 18th St Unit 200-4 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $775 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 120 N 20th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1704 Rowan St Unit 1704-2 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $850 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 214 N 17th St Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $750 | $0.94 | 15d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1622 W Market St Apt 104 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.5 | 771 | $965 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1612 W Market St Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 500 N 17th St Apt 309 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,200 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 500 N 17th St Unit 305 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,100 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 500 N 17th St Unit 301 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,200 | $1.55 | 17d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2132 Rowan St Louisville, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 875 | $928 | $1.06 | 4d | 4 | 0.30mi |
| 409 N 20th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,050 | $0.88 | 4d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 515 S 20th St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $995 | $0.99 | 17d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 331 N 23rd St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 855 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 18d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1919 Baird St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,100 | $0.73 | 17d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 214 N 24th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1012 | $915 | $0.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2221 W Madison St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2221 W Madison St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 22d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 322 N 24th St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 17d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 212 N 25th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $895 | $0.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2508 W Main St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1327 | $1,500 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2300 W Madison St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $850 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1810 Magazine St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1248 | $1,450 | $1.16 | 11d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 430 S 24th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1288 | $1,400 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1700 Magazine St Unit 3 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 18d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2433 Slevin St Unit 2433-2 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $875 | $1.09 | 4d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2529 W Main St #2 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1404 | $1,200 | $0.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 451 N 25th St Unit Mk Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $875 | $0.89 | 4d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2614 W Jefferson St Unit 2614-4 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $795 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2623 Cedar St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2411 Elliott Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 892 | $895 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2539 Bank St Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $750 | $0.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2631 W Madison St Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $850 | $0.92 | 18d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2631 W Madison St Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $850 | $0.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2631 W Madison St Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $950 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2310 W Broadway Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $975 | $0.89 | 4d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 980 W Liberty St Louisville, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1026 | $1,198 | $1.17 | 24d | 133 | 0.86mi |
| 353 N 27th St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2506 Montgomery St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1081 | $1,295 | $1.20 | 4d | 4 | 1.01mi |
| 2927 Rowan St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,205 | $1.20 | 12d | 1 | 1.08mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $130,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $130,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $130,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $125,000
-
2026-05-06$135,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $469 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,118 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- +$649/yr (+$54/mo · 138.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,774
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$469
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,022
- − Management
- −$1,022
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable loss
- −$1,453
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$349
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,140/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 2102990
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,885
- Composite
- 23.45/100
- National rank
- #7884
- State rank
- #121 of 165 in KY
Livability — Louisville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #333
- US rank
- #15887
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Louisville, KY
- County
- Jefferson County · 790,184 people
- City population
- 769,292
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,742
- Household income
- $30,794
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1603.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 823,112 people
- By 2030
- 849,343 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 895,696 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 933,630 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 1,028,262 · +24.9%
- By 2100
- 1,072,675 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 44% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -64.74%
- Current HPI
- 405.1872
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.73%
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
-7.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $125,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $135,000 Metro Search MLS
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $469 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…